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Who Should I Draft?

Clayton Kershaw or Lance Lynn (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Expert
Recommendation
96%
Recommended by
49 of 51 experts
4%
Recommended by
2 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 12# 17
Best Rank# 5# 12
Worst Rank# 17# 38
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 30# 52
Best Rank# 26# 43
Worst Rank# 33# 65
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts176198
Wins1412
Saves00
ERA3.243.95
WHIP1.061.22
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 18
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 21
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 11# 14
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 11# 24
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 12# 20
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 11# 18
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 9# 20
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 17
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 13# 19
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 9# 23
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 12# 38
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 12# 16
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 9# 20
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 14# 19
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 10# 12
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 14# 18
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 13# 18
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 12# 17
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 12# 18
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 10# 18
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 12# 17
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 6# 28
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 11# 18
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 10# 15
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 12# 17
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 14# 20
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 13# 16
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 16# 23
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 7# 25
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 12# 16
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 12# 14
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 12# 18
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 12# 17
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 15# 17
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 7# 30
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 10# 24
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 14# 17
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 12# 20
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 10# 18
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 5# 26
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 12# 15
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 10# 17
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 6# 15
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 10# 18
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 12# 17
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 10# 17
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 12# 21
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 9# 15
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 11# 28
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 16# 12
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 17# 16
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1013
   
Games Started1013
   
Innings Pitched58.184.0
   
Wins66
   
Losses23
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4164
   
Earned Runs1431
   
Home Runs Allowed813
   
Strikeouts6289
   
Walks825
   
ERA2.163.32
   
WHIP0.841.06
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2830
   
Games Started2830
   
Innings Pitched167.2184.1
   
Wins1412
   
Losses79
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed142167
   
Earned Runs6081
   
Home Runs Allowed2327
   
Strikeouts176198
   
Walks3557
   
ERA3.243.95
   
WHIP1.061.22
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
News 
 LHP Clayton Kershaw earned the win on Sunday when he allowed one run on three hits with eight strikeouts in the Dodgers' 8-5 win over the Reds.
Jon Mathisen
Mon, Sep 20th
Lance Lynn allowed just two hits in his five innings of work, striking out nine and not allowing a single earned run.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Mon, Sep 13th
 Dodgers LHP Clayton Kershaw (forearm) threw a bullpen session on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 11th
The White Sox reinstated RHP Lance Lynn (knee) from the 10-day injured list.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 11th
 Clayton Kershaw allowed two runs on four hits over three innings with three strikeouts in his rehab stint on Tuesday for Triple-A Oklahoma City.
Ari Koslow
Wed, Sep 8th
White Sox pitcher Lance Lynn is expected to start on Sunday against Boston. It will be his first outing since landing on the 10-day injured list with right knee inflammation at the end of August.
Andersen Pickard
Thu, Sep 9th
 Dodgers manager Dave Roberts says that Clayton Kershaw (forearm) might need just one rehab start before rejoining the rotation.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Sep 6th
Lance Lynn is scheduled to throw a bullpen session on Friday.
Ari Koslow
Wed, Sep 8th
 Dodgers' SP Clayton Kershaw (forearm) will make a rehab appearance in Triple-A Oklahoma City on Tuesday.
Jack Mannis
Sun, Sep 5th
The White Sox placed Lance Lynn on the 10-day injured list with a knee injury.
Corbin Young
Wed, Sep 1st
Notes 
 Kershaw turned back the clock a bit in 2020, as the shortened season allowed him to let things go a bit more and add some of the velocity he had lost over the previous two seasons. The result was his best WHIP and ERA since 2016 and best strikeout rate since 2017. Kershaw isn't going to reach 200 innings pitched at this stage of his career, not with his injury history and the Dodgers' depth in their rotation and World Series aspirations. But even entering his age-33 season, he offers next to no downside. Consider this: Kershaw had probably the worst season of his career in 2019 and pitched to a 3.03 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP with more than a strikeout per inning. Draft him as a strong SP2 but bank on 160 innings. Anything more is gravy.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Lynn turned in another stellar year in 2020, leading MLB with 84 innings pitched, striking out plenty of batters, and keeping his walk rate and overall numbers in check. But there are a few warning signs under the hood, including his 4.19 FIP, his 4.34 xFIP, and his career-high 79.4% LOB rate. Of bigger concern is his trade to the White Sox and hitter-friendly Guaranteed Rate Field, particularly because Lynn had a 38.3% fly-ball rate in 2019 and a 42.3% fly-ball rate last year. That led to the worst HR/9 rate of his career and second-worst HR/FB rate (13.8%) in 2020. Countering those troublesome warning signs, however, is the fact that he'll be caught by perhaps the best pitch framer in baseball in Yasmani Grandal, and that will generally help with his numbers which, again, were excellent last year. Add it all up and Lynn's ERA should likely increase simply because of the additional home runs he'll allow if he can't turn around his trend in fly-ball rate, but Grandal's presence and Lynn's general aptitude on the mound should allow for another strong season and make him worthy of a selection as an SP2.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Fresh off his first ever World Series championship, Kershaw continues to graciously ride the aging curve. In fact, he has actually combated a decline in fastball velocity by adding 1 mph in 2020 (90.8 to 90.3 to 91.6 over the past three years). Fantasy managers should also find comfort in the fact that Kershaw has literally never been bad. His highest ERA since 2009 is 3.03 and his highest WHIP since 2011 is 1.04. If seeking safety in the early rounds, Kershaw is your guy.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros