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Who Should I Draft?

Clayton Kershaw or Kenta Maeda (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Expert
Recommendation
92%
Recommended by
47 of 51 experts
8%
Recommended by
4 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 12# 16
Best Rank# 5# 5
Worst Rank# 17# 36
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 30# 47
Best Rank# 26# 45
Worst Rank# 33# 61
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts176177
Wins1412
Saves00
ERA3.243.83
WHIP1.061.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL60
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 17
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 15
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 11# 17
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 11# 16
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 12# 22
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 11# 17
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 9# 28
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 34
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 13# 22
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 9# 33
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 12# 17
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 12# 15
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 9# 18
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 14# 23
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 10# 15
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 14# 36
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 13# 20
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 12# 16
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 12# 22
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 10# 16
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 12# 20
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 6# 13
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 11# 14
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 10# 14
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 12# 16
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 14# 18
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 13# 15
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 7# 24
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 12# 15
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 12# 19
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 12# 15
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 12# 16
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 15# 21
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 7# 26
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 10# 22
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 14# 16
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 12# 13
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 10# 17
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 5# 10
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 12# 16
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 10# 15
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 6# 11
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 10# 19
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 12# 16
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 10# 16
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 12# 15
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 9# 23
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 11# 5
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 16# 15
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 16# 15
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 17# 15
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1011
   
Games Started1011
   
Innings Pitched58.167.1
   
Wins66
   
Losses21
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4140
   
Earned Runs1420
   
Home Runs Allowed89
   
Strikeouts6280
   
Walks810
   
ERA2.162.70
   
WHIP0.840.75
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2830
   
Games Started2829
   
Innings Pitched167.2160.7
   
Wins1412
   
Losses78
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed142136
   
Earned Runs6068
   
Home Runs Allowed2323
   
Strikeouts176177
   
Walks3546
   
ERA3.243.83
   
WHIP1.061.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
News 
 LHP Clayton Kershaw earned the win on Sunday when he allowed one run on three hits with eight strikeouts in the Dodgers' 8-5 win over the Reds.
Jon Mathisen
Mon, Sep 20th
Kenta Maeda is set to undergo season-ending surgery on Wednesday, according to Twins manager Rocco Baldelli.
Ari Koslow
Fri, Aug 27th
 Dodgers LHP Clayton Kershaw (forearm) threw a bullpen session on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 11th
Twins' SP Kenta Maeda is seeking second opinions on his forearm injury, per Jon Heyman of MLB Network.
Jack Mannis
Tue, Aug 24th
 Clayton Kershaw allowed two runs on four hits over three innings with three strikeouts in his rehab stint on Tuesday for Triple-A Oklahoma City.
Ari Koslow
Wed, Sep 8th
Kenta Maeda was placed on the 10-day IL due to forearm tightness. It is unclear when he will be back.
Kamran Hoda
Mon, Aug 23rd
 Dodgers manager Dave Roberts says that Clayton Kershaw (forearm) might need just one rehab start before rejoining the rotation.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Sep 6th
Kenta Maeda exited Saturday’s start against the Yankees with forearm tightness.
Chris Schommer
Sat, Aug 21st
 Dodgers' SP Clayton Kershaw (forearm) will make a rehab appearance in Triple-A Oklahoma City on Tuesday.
Jack Mannis
Sun, Sep 5th
The Twins are pushing Kenta Maeda's next start back to Saturday against the Yankees.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Aug 18th
Notes 
 Kershaw turned back the clock a bit in 2020, as the shortened season allowed him to let things go a bit more and add some of the velocity he had lost over the previous two seasons. The result was his best WHIP and ERA since 2016 and best strikeout rate since 2017. Kershaw isn't going to reach 200 innings pitched at this stage of his career, not with his injury history and the Dodgers' depth in their rotation and World Series aspirations. But even entering his age-33 season, he offers next to no downside. Consider this: Kershaw had probably the worst season of his career in 2019 and pitched to a 3.03 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP with more than a strikeout per inning. Draft him as a strong SP2 but bank on 160 innings. Anything more is gravy.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Fantasy managers rejoiced when Maeda was traded from the Dodgers to the Twins, but he surpassed even the loftiest of expectations. In the short season, Maeda went 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA, a 0.73 WHIP, and a 32.3% strikeout rate. In addition to simply being let loose with his innings, Maeda made a tangible change to his pitch mix, throwing far fewer fastball and more sliders and changeups (though his fastball was as effective as it had ever been last year, too). Maeda surely won't be able to repeat his numbers from 2020, as he allowed just a .208 BABIP, had an 80.2% LOB rate, and benefited from being able to feast on solely the NL and AL Central lineups. But even with some regression, he should still be a rock solid SP2, and should be drafted as such.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Fresh off his first ever World Series championship, Kershaw continues to graciously ride the aging curve. In fact, he has actually combated a decline in fastball velocity by adding 1 mph in 2020 (90.8 to 90.3 to 91.6 over the past three years). Fantasy managers should also find comfort in the fact that Kershaw has literally never been bad. His highest ERA since 2009 is 3.03 and his highest WHIP since 2011 is 1.04. If seeking safety in the early rounds, Kershaw is your guy.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
In 2020 Maeda joined Jacob deGrom and Shane Bieber as the only three starters to finish top-five in both xFIP and xERA. It was a dominant campaign as his new team, the Twins, finally unleashed him in a way the Dodgers never did. Maeda also finished top-five in swinging strike rate last summer. He admittedly faced the easiest "hub" against AL/NL Central foes, but a large number of his 2021 starts will come against similar opponents. There's still profit to be had with his current ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros