Who Should I Draft?

Clayton Kershaw or Aroldis Chapman (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
Expert
Recommendation
54%
Recommended by
32 of 59 experts
46%
Recommended by
27 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 23# 24
Best Rank# 8# 14
Worst Rank# 51# 39
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 54# 70
Best Rank# 49# 63
Worst Rank# 72# 81
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts15792
Wins123
Saves034
ERA2.942.63
WHIP1.051.09
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 18# 30
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 26
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 29# 30
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 28# 31
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 22# 39
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 27# 30
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 22# 33
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 24# 25
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 12# 28
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 15# 26
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 21# 22
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 17# 21
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 12# 25
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 13# 24
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 24# 25
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 21# 29
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 12# 25
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 8# 25
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 16# 29
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 8# 34
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 28# 32
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 14# 22
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 25# 27
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 21
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 16# 30
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 8# 25
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 12# 26
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 21# 26
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 22# 26
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 19# 26
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 14# 30
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 8# 33
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 22# 17
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 24# 20
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 24# 19
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 25# 23
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 26# 19
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 26# 22
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 26# 22
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 26# 25
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 26# 23
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 27# 21
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 28# 14
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 28# 23
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 28# 22
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 29# 20
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 30# 22
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 32# 22
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 33# 23
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 33# 24
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 33# 21
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 34# 20
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 35# 31
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 38# 31
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 39# 34
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 49# 23
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 49# 21
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 49# 26
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 51# 20
   
  Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2655
   
Games Started260
   
Innings Pitched161.251.0
   
Wins93
   
Losses50
   
Saves032
   
Blown Saves02
   
Holds01
   
Hits Allowed13924
   
Earned Runs4914
   
Home Runs Allowed172
   
Strikeouts15593
   
Walks2930
   
ERA2.732.45
   
WHIP1.041.05
   
  Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2559
   
Games Started250
   
Innings Pitched154.958.2
   
Wins123
   
Losses62
   
Saves034
   
Blown Saves04
   
Holds02
   
Hits Allowed13337
   
Earned Runs5117
   
Home Runs Allowed175
   
Strikeouts15792
   
Walks3127
   
ERA2.942.63
   
WHIP1.051.09
   
  Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
News 
 Clayton Kershaw improved to 14-5 on Friday against the Mets, tossing 6 1/3 innings of two-run ball while striking out five.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 14th
Aroldis Chapman was called upon to get the final two outs and earned a save in the win against the Tigers on Thursday.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 13th
 Clayton Kershaw took the loss on Friday against the Giants, allowing three runs on seven hits over four innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 7th
Aroldis Chapman pitched one inning in relief to close out a 5-1 win against the Red Sox. In that inning he allowed one run on a solo home run by J.D Martinez.
Brandon Plutner
Sat, Sep 7th
 Clayton Kershaw struggled on Saturday versus the Diamondbacks, giving up five runs on five hits over five innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Aug 31st
Aroldis Chapman pitched a scoreless ninth inning as the Yankees defeated the A’s 4-3.
Brandon Plutner
Sun, Sep 1st
 Clayton Kershaw fell to 13-3 on Sunday Night Baseball against the Yankees, giving up three runs on four hits over seven innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Aug 26th
Aroldis Chapman picked up the save against the Mariners on Monday, posting a pair of strikeouts without allowing a baserunner in a scoreless ninth inning to close out the Yankees' 5-4 victory.
John Aubin
Tue, Aug 27th
 Clayton Kershaw improved to 13-2 on Tuesday versus the Blue Jays, tossing a quality start by allowing three runs over six innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Aug 21st
Aroldis Chapman pitched a scoreless ninth inning to preserve a 5-1 victory over the Dodgers.
Brandon Plutner
Sun, Aug 25th
Notes 
 For the first time in a decade, there is quite a bit of risk with drafting Kershaw. He hasn't pitched 180 innings since 2015 and saw his strikeout rate plummet from 10.4 to 8.6 per nine innings. You can bank on top-notch ratios, but because of the innings a low strikeout totals and a potential shoulder injury, Kershaw has fallen into the third-tier of fantasy pitchers this year.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Aroldis Chapman was his typical dominant self last season and enters 2019 as the clear closer in the Bronx. This shapes up as arguably the best bullpen in baseball, however, so the Yankees will have no shortage of potential replacements should Chapman struggle or get hurt.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 The best pitcher of the last decade, Kershaw has seen his innings totals drop to 175 or fewer over each of the last three seasons. He's remained highly effective in those innings, but last year showed some more serious concerns, namely declining velocity and strikeouts. Kershaw remains in a highly-favorable pitching environment in Los Angeles, and given his mastery of the art of pitching, it would not be surprising to see him grit out another season with a sub-3.00 ERA. The question is how many innings he'll be able to throw and whether he can get his strikeout rate back over a batter per inning. Given that he is already experiencing arm soreness in Spring Training, fantasy owners need to proceed cautiously.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Chapman still delivers strikeouts in spades. Yet he has tossed just 50.1 and 51.1 innings over the last two seasons, capping the edge over pitchers like Brad Hand who worked 72 frames last year. He also struggled mightily with control, issuing 30 walks (5.26 BB/9) in 2018. Although one of baseball's few locked-in closers, there's a slimmer margin of error than the other top-tier arms with Dellin Betances and Adam Ottavino looking over his shoulder. Wait a little longer for a closer like Hand or Felipe Vazquez.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Last year, drafters accepted the dice roll of taking 180 otherworldly innings from Kershaw. The gambit fell short not only because of his 161.1 frames--he hasn't topped 175 since 2015--but his performance when healthy. A 2.73 ERA and 1.03 WHIP are still stellar, and he maintained excellent command by issuing 29 walks over 26 starts. Yet his 23.9 K% represents the lowest rate of any starter inside the ECR's top 15. He may not be better than Trevor Bauer, Blake Snell, Carlos Carrasco, or Luis Severino on a per-inning basis, so why take the veteran southpaw knowing back woes (and the Dodgers' careful rotation management) will shield him well short of 200 frames? Spring setbacks should make drafters even more cautious about taking him as a top-15 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Chapman has been exceptional for nearly a decade now. It may surprise you to learn that he hasn't struck out 100 batters since 2015, though. Edwin Diaz, meanwhile, had 123 last year to go with 25 more saves than Aroldis. Chapman is obviously one of the top closers in baseball still, but doesn't deserve any consideration as a top 50 fantasy pick.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros