Who Should I Draft?

Clayton Kershaw or Zack Wheeler (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
Expert
Recommendation
66%
Recommended by
39 of 59 experts
34%
Recommended by
20 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 23# 28
Best Rank# 8# 13
Worst Rank# 51# 92
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 54# 85
Best Rank# 49# 83
Worst Rank# 72# 96
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts157169
Wins1211
Saves00
ERA2.943.59
WHIP1.051.24
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 28
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 22# 31
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 27# 38
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 22# 29
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 26# 39
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 28# 47
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 12# 92
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 15# 21
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 21# 38
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 17# 46
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 12# 51
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 13# 49
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 24# 29
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 21# 23
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 28# 32
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 12# 26
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 22# 23
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 24# 26
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 28# 32
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 25# 27
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 8# 58
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 16# 18
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 8# 25
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 14# 46
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 34
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 26# 43
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 29# 51
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 26# 39
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 27# 28
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 16# 23
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 24# 28
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 8# 39
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 12# 35
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 21# 31
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 22# 28
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 19# 20
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 26# 33
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 14# 33
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 8# 32
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 18# 13
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 24# 19
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 25# 18
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 26# 21
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 28# 20
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 28# 27
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 29# 17
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 30# 29
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 32# 21
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 33# 24
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 33# 16
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 33# 26
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 34# 22
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 35# 21
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 38# 17
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 39# 33
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 49# 21
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 49# 19
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 49# 35
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 51# 25
   
  Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2629
   
Games Started2629
   
Innings Pitched161.2182.2
   
Wins912
   
Losses57
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed139150
   
Earned Runs4967
   
Home Runs Allowed1714
   
Strikeouts155179
   
Walks2955
   
ERA2.733.31
   
WHIP1.041.12
   
  Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2529
   
Games Started2529
   
Innings Pitched154.9172.4
   
Wins1211
   
Losses69
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed133155
   
Earned Runs5169
   
Home Runs Allowed1718
   
Strikeouts157169
   
Walks3158
   
ERA2.943.59
   
WHIP1.051.24
   
  Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
News 
 Clayton Kershaw picked up the win in his final start of the regular season on Thursday versus San Diego, tossing six scoreless innings while striking out seven.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 27th
Mets starter Zack Wheeler allowed three earned runs on five hits and no walks while striking out 10 over eight innings in a loss to the Miami Marlins on Thursday.
Mike Maher
Fri, Sep 27th
 Clayton Kershaw improved to 15-5 on Friday versus Colorado, allowing four runs on eight hits over six innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 21st
Mets starter Zack Wheeler allowed one earned run on seven hits and one walk while striking out six over seven innings in a no-decision against the Reds on Saturday.
Mike Maher
Sun, Sep 22nd
 Clayton Kershaw improved to 14-5 on Friday against the Mets, tossing 6 1/3 innings of two-run ball while striking out five.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 14th
Mets starter Zack Wheeler allowed one earned run on six hits and no walks while striking out nine over seven innings in a no-decision against the Dodgers on Sunday.
Mike Maher
Mon, Sep 16th
 Clayton Kershaw took the loss on Friday against the Giants, allowing three runs on seven hits over four innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 7th
Mets starter Zack Wheeler allowed one earned run on seven hits and two walks while striking out seven over seven innings in Tuesday's win over the Diamondbacks. The win brings him to 11-7 on the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, Sep 11th
 Clayton Kershaw struggled on Saturday versus the Diamondbacks, giving up five runs on five hits over five innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Aug 31st
Mets starter Zack Wheeler allowed one earned run on seven hits and two walks while striking out three over five innings in Wednesday's win over the Nationals. The win brings him to 10-7 on the year.
Mike Maher
Thu, Sep 5th
Notes 
 For the first time in a decade, there is quite a bit of risk with drafting Kershaw. He hasn't pitched 180 innings since 2015 and saw his strikeout rate plummet from 10.4 to 8.6 per nine innings. You can bank on top-notch ratios, but because of the innings a low strikeout totals and a potential shoulder injury, Kershaw has fallen into the third-tier of fantasy pitchers this year.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Wheeler has had struggles staying on the field but even if we can get 120 innings of the way he pitched to close the season, he would prove well worth a mid-round pick's investment. He may be the breakout ace that no one in the industry seems to be talking about this year.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 The best pitcher of the last decade, Kershaw has seen his innings totals drop to 175 or fewer over each of the last three seasons. He's remained highly effective in those innings, but last year showed some more serious concerns, namely declining velocity and strikeouts. Kershaw remains in a highly-favorable pitching environment in Los Angeles, and given his mastery of the art of pitching, it would not be surprising to see him grit out another season with a sub-3.00 ERA. The question is how many innings he'll be able to throw and whether he can get his strikeout rate back over a batter per inning. Given that he is already experiencing arm soreness in Spring Training, fantasy owners need to proceed cautiously.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Wheeler posted a mid-3.00s ERA for the third time in four years in 2018, proving that his rough 2017 season was the true outlier. His .279 BABIP allowed was somewhat fortunate, but he also significantly trimmed his walk rate, providing confidence that he can maintain some of the gain he made in WHIP last year. He doesn't strike out enough hitters to have ace potential, but fantasy owners can feel pretty good about Wheeler as their third starter in 12-team mixed leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Last year, drafters accepted the dice roll of taking 180 otherworldly innings from Kershaw. The gambit fell short not only because of his 161.1 frames--he hasn't topped 175 since 2015--but his performance when healthy. A 2.73 ERA and 1.03 WHIP are still stellar, and he maintained excellent command by issuing 29 walks over 26 starts. Yet his 23.9 K% represents the lowest rate of any starter inside the ECR's top 15. He may not be better than Trevor Bauer, Blake Snell, Carlos Carrasco, or Luis Severino on a per-inning basis, so why take the veteran southpaw knowing back woes (and the Dodgers' careful rotation management) will shield him well short of 200 frames? Spring setbacks should make drafters even more cautious about taking him as a top-15 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Written off after an ineffective 2017 (5.21 ERA) following two season lost to Tommy John surgery, Wheeler unlocked his ace potential late last season. He was nearly as good as Jacob deGrom after the All-Star break, boasting a 1.68 ERA and 20.4 K-BB% in 11 starts. He went at least seven innings in nine of them and averaged 6.3 innings per start on the season. Fueled by a stellar heater, no qualified starter acquiesced a lower hard-hit rate (26.6%), and just two (deGrom and Max Scherzer) generated more soft contact. Another 180 innings, which is far from a given, is all Wheeler needs to give the Mets and fantasy investors another ace.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros