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Who Should I Draft?

Cody Bellinger or Anthony Rizzo (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF,RF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Anthony Rizzo
1B - CHC
Anthony Rizzo
Expert
Recommendation
100%
Recommended by
51 of 51 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 12# 52
Best Rank# 5# 40
Worst Rank# 25# 80
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 15# 92
Best Rank# 12# 75
Worst Rank# 19# 98
   
Projections 
   
Runs10086
Home Runs3727
RBI10687
Stolen Bases146
Batting Average.279.268
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 48
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 55
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 11# 58
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 10# 52
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 10# 65
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 9# 49
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 13# 49
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 24# 50
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 40
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 12# 52
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 7# 44
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 13# 54
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 12# 55
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 11# 56
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 5# 51
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 8# 74
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 11# 53
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 12# 55
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 12# 53
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 13# 64
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 11# 55
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 12# 78
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 9# 52
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 11# 45
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 12# 58
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 25# 55
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 12# 48
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 7# 51
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 12# 61
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 12# 80
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 11# 53
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 12# 54
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 10# 59
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 13# 65
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 13# 60
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 12# 60
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 12# 49
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 9# 51
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 13# 52
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 12# 54
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 7# 58
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 12# 47
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 17# 45
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 14# 56
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 17# 54
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 20# 49
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 12# 53
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 10# 48
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 14# 53
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 8# 52
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 12# 51
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF,RF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Anthony Rizzo
1B - CHC
Anthony Rizzo
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats213203
   
Runs3326
   
Hits5145
   
Singles2928
   
Doubles106
   
Triples00
   
Home Runs1211
   
RBI3024
   
Stolen Bases63
   
Caught Stealing11
   
Walks3028
   
Strikeouts4238
   
Batting Average.239.222
   
On Base Pct.333.342
   
Slugging Pct.455.414
   
On-base Plus Slugging.789.755
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF,RF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Anthony Rizzo
1B - CHC
Anthony Rizzo
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats552548
   
Runs10086
   
Hits153145
   
Singles8189
   
Doubles3127
   
Triples42
   
Home Runs3727
   
RBI10687
   
Stolen Bases146
   
Caught Stealing43
   
Walks8274
   
Strikeouts12399
   
Batting Average.279.268
   
On Base Pct.373.356
   
Slugging Pct.546.471
   
On-base Plus Slugging.919.827
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF,RF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Anthony Rizzo
1B - CHC
Anthony Rizzo
News 
 Cody Bellinger (hamstring) is absent from the Dodgers' lineup on Saturday against the Rockies.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jul 24th
Anthony Rizzo went 2-for-4 Sunday versus the Diamondbacks. He would hit a solo homer, his 12th shot of the season.
Jamie Mellor
Sun, Jul 25th
 Cody Bellinger was removed from Friday's game against the Rockies due to hamstring tightness.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jul 24th
Anthony Rizzo went 1-for-4 versus Arizona Saturday. He would score a run in the 7-3 loss.
Jamie Mellor
Sun, Jul 25th
 Outfielder Cody Bellinger went 1-for-4 with two RBI, two strikeouts, one walk, and one run scored as the Dodgers beat the Rockies 10-4 on Sunday.
Jon Mathisen
Sat, Jul 17th
Anthony Rizzo went 1-for-2 with a walk and a hit-by-pitch versus the Diamondbacks Friday. He would come around to score twice.
Jamie Mellor
Sat, Jul 24th
 Outfielder Cody Bellinger went 1-for-5 with a two-run homer in the Dodgers' 22-1 dismantling of the D-Backs on Saturday.
Jon Mathisen
Sun, Jul 11th
Anthony Rizzo went 0-for-3 but drew a walk and got hit by a pitch Tuesday versus St Louis. He would drive in a run with the walk before coming around to score later that inning.
Jamie Mellor
Wed, Jul 21st
 Outfielder Cody Bellinger went 0-for-3 with a run scored, a walk, and a strikeout as the Dodgers defeated the Nationals 5-3 on Saturday.
Jon Mathisen
Sun, Jul 4th
Anthony Rizzo went 2-for-4 versus St Louis Monday. He would score a run in the 8-3 loss.
Jamie Mellor
Tue, Jul 20th
Notes 
 Bellinger was unable to replicate the magic of his 2019 breakout during last year's shortened season. His average dipped to .239, the worst mark of his career, his power dropped significantly, and he didn't make the same quality of contact. But although he slid backwards in his walk and strikeout rates, his regression there was minimal, and his expected batting average was .284. In other words, Bellinger got worse in 2020, but it wasn't quite as bad as the surface numbers suggest. He did have offseason shoulder surgery after getting injured during a post-season celebration, and that's always a bit worrisome for a hitter. But given that a "down" year for Bellinger at this point is a 30-15 season, he warrants being selected early in the second round.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Rizzo's average dropped to just .222 last year and his counting stats waned, though the latter failing was much more due to the lack of production from the rest of the Cubs lineup. His walk and strikeout rates, however, stayed mostly in line, and his BABIP was an artificially low .218 (career mark of .289), which is partly why there was such a gap between his xBA of .266 and his actual batting average. With that said, Rizzo didn't hit the ball nearly as hard last year, as he saw career worsts in average exit velocity and hard hit rate. He likely won't ever be the player he was at his peak, but there's still plenty in his bat that can help fantasy managers, including the handful of steals he will throw in each year. He's a starting-caliber first baseman still, without question, and he'll go at a discount because of last year's numbers.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Bellinger has begun playing in spring games, so concerns over his offseason shoulder surgery have lessened. Now it's time to figure out if we can rely on him as a fantasy star following an underwhelming 2020. It's worth noting that Bellinger finished strong, posting a 12.5% barrel-rate over his final 37 contests. This was very close to the 13% barrel-rate mark from his MVP-winning 2019. Over these final 37 games Bellinger hit 10 homers with a .960 OPS. 2019 could very well go down as the best season of his career, but that doesn't mean Bellinger can't be a fantasy star for years to come. Don't let him fall too late into Round 2 come draft day.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
 
 The injury is obviously concerning, but if it winds up being nothing, Bellinger is going to make second round ADP look very silly. Don't forget how great of a player he is, in the middle of the best lineup in the league.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy