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Who Should I Draft?

Cody Bellinger or Lucas Giolito (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF,RF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Expert
Recommendation
80%
Recommended by
44 of 55 experts
20%
Recommended by
11 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 15# 20
Best Rank# 5# 11
Worst Rank# 37# 79
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 15# 19
Best Rank# 12# 17
Worst Rank# 19# 24
   
Projections 
   
Runs100
Home Runs3726
RBI106
Stolen Bases14
Batting Avg.279
Strikeouts123220
Wins13
Saves0
ERA3.71
WHIP1.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL10-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 21
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 35
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 14# 17
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 11# 79
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 10# 29
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 10# 34
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 14# 19
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 18# 25
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 14# 78
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 9# 36
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 17# 22
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 15# 21
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 14# 31
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 5# 47
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 8# 28
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 14# 24
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 16# 22
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 15# 20
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 16# 19
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 12# 26
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 15# 19
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 12# 45
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 14# 19
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 13# 27
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 15# 20
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 9# 20
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 15# 19
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 14# 23
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 14# 35
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 15# 21
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 16# 22
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 18# 21
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 15# 19
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 18# 34
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 11# 18
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 17# 19
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 8# 19
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 20# 42
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 15# 20
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 13# 15
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 18# 25
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 17# 24
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 11# 24
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 15# 20
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 16# 14
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 17# 16
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 18# 15
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 20# 17
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 20# 18
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 23# 12
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 24# 20
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 28# 22
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 30# 11
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 36# 19
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 37# 18
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF,RF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs33
   
Home Runs128
   
RBI30
   
Stolen Bases6
   
Batting Avg.239
   
Strikeouts4297
   
Wins4
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.48
   
WHIP1.04
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF,RF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs100
   
Home Runs3726
   
RBI106
   
Stolen Bases14
   
Batting Avg.279
   
Strikeouts123220
   
Wins13
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.71
   
WHIP1.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF,RF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
News 
 Dodgers 1B/OF Cody Bellinger (leg) has resumed running on the field.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, May 10th
Lucas Giolito (2-4) allowed five runs on five hits and three walks while striking out seven across six innings during Game 1 of Friday’s 6-2 loss to the Royals. He was tagged with his fourth loss of the season.
Brad Camara
Fri, May 14th
 Dodgers manager Dave Roberts noted that Cody Bellinger will take some live at-bats at their Spring Training complex later this week. Bellinger completed 40% bodyweight running and slowly progressing.
Corbin Young
Wed, Apr 28th
Lucas Giolito (2-3) allowed one run on four hits and two walks while striking out two over five innings earning the win during Sunday’s 9-3 victory over the Royals.
Brad Camara
Mon, May 10th
 Los Angeles Dodgers outfielder Cody Bellinger, who's on the IL with a hairline fracture in his left fibula, is taking batting practice on Thursday.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, Apr 22nd
Lucas Giolito (1-3) allowed two runs (one earned) on five hits and three walks while striking out eight across five 1/3 innings in Sunday’s 5-0 loss to Cleveland. He was tagged with his third loss of the season.
Brad Camara
Sun, May 2nd
 Dodgers manager Dave Roberts revealed on Friday that a recent scan revealed a hairline fracture in Cody Bellinger's leg.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Apr 16th
Lucas Giolito (1-2) allowed four runs on five hits and three walks while striking out seven across six 2/3 innings during Tuesday’s 5-2 loss to the Tigers. He picked up his second loss of the season.
Brad Camara
Wed, Apr 28th
 The Los Angeles Dodgers placed Cody Bellinger on the injured list with a left calf contusion and recalled Luke Raley on Friday, according to Jon Morosi of MLB Network.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Apr 9th
Lucas Giolito said after Saturday's game that his start has been pushed back due to a cut on his right middle finger.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Apr 25th
Notes 
 Bellinger was unable to replicate the magic of his 2019 breakout during last year's shortened season. His average dipped to .239, the worst mark of his career, his power dropped significantly, and he didn't make the same quality of contact. But although he slid backwards in his walk and strikeout rates, his regression there was minimal, and his expected batting average was .284. In other words, Bellinger got worse in 2020, but it wasn't quite as bad as the surface numbers suggest. He did have offseason shoulder surgery after getting injured during a post-season celebration, and that's always a bit worrisome for a hitter. But given that a "down" year for Bellinger at this point is a 30-15 season, he warrants being selected early in the second round.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Giolito followed up his breakout 2019 season with a nearly identical 2020 season. His ERA was within .07, his WHIP within .02, and his strikeout percentage within a point and a half. Despite pitching in a homer-friendly park, Giolito has managed to limit home runs, which is a key to his continued success with the White Sox. He won't face quite an easy schedule this year (AL and NL Central pitchers had plenty of sub-par offenses to feast on in 2019), but entering his age-27 season, he should only continue to improve from a skills standpoint. Draft him as an SP1, albeit a low-end one.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Bellinger has begun playing in spring games, so concerns over his offseason shoulder surgery have lessened. Now it's time to figure out if we can rely on him as a fantasy star following an underwhelming 2020. It's worth noting that Bellinger finished strong, posting a 12.5% barrel-rate over his final 37 contests. This was very close to the 13% barrel-rate mark from his MVP-winning 2019. Over these final 37 games Bellinger hit 10 homers with a .960 OPS. 2019 could very well go down as the best season of his career, but that doesn't mean Bellinger can't be a fantasy star for years to come. Don't let him fall too late into Round 2 come draft day.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
 
 The injury is obviously concerning, but if it winds up being nothing, Bellinger is going to make second round ADP look very silly. Don't forget how great of a player he is, in the middle of the best lineup in the league.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy