Who Should I Draft?

Cody Bellinger or Jesus Aguilar (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Jesus Aguilar
1B - TB
Jesus Aguilar
Expert
Recommendation
97%
Recommended by
57 of 59 experts
3%
Recommended by
2 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 30# 55
Best Rank# 16# 28
Worst Rank# 49# 192
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 39# 78
Best Rank# 38# 75
Worst Rank# 50# 85
   
Projections 
   
Runs8877
Home Runs3231
RBI9595
Stolen Bases120
Batting Average.262.260
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-MiLB
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 28# 68
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 44
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 48# 54
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 25# 29
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 37# 66
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 33# 42
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 26# 61
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 49# 52
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 26# 51
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 30# 45
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 16# 132
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 32# 71
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 32# 60
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 33# 35
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 40# 60
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 41# 52
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 32# 57
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 19# 76
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 46# 66
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 26# 65
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 32# 56
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 31# 60
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 45# 89
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 30# 58
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 33# 88
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 27# 53
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 29# 44
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 38# 73
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 33# 53
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 33# 43
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 33# 66
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 31# 192
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 32# 41
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 32# 63
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 32# 60
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 28# 75
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 29# 54
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 33# 59
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 27# 59
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 27# 65
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 34# 44
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 31# 66
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 32# 65
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 30# 68
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 39# 55
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 27# 65
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 29# 75
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 30# 63
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 30# 57
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 32# 38
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 28# 79
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 27# 39
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 24# 36
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 31# 67
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 24# 61
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 29# 52
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 36# 56
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 34# 28
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 45# 35
   
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Jesus Aguilar
1B - TB
Jesus Aguilar
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats557492
   
Runs8480
   
Hits145135
   
Singles8575
   
Doubles2825
   
Triples70
   
Home Runs2535
   
RBI76108
   
Stolen Bases140
   
Caught Stealing10
   
Walks6958
   
Strikeouts151143
   
Batting Average.260.274
   
On Base Pct.343.352
   
Slugging Pct.470.539
   
On-base Plus Slugging.814.890
   
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Jesus Aguilar
1B - TB
Jesus Aguilar
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats548520
   
Runs8877
   
Hits143135
   
Singles7978
   
Doubles2825
   
Triples51
   
Home Runs3231
   
RBI9595
   
Stolen Bases120
   
Caught Stealing30
   
Walks6955
   
Strikeouts149147
   
Batting Average.262.260
   
On Base Pct.345.330
   
Slugging Pct.507.492
   
On-base Plus Slugging.851.822
   
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Jesus Aguilar
1B - TB
Jesus Aguilar
News 
 Cody Bellinger hit his 47th homer of the year in the Dodgers’ 9-2 win over the Giants on Friday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 28th
Jesus Aguilar hit a two-run homer in his only at-bat in Tuesday's loss to the Dodgers.
John Aubin
Wed, Sep 18th
 Cody Bellinger hit a grand slam in the Dodgers' 7-4 win over the Rockies on Sunday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Sep 22nd
Jesus Aguilar went 2-for-4 with a solo home run and another RBI in Friday's victory over the Angels.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 14th
 Cody Bellinger went 1-for-4 with a double, a walk, a run scored, and a stolen base in the Dodgers' 12-5 win over the Rockies on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 21st
Jesus Aguilar went 1-for-3 with a three-run home run Friday against the Indians.
John Aubin
Sat, Aug 31st
 Cody Bellinger went 2-for-4 with an RBI, two runs scored, and a stolen base in the Dodgers' 4-2 win over the Orioles on Thursday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 13th
Jesus Aguilar went 2-for-4 with a solo home run, two total RBI and two runs scored in Sunday's win over the Marlins.
John Aubin
Sun, Aug 4th
 Cody Bellinger went 1-for-4 with a walk, an RBI, and a run scored in the Dodgers' win over the Orioles on Tuesday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 11th
Jesus Aguilar went 2-for-3 and scored two runs against the Red Sox in his first game as a Ray on Thursday.
John Aubin
Fri, Aug 2nd
Notes 
 Last year was a major disappointment for Bellinger owners after he hit 39 homers in just 132 rookie games in 2017. He still managed to hit 25 bombs with 14 steals, however, so the floor is plenty high. At just 23 years old, we clearly haven't seen the best of Bellinger so don't be surprised if he breaks out for 50 bombs this year or next
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
After hitting .265 with 16 HRs in 279 at-bats in 2017, Aguilar got the chance to be a full-time player in 2018, and took advantage to the sweet tune of a .274/80/35/108 line that made him a top-three first baseman in standard 5x5 roto leagues. Aguilar is a zero on the base paths and he strikes out too much to be of much help in batting average, either, but the power is very real and his run production numbers should continue to be excellent in a loaded lineup and great home park. Call Aguilar a HR/RBI specialist if you must, but at least recognize that he is one of the better HR/RBI specialists in the game.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Bellinger was always due for some negative regression after he belted 39 home runs in just 480 at-bats during his rookie 2017 season, but he should now be due for a bit of positive regression after managing just 25 home runs last year. His hard hit rate tailed off a bit, but his exit velocity and launch angle remained unchanged, so he's a good bet to return to the 30-35 HR range this year. Bellinger promisingly trimmed his strikeout rate, indicating that he should be able to keep his batting average in the .260 range even if his BABIP drops a little, and the 10-15 steals he provides give him a leg up on most other 1B-eligible players. The fact he's unlikely to hit .280-.300 keeps him a notch below Freeman, Goldschmidt, and Rizzo, but he's already the next best thing and is still just 23 years old.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Aguilar is currently being drafted ahead of players like Scooter Gennett, Eddie Rosario, Justin Upton, Josh Donaldson, and A.J. Pollock. He may have put together a great first half, but once pitchers built a book on him, his last 60 games saw him hit just .245 with 27 homers. His consensus projections aren't much higher, at 30 homers and a .258 batting average. You can find production like that off the waiver wire at first base, and while there is a chance he returns to first-half form, you may be better off waiting 170 picks and grabbing a similar player like C.J. Cron.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 In 162 games and 84 more plate appearances than in his spectacular arrival, Bellinger hit 14 fewer home runs (25) while his ISO dropped from .315 to .210. On the bright side, he avoided significant batting-average regression by hitting .260 with a diminished strikeout rate (23.9%). The 23-year-old maintains more than enough raw power to jump back to 30 long balls, but don't overlook his 14 steals in 15 tries. This isn't a mere case of catching opponents off guard, as the 6'4" stud recorded a higher Statcast speed score (28.9) than Jose Peraza, Tim Anderson, and Ozzie Albies. He's a 30-15 candidate with upside for more, so don't let him fall too far beyond the fourth round.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Aguilar's breakout may have seemed to come out of nowhere, but it was only the playing time that was particularly surprising. After slugging .505 in a short-end platoon role in 2017, he supplanted Eric Thames to pop 35 homers with a 134 wRC+ in a full-time role. All the hard hits and a high launch angle say the power is legit, but his contract skills don't support a .274 hitter. Drafters are naturally dubious of playing for a late bloomer's career year, but Milwaukee's starting first baseman shouldn't fall off a cliff entirely. He should at least remain good for a .250, 30-homer campaign.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros