Who Should I Draft?

Cody Bellinger or Tommy Pham (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Tommy Pham
LF,CF - TB
Tommy Pham
Expert
Recommendation
90%
Recommended by
53 of 59 experts
10%
Recommended by
6 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 30# 42
Best Rank# 16# 24
Worst Rank# 49# 82
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 39# 72
Best Rank# 38# 60
Worst Rank# 50# 73
   
Projections 
   
Runs8891
Home Runs3222
RBI9571
Stolen Bases1217
Batting Average.262.272
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 28# 44
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 39
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 25# 34
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 33# 44
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 26# 36
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 26# 73
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 30# 47
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 16# 51
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 32# 36
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 32# 55
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 34# 82
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 33# 81
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 40# 49
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 41# 45
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 32# 53
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 19# 72
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 26# 50
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 32# 42
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 31# 39
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 45# 77
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 30# 41
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 33# 36
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 27# 39
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 29# 36
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 38# 54
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 33# 38
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 33# 46
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 33# 41
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 31# 34
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 32# 51
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 32# 36
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 32# 45
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 28# 41
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 29# 57
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 33# 36
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 27# 40
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 27# 42
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 34# 37
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 31# 47
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 32# 53
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 30# 45
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 27# 62
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 29# 58
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 30# 47
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 30# 44
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 32# 49
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 28# 34
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 27# 34
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 24# 34
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 31# 40
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 24# 36
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 29# 60
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 36# 40
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 37# 30
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 39# 31
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 45# 38
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 46# 26
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 48# 46
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 49# 24
   
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Tommy Pham
LF,CF - TB
Tommy Pham
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats557494
   
Runs84102
   
Hits145136
   
Singles8591
   
Doubles2818
   
Triples76
   
Home Runs2521
   
RBI7663
   
Stolen Bases1415
   
Caught Stealing17
   
Walks6967
   
Strikeouts151140
   
Batting Average.260.275
   
On Base Pct.343.367
   
Slugging Pct.470.464
   
On-base Plus Slugging.814.830
   
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Tommy Pham
LF,CF - TB
Tommy Pham
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats548508
   
Runs8891
   
Hits143138
   
Singles7990
   
Doubles2822
   
Triples54
   
Home Runs3222
   
RBI9571
   
Stolen Bases1217
   
Caught Stealing36
   
Walks6969
   
Strikeouts149146
   
Batting Average.262.272
   
On Base Pct.345.359
   
Slugging Pct.507.462
   
On-base Plus Slugging.851.820
   
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Tommy Pham
LF,CF - TB
Tommy Pham
News 
 Cody Bellinger hit his 47th homer of the year in the Dodgers’ 9-2 win over the Giants on Friday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 28th
Tommy Pham went 1-for-5 with a two-run home run in Friday’s 6-2 win over the Blue Jays.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 28th
 Cody Bellinger hit a grand slam in the Dodgers' 7-4 win over the Rockies on Sunday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Sep 22nd
Tommy Pham went 5-for-6 with a two-run double, a stolen base and three runs scored to lead the Rays to an 8-7 victory over the Dodgers in extra innings on Wednesday.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 19th
 Cody Bellinger went 1-for-4 with a double, a walk, a run scored, and a stolen base in the Dodgers' 12-5 win over the Rockies on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 21st
Tommy Pham went 1-for-3 with a walk, an RBI and scored two runs as the Rays beat the Angels by an 11-4 score on Friday.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 14th
 Cody Bellinger went 2-for-4 with an RBI, two runs scored, and a stolen base in the Dodgers' 4-2 win over the Orioles on Thursday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 13th
Tommy Pham went 1-for-4 with a walk and scored a run while also driving in a run on Wednesday as the Rays lost to the Rangers by a 10-9 score.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 12th
 Cody Bellinger went 1-for-4 with a walk, an RBI, and a run scored in the Dodgers' win over the Orioles on Tuesday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 11th
Tommy Pham left Thursday's game with right forearm tightness, Juan Toribio of MLB.com reports.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 6th
Notes 
 Last year was a major disappointment for Bellinger owners after he hit 39 homers in just 132 rookie games in 2017. He still managed to hit 25 bombs with 14 steals, however, so the floor is plenty high. At just 23 years old, we clearly haven't seen the best of Bellinger so don't be surprised if he breaks out for 50 bombs this year or next
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Despite playing 34 fewer games than Andrew Benintendi over the last two seasons, Pham has outplayed him from a fantasy perspective. Pham is being drafted four rounds later and is coming off one of the best second-halfs in the MLB
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Bellinger was always due for some negative regression after he belted 39 home runs in just 480 at-bats during his rookie 2017 season, but he should now be due for a bit of positive regression after managing just 25 home runs last year. His hard hit rate tailed off a bit, but his exit velocity and launch angle remained unchanged, so he's a good bet to return to the 30-35 HR range this year. Bellinger promisingly trimmed his strikeout rate, indicating that he should be able to keep his batting average in the .260 range even if his BABIP drops a little, and the 10-15 steals he provides give him a leg up on most other 1B-eligible players. The fact he's unlikely to hit .280-.300 keeps him a notch below Freeman, Goldschmidt, and Rizzo, but he's already the next best thing and is still just 23 years old.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
After breaking out in 2017 with a .306 average, 23 HRs, and 25 SBs, Pham's numbers were down through nearly 100 games in 2018 before he was traded to Tampa, where he finished with a flurry. The end result was a perfectly respectable .275/102/21/63/15 roto line that was good enough to rank 16th among outfielders. Pham may strike out a bit too much to be a true .300 hitter, but he isn't a batting average liability, and there is no reason he can't again go 20-20 as long as the Rays continue to give him the green light on the base paths. He is a bit of an injury risk, but has shown he can make a big impact in 130-140 games.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 In 162 games and 84 more plate appearances than in his spectacular arrival, Bellinger hit 14 fewer home runs (25) while his ISO dropped from .315 to .210. On the bright side, he avoided significant batting-average regression by hitting .260 with a diminished strikeout rate (23.9%). The 23-year-old maintains more than enough raw power to jump back to 30 long balls, but don't overlook his 14 steals in 15 tries. This isn't a mere case of catching opponents off guard, as the 6'4" stud recorded a higher Statcast speed score (28.9) than Jose Peraza, Tim Anderson, and Ozzie Albies. He's a 30-15 candidate with upside for more, so don't let him fall too far beyond the fourth round.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Despite batting .248/.331/.399 with a .323 wOBA prior to the Cardinals trading him, Pham's .283 xBA and .364 xwOBA called for a rebound. He did just that and more, going .343/.448/.622 In 39 games with the Rays. Put it all together, and he was one of eight hitters to hit at least .275 with 20 homers and 15 steals. There's room for more across the board, as he recorded MLB's third-best hard-hit rate (48.5%) last season and poached 25 bags in 2017.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros