Who Should I Draft?

Cody Bellinger or Tommy Pham (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Tommy Pham
LF,CF - TB
Tommy Pham
Expert
Recommendation
89%
Recommended by
50 of 56 experts
11%
Recommended by
6 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 30# 44
Best Rank# 16# 24
Worst Rank# 49# 82
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 39# 72
Best Rank# 38# 60
Worst Rank# 50# 73
   
Projections 
   
Runs8891
Home Runs3222
RBI9571
Stolen Bases1217
Batting Average.262.272
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 28# 44
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 39
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 25# 34
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 33# 44
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 26# 36
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 26# 73
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 30# 47
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 16# 51
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 32# 36
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 32# 55
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 34# 82
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 33# 81
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 40# 49
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 41# 45
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 32# 53
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 19# 72
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 26# 50
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 32# 42
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 31# 39
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 45# 77
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 30# 41
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 33# 36
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 27# 39
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 29# 36
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 38# 54
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 33# 38
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 33# 46
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 33# 41
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 31# 34
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 31# 44
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 32# 51
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 32# 36
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 32# 45
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 28# 41
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 29# 57
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 33# 36
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 27# 40
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 27# 42
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 34# 37
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 31# 47
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 32# 53
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 30# 45
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 27# 62
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 29# 58
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 30# 44
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 28# 34
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 31# 40
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 24# 36
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 29# 60
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 36# 40
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 37# 30
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 39# 31
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 45# 38
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 46# 26
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 48# 46
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 49# 24
   
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Tommy Pham
LF,CF - TB
Tommy Pham
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats557494
   
Runs84102
   
Hits145136
   
Singles8591
   
Doubles2818
   
Triples76
   
Home Runs2521
   
RBI7663
   
Stolen Bases1415
   
Caught Stealing17
   
Walks6967
   
Strikeouts151140
   
Batting Average.260.275
   
On Base Pct.343.367
   
Slugging Pct.470.464
   
On-base Plus Slugging.814.830
   
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Tommy Pham
LF,CF - TB
Tommy Pham
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats548508
   
Runs8891
   
Hits143138
   
Singles7990
   
Doubles2822
   
Triples54
   
Home Runs3222
   
RBI9571
   
Stolen Bases1217
   
Caught Stealing36
   
Walks6969
   
Strikeouts149146
   
Batting Average.262.272
   
On Base Pct.345.359
   
Slugging Pct.507.462
   
On-base Plus Slugging.851.820
   
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Tommy Pham
LF,CF - TB
Tommy Pham
News 
 Cody Bellinger was removed from Wednesday's game against the Diamondbacks because of left knee tendinitis.
Dan Harris
Wed, Jun 26th
Tommy Pham went 1-for-4 with a home run in Wednesday's loss to the Twins.
John Aubin
Thu, Jun 27th
 Cody Bellinger is absent from Tuesday's lineup versus Arizona.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 25th
Tommy Pham went 1-for-4 with a walk and scored two runs as the Rays beat the Athletics by an 8-2 score on Sunday.
John Aubin
Mon, Jun 24th
 Cody Bellinger hit his 25th homer of the year in Friday's 4-2 win over the Rockies.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 22nd
Tommy Pham went 2-for-4 with one RBI as the Rays lost to the Yankees on Wednesday by a 12-1 score.
John Aubin
Wed, Jun 19th
 Cody Bellinger went 1-for-3 with a solo homer and a walk as the Dodgers beat the Cubs 3-2 on Sunday Night Baseball.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jun 17th
Tommy Pham went 1-for-3 with a solo home run to power the Rays to a 6-5 win over the Angels on Sunday.
John Aubin
Mon, Jun 17th
 Cody Bellinger went 0-for-3 with a walk and a stolen base as the Dodgers fell to the Cubs 2-1 on Saturday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 16th
Tommy Pham went 2-for-3 with a walk and a run scored in a loss to the Angels on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 16th
Notes 
 Last year was a major disappointment for Bellinger owners after he hit 39 homers in just 132 rookie games in 2017. He still managed to hit 25 bombs with 14 steals, however, so the floor is plenty high. At just 23 years old, we clearly haven't seen the best of Bellinger so don't be surprised if he breaks out for 50 bombs this year or next
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Despite playing 34 fewer games than Andrew Benintendi over the last two seasons, Pham has outplayed him from a fantasy perspective. Pham is being drafted four rounds later and is coming off one of the best second-halfs in the MLB
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Bellinger was always due for some negative regression after he belted 39 home runs in just 480 at-bats during his rookie 2017 season, but he should now be due for a bit of positive regression after managing just 25 home runs last year. His hard hit rate tailed off a bit, but his exit velocity and launch angle remained unchanged, so he's a good bet to return to the 30-35 HR range this year. Bellinger promisingly trimmed his strikeout rate, indicating that he should be able to keep his batting average in the .260 range even if his BABIP drops a little, and the 10-15 steals he provides give him a leg up on most other 1B-eligible players. The fact he's unlikely to hit .280-.300 keeps him a notch below Freeman, Goldschmidt, and Rizzo, but he's already the next best thing and is still just 23 years old.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
After breaking out in 2017 with a .306 average, 23 HRs, and 25 SBs, Pham's numbers were down through nearly 100 games in 2018 before he was traded to Tampa, where he finished with a flurry. The end result was a perfectly respectable .275/102/21/63/15 roto line that was good enough to rank 16th among outfielders. Pham may strike out a bit too much to be a true .300 hitter, but he isn't a batting average liability, and there is no reason he can't again go 20-20 as long as the Rays continue to give him the green light on the base paths. He is a bit of an injury risk, but has shown he can make a big impact in 130-140 games.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 In 162 games and 84 more plate appearances than in his spectacular arrival, Bellinger hit 14 fewer home runs (25) while his ISO dropped from .315 to .210. On the bright side, he avoided significant batting-average regression by hitting .260 with a diminished strikeout rate (23.9%). The 23-year-old maintains more than enough raw power to jump back to 30 long balls, but don't overlook his 14 steals in 15 tries. This isn't a mere case of catching opponents off guard, as the 6'4" stud recorded a higher Statcast speed score (28.9) than Jose Peraza, Tim Anderson, and Ozzie Albies. He's a 30-15 candidate with upside for more, so don't let him fall too far beyond the fourth round.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Despite batting .248/.331/.399 with a .323 wOBA prior to the Cardinals trading him, Pham's .283 xBA and .364 xwOBA called for a rebound. He did just that and more, going .343/.448/.622 In 39 games with the Rays. Put it all together, and he was one of eight hitters to hit at least .275 with 20 homers and 15 steals. There's room for more across the board, as he recorded MLB's third-best hard-hit rate (48.5%) last season and poached 25 bags in 2017.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros