Who Should I Draft?

Clayton Kershaw or German Marquez (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
German Marquez
SP - COL
German Marquez
Expert
Recommendation
68%
Recommended by
40 of 59 experts
32%
Recommended by
19 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 23# 32
Best Rank# 8# 11
Worst Rank# 51# 96
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 54# 82
Best Rank# 49# 73
Worst Rank# 72# 112
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts157200
Wins1213
Saves00
ERA2.943.88
WHIP1.051.26
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 18# 31
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 54
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 29# 41
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 22# 57
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 27# 47
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 22# 32
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 26# 35
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 24# 33
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 33# 38
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 12# 96
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 15# 27
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 17# 32
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 12# 14
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 39# 77
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 13# 23
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 24# 32
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 21# 25
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 12# 55
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 22# 46
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 24# 28
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 25# 26
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 8# 85
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 16# 48
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 8# 22
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 14# 48
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 25# 32
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 30
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 26# 34
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 29# 40
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 26# 66
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 16# 19
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 24# 38
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 8# 36
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 12# 31
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 21# 23
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 22# 42
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 19# 35
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 14# 36
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 8# 22
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 26# 31
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 21# 19
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 26# 21
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 27# 25
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 28# 21
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 28# 23
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 28# 17
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 28# 22
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 28# 24
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 30# 25
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 32# 27
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 33# 26
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 33# 29
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 34# 30
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 35# 19
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 38# 23
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 49# 11
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 49# 39
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 49# 37
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 51# 19
   
  Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
German Marquez
SP - COL
German Marquez
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2633
   
Games Started2633
   
Innings Pitched161.2196.1
   
Wins914
   
Losses511
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed139179
   
Earned Runs4982
   
Home Runs Allowed1724
   
Strikeouts155230
   
Walks2957
   
ERA2.733.77
   
WHIP1.041.20
   
  Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
German Marquez
SP - COL
German Marquez
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2532
   
Games Started2532
   
Innings Pitched154.9185.7
   
Wins1213
   
Losses610
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed133179
   
Earned Runs5180
   
Home Runs Allowed1724
   
Strikeouts157200
   
Walks3155
   
ERA2.943.88
   
WHIP1.051.26
   
  Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
German Marquez
SP - COL
German Marquez
News 
 Clayton Kershaw picked up the win in his final start of the regular season on Thursday versus San Diego, tossing six scoreless innings while striking out seven.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 27th
The Rockies placed German Marquez on the 10-day IL with right arm inflammation.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Aug 26th
 Clayton Kershaw improved to 15-5 on Friday versus Colorado, allowing four runs on eight hits over six innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 21st
German Marquez improved to 12-5 on Saturday versus Miami, striking out eight while allowing two runs over five innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Aug 18th
 Clayton Kershaw improved to 14-5 on Friday against the Mets, tossing 6 1/3 innings of two-run ball while striking out five.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 14th
German Marquez improved to 11-5 on Sunday against the Padres, allowing just three runs on five hits while striking out nine over eight innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Aug 12th
 Clayton Kershaw took the loss on Friday against the Giants, allowing three runs on seven hits over four innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 7th
German Marquez received a no-decision on Tuesday in Houston, surrendering five runs on eight hits over five innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Aug 6th
 Clayton Kershaw struggled on Saturday versus the Diamondbacks, giving up five runs on five hits over five innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Aug 31st
Rockies pitcher German Marquez left Wednesday's start against the Dodgers with what was later described as "full-body cramping," according to Nick Groke of The Athletic. He had struck out 10 batters over six shutout innings prior to exiting.
Mike Maher
Wed, Jul 31st
Notes 
 For the first time in a decade, there is quite a bit of risk with drafting Kershaw. He hasn't pitched 180 innings since 2015 and saw his strikeout rate plummet from 10.4 to 8.6 per nine innings. You can bank on top-notch ratios, but because of the innings a low strikeout totals and a potential shoulder injury, Kershaw has fallen into the third-tier of fantasy pitchers this year.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Marquez had a terrific strikeout-to-walk ratio last season, but still finished with an ERA of 3.77, which feels like a best-case scenario for a pitcher who calls Coors Field home. Marquez should provide plenty of innings and strikeouts and his fair share of wins, but he's not likely to be of much help when it comes to ERA and WHIP.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 The best pitcher of the last decade, Kershaw has seen his innings totals drop to 175 or fewer over each of the last three seasons. He's remained highly effective in those innings, but last year showed some more serious concerns, namely declining velocity and strikeouts. Kershaw remains in a highly-favorable pitching environment in Los Angeles, and given his mastery of the art of pitching, it would not be surprising to see him grit out another season with a sub-3.00 ERA. The question is how many innings he'll be able to throw and whether he can get his strikeout rate back over a batter per inning. Given that he is already experiencing arm soreness in Spring Training, fantasy owners need to proceed cautiously.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Marquez discovered top-tier ace form during 14 second-half starts, during which he recorded a 2.61 ERA and 2.25 FIP with the fourth-best K-BB% (28.4) behind Justin Verlander, Max Scherzer, and Jacob deGrom. So why isn't he a consensus top-20 starter? Opponents tattooed his four-seam fastball (.315/.390/.508) last season, so his curveball and slider would have to remain other-worldly elite in elevated usage rates. Oh yeah, he pitches for the Rockies. He's an attractive upside selection if Coors Field tempers his price.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Last year, drafters accepted the dice roll of taking 180 otherworldly innings from Kershaw. The gambit fell short not only because of his 161.1 frames--he hasn't topped 175 since 2015--but his performance when healthy. A 2.73 ERA and 1.03 WHIP are still stellar, and he maintained excellent command by issuing 29 walks over 26 starts. Yet his 23.9 K% represents the lowest rate of any starter inside the ECR's top 15. He may not be better than Trevor Bauer, Blake Snell, Carlos Carrasco, or Luis Severino on a per-inning basis, so why take the veteran southpaw knowing back woes (and the Dodgers' careful rotation management) will shield him well short of 200 frames? Spring setbacks should make drafters even more cautious about taking him as a top-15 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros