Who Should I Draft?

Clayton Kershaw or Zack Wheeler (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
Expert
Recommendation
66%
Recommended by
37 of 56 experts
34%
Recommended by
19 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 23# 28
Best Rank# 8# 13
Worst Rank# 51# 92
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 54# 85
Best Rank# 49# 83
Worst Rank# 72# 96
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts157169
Wins1211
Saves00
ERA2.943.59
WHIP1.051.24
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 28
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 22# 31
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 27# 38
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 22# 29
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 26# 39
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 28# 47
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 12# 92
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 15# 21
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 21# 38
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 17# 46
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 12# 51
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 13# 49
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 24# 29
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 21# 23
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 28# 32
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 12# 26
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 22# 23
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 24# 26
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 28# 32
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 25# 27
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 8# 58
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 15# 32
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 16# 18
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 8# 25
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 14# 46
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 34
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 26# 43
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 29# 51
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 26# 39
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 27# 28
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 16# 23
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 24# 28
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 12# 35
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 22# 28
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 26# 33
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 14# 33
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 8# 32
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 18# 13
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 24# 19
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 25# 18
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 26# 21
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 28# 20
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 28# 27
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 29# 17
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 32# 21
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 33# 24
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 33# 16
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 33# 26
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 34# 22
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 35# 21
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 38# 17
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 39# 33
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 49# 21
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 49# 19
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 49# 35
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 51# 25
   
  Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2629
   
Games Started2629
   
Innings Pitched161.2182.2
   
Wins912
   
Losses57
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed139150
   
Earned Runs4967
   
Home Runs Allowed1714
   
Strikeouts155179
   
Walks2955
   
ERA2.733.31
   
WHIP1.041.12
   
  Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2529
   
Games Started2529
   
Innings Pitched154.9172.4
   
Wins1211
   
Losses69
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed133155
   
Earned Runs5169
   
Home Runs Allowed1718
   
Strikeouts157169
   
Walks3158
   
ERA2.943.59
   
WHIP1.051.24
   
  Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
News 
 Clayton Kershaw received a no-decision on Monday versus Arizona, allowing four runs on seven hits in six innings while walking one and striking out two.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 25th
Zack Wheeler (6-5) earned the win Saturday against the Cubs by allowing one run on five hits across seven innings. He struck out five and walked one.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Jun 23rd
 Clayton Kershaw improved to 7-1 on Tuesday versus the Giants, firing seven scoreless innings while striking out six and walking two.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 19th
Mets starter Zack Wheeler allowed four earned runs on 10 hits and two walks while striking out four over six innings in Monday’s loss to the Atlanta Braves. The loss drops him to 5-5 on the season.
Mike Maher
Tue, Jun 18th
 Clayton Kershaw earned the win on Thursday versus the Cubs, striking out eight while allowing three runs over six innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jun 14th
Mets starter Zack Wheeler allowed nine runs (five earned) on 10 hits and one walk while striking out six over 4.2 innings in a loss to the New York Yankees on Tuesday. The loss drops him to 5-4 on the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, Jun 12th
 Clayton Kershaw fell to 5-1 on Friday in San Francisco, spinning seven innings of two-run ball while striking out four.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 8th
Mets starting pitcher Zack Wheeler allowed three earned runs on three hits and one walk while striking out six over seven innings in a no-decision against the San Francisco Giants on Thursday.
Mike Maher
Fri, Jun 7th
 Clayton Kershaw received a no-decision on Saturday versus Philadelphia, firing seven innings of one-run ball while striking out six.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 2nd
Wheeler allowed three runs on three hits with six strikeouts and one walk across six seven innings in a no-decision against the Giants on Thursday.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Jun 7th
Notes 
 For the first time in a decade, there is quite a bit of risk with drafting Kershaw. He hasn't pitched 180 innings since 2015 and saw his strikeout rate plummet from 10.4 to 8.6 per nine innings. You can bank on top-notch ratios, but because of the innings a low strikeout totals and a potential shoulder injury, Kershaw has fallen into the third-tier of fantasy pitchers this year.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Wheeler has had struggles staying on the field but even if we can get 120 innings of the way he pitched to close the season, he would prove well worth a mid-round pick's investment. He may be the breakout ace that no one in the industry seems to be talking about this year.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 The best pitcher of the last decade, Kershaw has seen his innings totals drop to 175 or fewer over each of the last three seasons. He's remained highly effective in those innings, but last year showed some more serious concerns, namely declining velocity and strikeouts. Kershaw remains in a highly-favorable pitching environment in Los Angeles, and given his mastery of the art of pitching, it would not be surprising to see him grit out another season with a sub-3.00 ERA. The question is how many innings he'll be able to throw and whether he can get his strikeout rate back over a batter per inning. Given that he is already experiencing arm soreness in Spring Training, fantasy owners need to proceed cautiously.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Wheeler posted a mid-3.00s ERA for the third time in four years in 2018, proving that his rough 2017 season was the true outlier. His .279 BABIP allowed was somewhat fortunate, but he also significantly trimmed his walk rate, providing confidence that he can maintain some of the gain he made in WHIP last year. He doesn't strike out enough hitters to have ace potential, but fantasy owners can feel pretty good about Wheeler as their third starter in 12-team mixed leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Last year, drafters accepted the dice roll of taking 180 otherworldly innings from Kershaw. The gambit fell short not only because of his 161.1 frames--he hasn't topped 175 since 2015--but his performance when healthy. A 2.73 ERA and 1.03 WHIP are still stellar, and he maintained excellent command by issuing 29 walks over 26 starts. Yet his 23.9 K% represents the lowest rate of any starter inside the ECR's top 15. He may not be better than Trevor Bauer, Blake Snell, Carlos Carrasco, or Luis Severino on a per-inning basis, so why take the veteran southpaw knowing back woes (and the Dodgers' careful rotation management) will shield him well short of 200 frames? Spring setbacks should make drafters even more cautious about taking him as a top-15 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Written off after an ineffective 2017 (5.21 ERA) following two season lost to Tommy John surgery, Wheeler unlocked his ace potential late last season. He was nearly as good as Jacob deGrom after the All-Star break, boasting a 1.68 ERA and 20.4 K-BB% in 11 starts. He went at least seven innings in nine of them and averaged 6.3 innings per start on the season. Fueled by a stellar heater, no qualified starter acquiesced a lower hard-hit rate (26.6%), and just two (deGrom and Max Scherzer) generated more soft contact. Another 180 innings, which is far from a given, is all Wheeler needs to give the Mets and fantasy investors another ace.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros