Who Should I Draft?

Cody Bellinger or Matt Carpenter (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Expert
Recommendation
89%
Recommended by
50 of 56 experts
11%
Recommended by
6 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 30# 50
Best Rank# 16# 12
Worst Rank# 49# 100
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 39# 65
Best Rank# 38# 58
Worst Rank# 50# 72
   
Projections 
   
Runs8897
Home Runs3228
RBI9576
Stolen Bases123
Batting Average.262.256
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 28# 51
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 35
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 25
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 45# 47
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 37# 39
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 33# 50
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 26# 46
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 49# 65
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 26# 78
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 30# 83
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 16# 68
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 32# 50
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 32# 36
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 33# 65
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 32# 70
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 19# 71
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 46# 100
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 26# 59
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 32# 48
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 31# 40
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 45# 76
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 30# 37
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 33# 78
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 27# 47
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 29# 33
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 38# 53
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 33# 47
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 33# 58
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 33# 36
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 31# 66
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 31# 47
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 32# 48
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 32# 37
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 28# 50
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 29# 56
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 33# 49
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 27# 51
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 27# 72
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 34# 62
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 31# 51
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 32# 54
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 30# 81
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 39# 57
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 27# 64
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 29# 61
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 30# 55
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 28# 64
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 31# 39
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 24# 70
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 36# 38
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 29# 24
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 32# 29
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 34# 12
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 40# 37
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 41# 26
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 48# 36
   
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats557564
   
Runs84111
   
Hits145145
   
Singles8567
   
Doubles2842
   
Triples70
   
Home Runs2536
   
RBI7681
   
Stolen Bases144
   
Caught Stealing11
   
Walks69102
   
Strikeouts151158
   
Batting Average.260.257
   
On Base Pct.343.374
   
Slugging Pct.470.523
   
On-base Plus Slugging.814.897
   
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats548529
   
Runs8897
   
Hits143135
   
Singles7971
   
Doubles2835
   
Triples52
   
Home Runs3228
   
RBI9576
   
Stolen Bases123
   
Caught Stealing32
   
Walks6995
   
Strikeouts149140
   
Batting Average.262.256
   
On Base Pct.345.369
   
Slugging Pct.507.486
   
On-base Plus Slugging.851.855
   
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
News 
 Cody Bellinger went 1-for-3 with a solo homer and a walk as the Dodgers beat the Cubs 3-2 on Sunday Night Baseball.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jun 17th
Matt Carpenter went 3-for-4 with a solo home run and three runs scored in the Cardinals' 5-0 win over the Marlins on Monday.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 17th
 Cody Bellinger went 0-for-3 with a walk and a stolen base as the Dodgers fell to the Cubs 2-1 on Saturday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 16th
Matt Carpenter went 1-for-3 with an RBI on Thursday against the Mets.
Dan Harris
Fri, Jun 14th
 Cody Bellinger went 3-for-4 with two homers, two RBI, and two runs scored in Thursday's 7-3 win over the Cubs.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jun 14th
Carpenter is not in the starting lineup for Friday's game against the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Jun 7th
 Cody Bellinger went 1-for-4 with a single in Monday's 5-3 loss to the Angels.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 11th
Carpenter was pulled in the top of the eighth inning of Thursday's game against the Cincinnati Reds; he was replaced at third base by Jedd Gyorko.
James Bisson
Thu, Jun 6th
 Cody Bellinger extended his hit streak to 12 games as the Dodgers fell to Arizona in extra innings on Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 5th
Matt Carpenter went 1-for-1 with a pinch-hit, solo home run in the Cardinals' 5-3 win over the Phillies on Thursday.
Elliott Baas
Thu, May 30th
Notes 
 Last year was a major disappointment for Bellinger owners after he hit 39 homers in just 132 rookie games in 2017. He still managed to hit 25 bombs with 14 steals, however, so the floor is plenty high. At just 23 years old, we clearly haven't seen the best of Bellinger so don't be surprised if he breaks out for 50 bombs this year or next
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Over the last five years, Carpenter has a remarkable 468 walks, which obviously has contributed to his 483 runs. In that time, his power has steadily improved, all the way to 36 homers last year, and while that total may not be repeatable, 30 homers with 100 runs makes him well worth a sixth round pick in 2019 fantasy leagues
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Bellinger was always due for some negative regression after he belted 39 home runs in just 480 at-bats during his rookie 2017 season, but he should now be due for a bit of positive regression after managing just 25 home runs last year. His hard hit rate tailed off a bit, but his exit velocity and launch angle remained unchanged, so he's a good bet to return to the 30-35 HR range this year. Bellinger promisingly trimmed his strikeout rate, indicating that he should be able to keep his batting average in the .260 range even if his BABIP drops a little, and the 10-15 steals he provides give him a leg up on most other 1B-eligible players. The fact he's unlikely to hit .280-.300 keeps him a notch below Freeman, Goldschmidt, and Rizzo, but he's already the next best thing and is still just 23 years old.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Carpenter blew away his previous career high by hitting 36 home runs in 2018, but that was fueled by a 19.1 percent HR/FB rate that was far higher than he's ever had before. To be fair, he did have the highest hard contact rate in MLB, so it's not like the home run spike was a total fluke, but fantasy owners should generally be cautious when a player has an outlier season this late in their career. The odds are against Carpenter hitting 35+ home runs again, and while he regularly produces an excellent OBP, he is a bit of a drag in batting average and has little speed to speak of. He's a much better pick in points leagues and leagues that reward OBP than he is in traditional 5x5 roto/categories leagues, where he could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 In 162 games and 84 more plate appearances than in his spectacular arrival, Bellinger hit 14 fewer home runs (25) while his ISO dropped from .315 to .210. On the bright side, he avoided significant batting-average regression by hitting .260 with a diminished strikeout rate (23.9%). The 23-year-old maintains more than enough raw power to jump back to 30 long balls, but don't overlook his 14 steals in 15 tries. This isn't a mere case of catching opponents off guard, as the 6'4" stud recorded a higher Statcast speed score (28.9) than Jose Peraza, Tim Anderson, and Ozzie Albies. He's a 30-15 candidate with upside for more, so don't let him fall too far beyond the fourth round.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Despite entering the season with health woes and batting .155 in April, Carpenter then went scorched earth to hit .257/.374/.523 with a career-high 36 homers. It's dicey to bet on a 33-year-old coming off a career year, but he simply punishes baseball too severely to discredit. He led qualified hitters in hard-hit rate (49.0%) with the fifth-highest fly-ball rate (46.9%) and fourth-lowest popup rate (2.1%). Given his elite blend of hitting the ball hard, high, and far, Statcast's .535 XSLG and .386 xwOBA even offer room for growth. Expect more elite power in 2019.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros