Who Should I Draft?

Cody Bellinger or Matt Carpenter (2019)

Experts' Pick
  Cody Bellinger
Cody Bellinger
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Recommended by
53 of 59 experts
Recommended by
6 of 59 experts
ECR# 30# 49
Best Rank# 16# 12
Worst Rank# 49# 100
Composite# 39# 65
Best Rank# 38# 58
Worst Rank# 50# 72
Home Runs3228
Stolen Bases123
Batting Average.262.256
Injury Alert--
Expert Ranks 
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 28# 51
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 35
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 25
Brad Richter
# 45# 47
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 37# 39
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 33# 50
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 26# 46
Site Projections
# 49# 65
Grey Albright
# 26# 78
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 30# 83
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 16# 68
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 32# 50
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 32# 36
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 33# 65
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 32# 70
Fantasy Team Advice
# 19# 71
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 46# 100
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 26# 59
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 32# 48
Andrew Gould
# 31# 40
Rudy Gamble
# 45# 76
Wayne Bretsky
# 30# 37
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 33# 78
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 27# 47
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 29# 33
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 38# 53
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 33# 47
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 33# 58
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 33# 36
Mario Mergola
# 31# 66
Paul Sporer
# 32# 48
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 32# 37
Nick Mariano
# 28# 50
Bobby Sylvester
# 29# 56
Justin Mason
# 33# 49
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 27# 51
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 27# 72
Donkey Teeth
# 34# 62
Dan Harris
# 31# 51
Pierre Camus
# 32# 54
Andrew Seifter
# 30# 81
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 39# 57
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
# 27# 64
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 29# 61
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 30# 42
Jacob Gibbs
# 30# 55
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 32# 45
Mick Ciallela
# 28# 64
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 27# 58
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 24# 38
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 31# 39
Ariel Cohen
# 24# 70
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 36# 38
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 29# 24
Bill Dubiel
# 32# 29
Beast Dome
# 34# 12
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 40# 37
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 41# 26
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 48# 36
  Cody Bellinger
Cody Bellinger
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
2018 Stats 
At Bats557564
Home Runs2536
Stolen Bases144
Caught Stealing11
Batting Average.260.257
On Base Pct.343.374
Slugging Pct.470.523
On-base Plus Slugging.814.897
  Cody Bellinger
Cody Bellinger
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
2019 Projections 
At Bats548529
Home Runs3228
Stolen Bases123
Caught Stealing32
Batting Average.262.256
On Base Pct.345.369
Slugging Pct.507.486
On-base Plus Slugging.851.855
  Cody Bellinger
Cody Bellinger
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
 Cody Bellinger went 1-for-4 with a double, a walk, a run scored, and a stolen base in the Dodgers' 12-5 win over the Rockies on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 21st
Matt Carpenter went 1-for-2 with a go-ahead solo home run in Thursday's win over the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Sep 20th
 Cody Bellinger went 2-for-4 with an RBI, two runs scored, and a stolen base in the Dodgers' 4-2 win over the Orioles on Thursday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 13th
Matt Carpenter did not start Tuesday's game against the Nationals, and went 0-for-1 as a pinch hitter.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 18th
 Cody Bellinger went 1-for-4 with a walk, an RBI, and a run scored in the Dodgers' win over the Orioles on Tuesday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 11th
Matt Carpenter went 2-for-3 with two walks, two singles, an RBI, and a run scored in Thursday's win over the Giants.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Sep 5th
 Cody Bellinger hit his 43rd homer of the season in Sunday's 4-3 win over the Diamondbacks.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Sep 2nd
Matt Carpenter went 3-for-4 with a home run, three runs scored, two RBI, and a walk in Sunday's win over the Rockies.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Aug 26th
 Cody Bellinger is absent from Saturday's lineup versus the Diamondbacks.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Aug 31st
Matt Carpenter went 1-for-3 with a walk as the Cardinals defeated the Royals 2-0.
Brandon Plutner
Tue, Aug 13th
 Last year was a major disappointment for Bellinger owners after he hit 39 homers in just 132 rookie games in 2017. He still managed to hit 25 bombs with 14 steals, however, so the floor is plenty high. At just 23 years old, we clearly haven't seen the best of Bellinger so don't be surprised if he breaks out for 50 bombs this year or next
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Over the last five years, Carpenter has a remarkable 468 walks, which obviously has contributed to his 483 runs. In that time, his power has steadily improved, all the way to 36 homers last year, and while that total may not be repeatable, 30 homers with 100 runs makes him well worth a sixth round pick in 2019 fantasy leagues
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Bellinger was always due for some negative regression after he belted 39 home runs in just 480 at-bats during his rookie 2017 season, but he should now be due for a bit of positive regression after managing just 25 home runs last year. His hard hit rate tailed off a bit, but his exit velocity and launch angle remained unchanged, so he's a good bet to return to the 30-35 HR range this year. Bellinger promisingly trimmed his strikeout rate, indicating that he should be able to keep his batting average in the .260 range even if his BABIP drops a little, and the 10-15 steals he provides give him a leg up on most other 1B-eligible players. The fact he's unlikely to hit .280-.300 keeps him a notch below Freeman, Goldschmidt, and Rizzo, but he's already the next best thing and is still just 23 years old.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Carpenter blew away his previous career high by hitting 36 home runs in 2018, but that was fueled by a 19.1 percent HR/FB rate that was far higher than he's ever had before. To be fair, he did have the highest hard contact rate in MLB, so it's not like the home run spike was a total fluke, but fantasy owners should generally be cautious when a player has an outlier season this late in their career. The odds are against Carpenter hitting 35+ home runs again, and while he regularly produces an excellent OBP, he is a bit of a drag in batting average and has little speed to speak of. He's a much better pick in points leagues and leagues that reward OBP than he is in traditional 5x5 roto/categories leagues, where he could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 In 162 games and 84 more plate appearances than in his spectacular arrival, Bellinger hit 14 fewer home runs (25) while his ISO dropped from .315 to .210. On the bright side, he avoided significant batting-average regression by hitting .260 with a diminished strikeout rate (23.9%). The 23-year-old maintains more than enough raw power to jump back to 30 long balls, but don't overlook his 14 steals in 15 tries. This isn't a mere case of catching opponents off guard, as the 6'4" stud recorded a higher Statcast speed score (28.9) than Jose Peraza, Tim Anderson, and Ozzie Albies. He's a 30-15 candidate with upside for more, so don't let him fall too far beyond the fourth round.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Despite entering the season with health woes and batting .155 in April, Carpenter then went scorched earth to hit .257/.374/.523 with a career-high 36 homers. It's dicey to bet on a 33-year-old coming off a career year, but he simply punishes baseball too severely to discredit. He led qualified hitters in hard-hit rate (49.0%) with the fifth-highest fly-ball rate (46.9%) and fourth-lowest popup rate (2.1%). Given his elite blend of hitting the ball hard, high, and far, Statcast's .535 XSLG and .386 xwOBA even offer room for growth. Expect more elite power in 2019.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros