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Who Should I Draft?

Cody Bellinger or Manny Machado (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF,RF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Expert
Recommendation
78%
Recommended by
39 of 50 experts
22%
Recommended by
11 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 12# 14
Best Rank# 5# 11
Worst Rank# 25# 25
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 15# 20
Best Rank# 12# 16
Worst Rank# 19# 21
   
Projections 
   
Runs10092
Home Runs3735
RBI106105
Stolen Bases1410
Batting Average.279.278
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL10-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 14
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 12
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 11# 14
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 10# 19
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 10# 15
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 9# 14
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 12# 13
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 7# 14
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 12# 14
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 11# 13
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 5# 17
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 8# 12
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 11# 21
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 12# 13
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 12# 14
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 13# 14
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 11# 14
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 12# 14
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 9# 13
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 11# 14
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 12# 13
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 12# 16
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 7# 13
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 12# 14
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 12# 15
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 11# 13
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 12# 14
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 13# 16
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 13# 15
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 12# 17
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 12# 13
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 9# 25
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 12# 21
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 7# 14
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 12# 22
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 12# 14
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 10# 16
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 8# 14
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 12# 13
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 13# 12
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 13# 11
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 13# 12
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 14# 13
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 14# 13
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 12
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 17# 11
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 17# 13
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 20# 13
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 24# 17
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 25# 14
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF,RF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats213224
   
Runs3344
   
Hits5168
   
Singles2939
   
Doubles1012
   
Triples01
   
Home Runs1216
   
RBI3047
   
Stolen Bases66
   
Caught Stealing13
   
Walks3026
   
Strikeouts4237
   
Batting Average.239.304
   
On Base Pct.333.370
   
Slugging Pct.455.580
   
On-base Plus Slugging.789.950
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF,RF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats552587
   
Runs10092
   
Hits153162
   
Singles8196
   
Doubles3129
   
Triples42
   
Home Runs3735
   
RBI106105
   
Stolen Bases1410
   
Caught Stealing44
   
Walks8265
   
Strikeouts123113
   
Batting Average.279.278
   
On Base Pct.373.350
   
Slugging Pct.546.510
   
On-base Plus Slugging.919.860
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF,RF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
News 
 The Los Angeles Dodgers placed Cody Bellinger on the injured list with a left calf contusion and recalled Luke Raley on Friday, according to Jon Morosi of MLB Network.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Apr 9th
Manny Machado went 0-4 with 2 strikeouts in the Padres' loss to the Giants on Wednesday.
Matt Flipi
Wed, Apr 7th
 Cody Bellinger (calf) is absent from Friday's lineup against the Nationals.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Apr 9th
Manny Machado went 1-4 with a single in the Padres' loss to the Giants on Monday.
Matt Flipi
Tue, Apr 6th
 Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said Cody Bellinger won't play in Friday's home opener after Thursday's off day and that a stint on the injured list has not been ruled out. Bellinger was spiked on Monday but tests revealed no structural damage or stress fractures.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Apr 7th
Manny Machado went 3-4 with a HR and 2 RBI in the Padres win on Saturday.
Matt Flipi
Sun, Apr 4th
 Cody Bellinger (calf) is absent from Wednesday's lineup against the Athletics.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Apr 7th
All-Star 3B Manny Machado went 0-5 with one strikeout as the Padres come out victorious on Opening Day.
Jack Mannis
Thu, Apr 1st
 Cody Bellinger (calf) had tests done on his injured calf Tuesday night, which revealed no structural damage.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Apr 7th
The Athletic reports Padres 3B Manny Machado underwent laser eye surgery this offseason.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Feb 28th
Notes 
 Bellinger was unable to replicate the magic of his 2019 breakout during last year's shortened season. His average dipped to .239, the worst mark of his career, his power dropped significantly, and he didn't make the same quality of contact. But although he slid backwards in his walk and strikeout rates, his regression there was minimal, and his expected batting average was .284. In other words, Bellinger got worse in 2020, but it wasn't quite as bad as the surface numbers suggest. He did have offseason shoulder surgery after getting injured during a post-season celebration, and that's always a bit worrisome for a hitter. But given that a "down" year for Bellinger at this point is a 30-15 season, he warrants being selected early in the second round.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Machado was on pace to set career highs in most statistical categories other than steals after last year's 60-game season. He set career bests in strikeout and walk rates and, most importantly to fantasy managers, batting average, where he checked in at .304. Machado's batting average was earned (he had an identica .304 xBA), and came on the back of him cutting his ground ball rate to a career low 37.2% and his line drive rate to a career high 22%. Machado is still just entering his age-29 season, and will continue to bat in a loaded lineup. Expect some regression from his batting average, but all his other stellar numbers should remain on par, meaning it will be another outstanding season that is worth a second-round pick.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Bellinger has begun playing in spring games, so concerns over his offseason shoulder surgery have lessened. Now it's time to figure out if we can rely on him as a fantasy star following an underwhelming 2020. It's worth noting that Bellinger finished strong, posting a 12.5% barrel-rate over his final 37 contests. This was very close to the 13% barrel-rate mark from his MVP-winning 2019. Over these final 37 games Bellinger hit 10 homers with a .960 OPS. 2019 could very well go down as the best season of his career, but that doesn't mean Bellinger can't be a fantasy star for years to come. Don't let him fall too late into Round 2 come draft day.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Being picked at his ceiling, which is always a no-no for me. Was all over him last season with his depressed ADP, now it is too high, and I will have very little shares.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
 The injury is obviously concerning, but if it winds up being nothing, Bellinger is going to make second round ADP look very silly. Don't forget how great of a player he is, in the middle of the best lineup in the league.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
Machado rode a career-year all the way to a third place finish in the National League MVP voting last summer. He proved to be a massive bargain in fantasy drafts following a disappointing 2019 campaign. Perhaps we never should've overreacted to his first year in San Diego, as Machado remains a tremendous talent. The issue with drafting him in 2021 is that we're paying a premium now. He'll need to produce at a similar rate as last year to pay off his aggressive ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros