Who Should I Draft?

Clayton Kershaw or Aroldis Chapman (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
Expert
Recommendation
54%
Recommended by
30 of 56 experts
46%
Recommended by
26 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 23# 25
Best Rank# 8# 14
Worst Rank# 51# 39
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 54# 70
Best Rank# 49# 63
Worst Rank# 72# 81
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts15792
Wins123
Saves034
ERA2.942.63
WHIP1.051.09
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 18# 30
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 26
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 29# 30
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 28# 31
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 22# 39
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 27# 30
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 22# 33
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 24# 25
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 12# 28
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 15# 26
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 21# 22
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 17# 21
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 12# 25
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 13# 24
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 24# 25
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 21# 29
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 12# 25
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 8# 25
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 15# 25
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 16# 29
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 8# 34
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 28# 32
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 14# 22
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 25# 27
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 21
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 16# 30
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 12# 26
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 22# 26
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 14# 30
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 8# 33
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 22# 17
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 24# 20
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 24# 19
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 25# 23
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 26# 19
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 26# 22
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 26# 22
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 26# 25
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 26# 23
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 27# 21
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 28# 14
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 28# 23
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 28# 22
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 29# 20
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 32# 22
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 33# 23
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 33# 24
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 33# 21
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 34# 20
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 35# 31
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 38# 31
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 39# 34
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 49# 23
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 49# 21
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 49# 26
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 51# 20
   
  Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2655
   
Games Started260
   
Innings Pitched161.251.0
   
Wins93
   
Losses50
   
Saves032
   
Blown Saves02
   
Holds01
   
Hits Allowed13924
   
Earned Runs4914
   
Home Runs Allowed172
   
Strikeouts15593
   
Walks2930
   
ERA2.732.45
   
WHIP1.041.05
   
  Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2559
   
Games Started250
   
Innings Pitched154.958.2
   
Wins123
   
Losses62
   
Saves034
   
Blown Saves04
   
Holds02
   
Hits Allowed13337
   
Earned Runs5117
   
Home Runs Allowed175
   
Strikeouts15792
   
Walks3127
   
ERA2.942.63
   
WHIP1.051.09
   
  Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
News 
 Clayton Kershaw earned the win on Thursday versus the Cubs, striking out eight while allowing three runs over six innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jun 14th
Aroldis Chapman pitched one scoreless inning giving up a hit and striking out one on Saturday as the Yankees beat the White Sox by an 8-4 score.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 16th
 Clayton Kershaw fell to 5-1 on Friday in San Francisco, spinning seven innings of two-run ball while striking out four.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 8th
Aroldis Chapman (1-1) gave up one run (no earned) on one hit and one walk while striking out one through one inning to take the win over the Indians on Sunday.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 9th
 Clayton Kershaw received a no-decision on Saturday versus Philadelphia, firing seven innings of one-run ball while striking out six.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 2nd
Aroldis Chapman retired all three batters he faced in the ninth inning on Thursday to save the game for the Yankees as the beat the Blue Jays by a 6-2 score.
John Aubin
Fri, Jun 7th
 Clayton Kershaw improved to 5-0 on Monday versus the Mets, throwing six innings of three-run ball and giving up 10 hits.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, May 28th
Aroldis Chapman gave up one hit and one walk in a scoreless ninth inning to secure the save in Saturday's win versus the Red Sox.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 2nd
 Clayton Kershaw improved to 4-0 on Tuesday versus Tampa Bay, allowing two runs on six hits over 6 2/3 innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, May 22nd
Aroldis Chapman struck out two batters during his 16th save of the season in a 4-1 victory against the Red Sox on Friday.
John Aubin
Sat, Jun 1st
Notes 
 For the first time in a decade, there is quite a bit of risk with drafting Kershaw. He hasn't pitched 180 innings since 2015 and saw his strikeout rate plummet from 10.4 to 8.6 per nine innings. You can bank on top-notch ratios, but because of the innings a low strikeout totals and a potential shoulder injury, Kershaw has fallen into the third-tier of fantasy pitchers this year.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Aroldis Chapman was his typical dominant self last season and enters 2019 as the clear closer in the Bronx. This shapes up as arguably the best bullpen in baseball, however, so the Yankees will have no shortage of potential replacements should Chapman struggle or get hurt.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 The best pitcher of the last decade, Kershaw has seen his innings totals drop to 175 or fewer over each of the last three seasons. He's remained highly effective in those innings, but last year showed some more serious concerns, namely declining velocity and strikeouts. Kershaw remains in a highly-favorable pitching environment in Los Angeles, and given his mastery of the art of pitching, it would not be surprising to see him grit out another season with a sub-3.00 ERA. The question is how many innings he'll be able to throw and whether he can get his strikeout rate back over a batter per inning. Given that he is already experiencing arm soreness in Spring Training, fantasy owners need to proceed cautiously.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Chapman still delivers strikeouts in spades. Yet he has tossed just 50.1 and 51.1 innings over the last two seasons, capping the edge over pitchers like Brad Hand who worked 72 frames last year. He also struggled mightily with control, issuing 30 walks (5.26 BB/9) in 2018. Although one of baseball's few locked-in closers, there's a slimmer margin of error than the other top-tier arms with Dellin Betances and Adam Ottavino looking over his shoulder. Wait a little longer for a closer like Hand or Felipe Vazquez.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Last year, drafters accepted the dice roll of taking 180 otherworldly innings from Kershaw. The gambit fell short not only because of his 161.1 frames--he hasn't topped 175 since 2015--but his performance when healthy. A 2.73 ERA and 1.03 WHIP are still stellar, and he maintained excellent command by issuing 29 walks over 26 starts. Yet his 23.9 K% represents the lowest rate of any starter inside the ECR's top 15. He may not be better than Trevor Bauer, Blake Snell, Carlos Carrasco, or Luis Severino on a per-inning basis, so why take the veteran southpaw knowing back woes (and the Dodgers' careful rotation management) will shield him well short of 200 frames? Spring setbacks should make drafters even more cautious about taking him as a top-15 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Chapman has been exceptional for nearly a decade now. It may surprise you to learn that he hasn't struck out 100 batters since 2015, though. Edwin Diaz, meanwhile, had 123 last year to go with 25 more saves than Aroldis. Chapman is obviously one of the top closers in baseball still, but doesn't deserve any consideration as a top 50 fantasy pick.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros