Who Should I Draft?

Clayton Kershaw or German Marquez (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
German Marquez
SP - COL
German Marquez
Expert
Recommendation
68%
Recommended by
38 of 56 experts
32%
Recommended by
18 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 23# 32
Best Rank# 8# 11
Worst Rank# 51# 96
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 54# 82
Best Rank# 49# 73
Worst Rank# 72# 112
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts157200
Wins1213
Saves00
ERA2.943.88
WHIP1.051.26
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 18# 31
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 54
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 29# 41
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 22# 57
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 27# 47
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 22# 32
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 26# 35
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 24# 33
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 33# 38
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 12# 96
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 15# 27
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 17# 32
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 12# 14
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 39# 77
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 13# 23
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 24# 32
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 21# 25
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 12# 55
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 22# 46
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 24# 28
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 25# 26
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 8# 85
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 15# 33
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 16# 48
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 8# 22
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 14# 48
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 25# 32
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 30
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 26# 34
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 29# 40
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 26# 66
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 16# 19
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 24# 38
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 12# 31
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 22# 42
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 14# 36
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 8# 22
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 26# 31
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 21# 19
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 26# 21
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 27# 25
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 28# 21
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 28# 23
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 28# 17
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 28# 22
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 28# 24
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 32# 27
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 33# 26
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 33# 29
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 34# 30
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 35# 19
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 38# 23
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 49# 11
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 49# 39
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 49# 37
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 51# 19
   
  Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
German Marquez
SP - COL
German Marquez
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2633
   
Games Started2633
   
Innings Pitched161.2196.1
   
Wins914
   
Losses511
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed139179
   
Earned Runs4982
   
Home Runs Allowed1724
   
Strikeouts155230
   
Walks2957
   
ERA2.733.77
   
WHIP1.041.20
   
  Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
German Marquez
SP - COL
German Marquez
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2532
   
Games Started2532
   
Innings Pitched154.9185.7
   
Wins1213
   
Losses610
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed133179
   
Earned Runs5180
   
Home Runs Allowed1724
   
Strikeouts157200
   
Walks3155
   
ERA2.943.88
   
WHIP1.051.26
   
  Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
German Marquez
SP - COL
German Marquez
News 
 Clayton Kershaw received a no-decision on Monday versus Arizona, allowing four runs on seven hits in six innings while walking one and striking out two.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 25th
German Marquez received a no-decision on Friday versus the Dodgers, spinning eight innings of five-hit ball while allowing two runs (one earned).
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 22nd
 Clayton Kershaw improved to 7-1 on Tuesday versus the Giants, firing seven scoreless innings while striking out six and walking two.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 19th
German Marquez earned the win despite giving up seven earned runs on Saturday versus the Padres.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 16th
 Clayton Kershaw earned the win on Thursday versus the Cubs, striking out eight while allowing three runs over six innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jun 14th
German Marquez received a no-decision on Monday versus the Cubs, striking out seven while allowing four runs over six innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 11th
 Clayton Kershaw fell to 5-1 on Friday in San Francisco, spinning seven innings of two-run ball while striking out four.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 8th
German Marquez took the loss on Wednesday versus the Cubs, giving up eight runs on seven hits in 5 1/3 innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 5th
 Clayton Kershaw received a no-decision on Saturday versus Philadelphia, firing seven innings of one-run ball while striking out six.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 2nd
German Marquez earned the win on Friday versus Toronto, throwing seven innings of two-run ball while striking out seven.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 1st
Notes 
 For the first time in a decade, there is quite a bit of risk with drafting Kershaw. He hasn't pitched 180 innings since 2015 and saw his strikeout rate plummet from 10.4 to 8.6 per nine innings. You can bank on top-notch ratios, but because of the innings a low strikeout totals and a potential shoulder injury, Kershaw has fallen into the third-tier of fantasy pitchers this year.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Marquez had a terrific strikeout-to-walk ratio last season, but still finished with an ERA of 3.77, which feels like a best-case scenario for a pitcher who calls Coors Field home. Marquez should provide plenty of innings and strikeouts and his fair share of wins, but he's not likely to be of much help when it comes to ERA and WHIP.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 The best pitcher of the last decade, Kershaw has seen his innings totals drop to 175 or fewer over each of the last three seasons. He's remained highly effective in those innings, but last year showed some more serious concerns, namely declining velocity and strikeouts. Kershaw remains in a highly-favorable pitching environment in Los Angeles, and given his mastery of the art of pitching, it would not be surprising to see him grit out another season with a sub-3.00 ERA. The question is how many innings he'll be able to throw and whether he can get his strikeout rate back over a batter per inning. Given that he is already experiencing arm soreness in Spring Training, fantasy owners need to proceed cautiously.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Marquez discovered top-tier ace form during 14 second-half starts, during which he recorded a 2.61 ERA and 2.25 FIP with the fourth-best K-BB% (28.4) behind Justin Verlander, Max Scherzer, and Jacob deGrom. So why isn't he a consensus top-20 starter? Opponents tattooed his four-seam fastball (.315/.390/.508) last season, so his curveball and slider would have to remain other-worldly elite in elevated usage rates. Oh yeah, he pitches for the Rockies. He's an attractive upside selection if Coors Field tempers his price.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Last year, drafters accepted the dice roll of taking 180 otherworldly innings from Kershaw. The gambit fell short not only because of his 161.1 frames--he hasn't topped 175 since 2015--but his performance when healthy. A 2.73 ERA and 1.03 WHIP are still stellar, and he maintained excellent command by issuing 29 walks over 26 starts. Yet his 23.9 K% represents the lowest rate of any starter inside the ECR's top 15. He may not be better than Trevor Bauer, Blake Snell, Carlos Carrasco, or Luis Severino on a per-inning basis, so why take the veteran southpaw knowing back woes (and the Dodgers' careful rotation management) will shield him well short of 200 frames? Spring setbacks should make drafters even more cautious about taking him as a top-15 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros