Who Should I Draft?
Cody Bellinger or Manny Machado (2021)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Cody Bellinger 1B,CF,RF - LAD  | Manny Machado 3B,SS - SD  | |
Expert |
78% Recommended by 39 of 50 experts |
22% Recommended by 11 of 50 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 12 | # 14 |
| Best Rank | # 5 | # 11 |
| Worst Rank | # 25 | # 25 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 15 | # 20 |
| Best Rank | # 12 | # 16 |
| Worst Rank | # 19 | # 21 |
| Projections | ||
| Runs | 100 | 92 |
| Home Runs | 37 | 35 |
| RBI | 106 | 105 |
| Stolen Bases | 14 | 10 |
| Batting Average | .279 | .278 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | IL10 | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 13 | # 14 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 11 | # 12 |
| Steve Gardner USA Today | # 11 | # 14 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 10 | # 19 |
| Grey Albright Razzball | # 10 | # 15 |
| Greg Smith The Fake Baseball | # 9 | # 14 |
| KJ Fantasy Team Advice | # 12 | # 13 |
| Luke Gloeckner Mr. Cheatsheet | # 7 | # 14 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 12 | # 14 |
| Tim McCullough Baseball Prospectus | # 11 | # 13 |
| Rudy Gamble Razzball | # 5 | # 17 |
| Wayne Bretsky BretskyBall | # 8 | # 12 |
| Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 11 | # 21 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 12 | # 13 |
| Chris Meaney FTN | # 12 | # 14 |
| Andy Singleton Expand The Boxscore | # 13 | # 14 |
| Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 11 | # 14 |
| Adam Ronis Fantasy Alarm | # 12 | # 14 |
| Mario Mergola Sporfolio | # 9 | # 13 |
| Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 11 | # 14 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 12 | # 13 |
| Michael Waterloo FantasyPros | # 12 | # 16 |
| Donkey Teeth Razzball | # 7 | # 13 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 12 | # 14 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 12 | # 15 |
| Andrew Seifter FantasyPros | # 11 | # 13 |
| Max Freeze Freeze Stats | # 12 | # 14 |
| Dennis Sosic Fantasy Six Pack | # 13 | # 16 |
| Mick Ciallela Fantrax | # 13 | # 15 |
| Michael Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | # 12 | # 17 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 12 | # 13 |
| Ryan Amore Pitcher List | # 9 | # 25 |
| Brendan Tuma FantasyPros | # 12 | # 21 |
| Jacob W. Dunne New Life Fantasy | # 7 | # 14 |
| Carmen Maiorano FantasyPros | # 12 | # 22 |
| Staff Rankings Roto Ranks | # 12 | # 14 |
| Corbin Young FantasyData | # 10 | # 16 |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | # 8 | # 14 |
| Nicklaus Gaut RotoBaller | # 12 | # 13 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 13 | # 12 |
| Dave McKay The Fantasy Sports Brain | # 13 | # 11 |
| Todd D Clark The Fantasy Fix | # 13 | # 12 |
| Chris Clegg Fantrax | # 14 | # 13 |
| Jordan Eisen Field of Vision Sports | # 14 | # 13 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 16 | # 12 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 17 | # 11 |
| Lucas Spence Pitcher List | # 17 | # 13 |
| Brad Camara FantasyPros | # 20 | # 13 |
| Muntradamus Beast Dome | # 24 | # 17 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 25 | # 14 |
| Cody Bellinger 1B,CF,RF - LAD | Manny Machado 3B,SS - SD | |
| 2020 Stats | ||
| At Bats | 213 | 224 |
| Runs | 33 | 44 |
| Hits | 51 | 68 |
| Singles | 29 | 39 |
| Doubles | 10 | 12 |
| Triples | 0 | 1 |
| Home Runs | 12 | 16 |
| RBI | 30 | 47 |
| Stolen Bases | 6 | 6 |
| Caught Stealing | 1 | 3 |
| Walks | 30 | 26 |
| Strikeouts | 42 | 37 |
| Batting Average | .239 | .304 |
| On Base Pct | .333 | .370 |
| Slugging Pct | .455 | .580 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .789 | .950 |
| Cody Bellinger 1B,CF,RF - LAD | Manny Machado 3B,SS - SD | |
| 2021 Projections | ||
| At Bats | 552 | 587 |
| Runs | 100 | 92 |
| Hits | 153 | 162 |
| Singles | 81 | 96 |
| Doubles | 31 | 29 |
| Triples | 4 | 2 |
| Home Runs | 37 | 35 |
| RBI | 106 | 105 |
| Stolen Bases | 14 | 10 |
| Caught Stealing | 4 | 4 |
| Walks | 82 | 65 |
| Strikeouts | 123 | 113 |
| Batting Average | .279 | .278 |
| On Base Pct | .373 | .350 |
| Slugging Pct | .546 | .510 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .919 | .860 |
| Cody Bellinger 1B,CF,RF - LAD | Manny Machado 3B,SS - SD | |
| News | ||
| The Los Angeles Dodgers placed Cody Bellinger on the injured list with a left calf contusion and recalled Luke Raley on Friday, according to Jon Morosi of MLB Network. Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz Fri, Apr 9th | Manny Machado went 0-4 with 2 strikeouts in the Padres' loss to the Giants on Wednesday. Matt Flipi Wed, Apr 7th | |
| Cody Bellinger (calf) is absent from Friday's lineup against the Nationals. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Fri, Apr 9th | Manny Machado went 1-4 with a single in the Padres' loss to the Giants on Monday. Matt Flipi Tue, Apr 6th | |
| Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said Cody Bellinger won't play in Friday's home opener after Thursday's off day and that a stint on the injured list has not been ruled out. Bellinger was spiked on Monday but tests revealed no structural damage or stress fractures. Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz Wed, Apr 7th | Manny Machado went 3-4 with a HR and 2 RBI in the Padres win on Saturday. Matt Flipi Sun, Apr 4th | |
| Cody Bellinger (calf) is absent from Wednesday's lineup against the Athletics. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Wed, Apr 7th | All-Star 3B Manny Machado went 0-5 with one strikeout as the Padres come out victorious on Opening Day. Jack Mannis Thu, Apr 1st | |
| Cody Bellinger (calf) had tests done on his injured calf Tuesday night, which revealed no structural damage. Connor Rooney Wed, Apr 7th | The Athletic reports Padres 3B Manny Machado underwent laser eye surgery this offseason. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Sun, Feb 28th | |
| Notes | ||
| Bellinger was unable to replicate the magic of his 2019 breakout during last year's shortened season. His average dipped to .239, the worst mark of his career, his power dropped significantly, and he didn't make the same quality of contact. But although he slid backwards in his walk and strikeout rates, his regression there was minimal, and his expected batting average was .284. In other words, Bellinger got worse in 2020, but it wasn't quite as bad as the surface numbers suggest. He did have offseason shoulder surgery after getting injured during a post-season celebration, and that's always a bit worrisome for a hitter. But given that a "down" year for Bellinger at this point is a 30-15 season, he warrants being selected early in the second round. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | Machado was on pace to set career highs in most statistical categories other than steals after last year's 60-game season. He set career bests in strikeout and walk rates and, most importantly to fantasy managers, batting average, where he checked in at .304. Machado's batting average was earned (he had an identica .304 xBA), and came on the back of him cutting his ground ball rate to a career low 37.2% and his line drive rate to a career high 22%. Machado is still just entering his age-29 season, and will continue to bat in a loaded lineup. Expect some regression from his batting average, but all his other stellar numbers should remain on par, meaning it will be another outstanding season that is worth a second-round pick. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | |
| Bellinger has begun playing in spring games, so concerns over his offseason shoulder surgery have lessened. Now it's time to figure out if we can rely on him as a fantasy star following an underwhelming 2020. It's worth noting that Bellinger finished strong, posting a 12.5% barrel-rate over his final 37 contests. This was very close to the 13% barrel-rate mark from his MVP-winning 2019. Over these final 37 games Bellinger hit 10 homers with a .960 OPS. 2019 could very well go down as the best season of his career, but that doesn't mean Bellinger can't be a fantasy star for years to come. Don't let him fall too late into Round 2 come draft day. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | Being picked at his ceiling, which is always a no-no for me. Was all over him last season with his depressed ADP, now it is too high, and I will have very little shares. Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy | |
| The injury is obviously concerning, but if it winds up being nothing, Bellinger is going to make second round ADP look very silly. Don't forget how great of a player he is, in the middle of the best lineup in the league. Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy | Machado rode a career-year all the way to a third place finish in the National League MVP voting last summer. He proved to be a massive bargain in fantasy drafts following a disappointing 2019 campaign. Perhaps we never should've overreacted to his first year in San Diego, as Machado remains a tremendous talent. The issue with drafting him in 2021 is that we're paying a premium now. He'll need to produce at a similar rate as last year to pay off his aggressive ADP. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | |
