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Who Should I Draft?

Cody Bellinger or Yu Darvish (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF,RF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
Expert
Recommendation
78%
Recommended by
43 of 55 experts
22%
Recommended by
12 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 15# 18
Best Rank# 5# 10
Worst Rank# 37# 40
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 15# 17
Best Rank# 12# 16
Worst Rank# 19# 19
   
Projections 
   
Runs100
Home Runs3723
RBI106
Stolen Bases14
Batting Avg.279
Strikeouts123217
Wins13
Saves0
ERA3.37
WHIP1.10
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL10-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 17
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 22
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 14# 15
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 11# 33
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 10# 23
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 10# 23
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 14# 18
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 14# 40
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 9# 18
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 17# 26
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 15# 18
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 14# 18
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 5# 23
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 8# 19
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 14# 19
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 16# 17
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 15# 21
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 16# 18
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 12# 19
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 15# 18
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 12# 18
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 14# 18
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 17# 18
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 13# 16
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 15# 19
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 9# 19
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 15# 18
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 14# 18
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 14# 20
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 15# 32
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 16# 17
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 15# 18
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 11# 17
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 18# 21
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 8# 35
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 16# 31
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 20# 23
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 15# 17
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 13# 17
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 18# 21
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 17# 22
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 11# 18
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 15# 18
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 17# 10
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 18# 16
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 18# 17
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 18# 17
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 20# 15
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 20# 17
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 23# 16
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 24# 17
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 28# 21
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 30# 12
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 36# 18
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 37# 25
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF,RF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs33
   
Home Runs125
   
RBI30
   
Stolen Bases6
   
Batting Avg.239
   
Strikeouts4293
   
Wins8
   
Saves0
   
ERA2.01
   
WHIP0.96
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF,RF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs100
   
Home Runs3723
   
RBI106
   
Stolen Bases14
   
Batting Avg.279
   
Strikeouts123217
   
Wins13
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.37
   
WHIP1.10
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF,RF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
News 
 Dodgers manager Dave Roberts noted that Cody Bellinger will take some live at-bats at their Spring Training complex later this week. Bellinger completed 40% bodyweight running and slowly progressing.
Corbin Young
Wed, Apr 28th
Yu Darvish gave up 1 earned run in 6.1 innings pitched in the Padres' win over the Giants on Friday. Darvish struck out 12 and walked 3 in the outing.
Matt Flipi
Sat, May 1st
 Los Angeles Dodgers outfielder Cody Bellinger, who's on the IL with a hairline fracture in his left fibula, is taking batting practice on Thursday.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, Apr 22nd
Yu Darvish gave up 1 earned run in 7 innings pitched in the Padres' win over the Dodgers on Friday. Darvish struck out 9 and walked 3 in the outing.
Matt Flipi
Sat, Apr 24th
 Dodgers manager Dave Roberts revealed on Friday that a recent scan revealed a hairline fracture in Cody Bellinger's leg.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Apr 16th
Yu Darvish gave up 1 earned run in 7 innings pitched in the Padres' loss to the Dodgers on Saturday. Darvish struck out 9 in the outing and walked 2.
Matt Flipi
Sun, Apr 18th
 The Los Angeles Dodgers placed Cody Bellinger on the injured list with a left calf contusion and recalled Luke Raley on Friday, according to Jon Morosi of MLB Network.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Apr 9th
Yu Darvish allowed 1 earned run in 7 innings pitched in the Padres' win over the Pirates on Monday. Darvish struck out 6 in the outing and walked 1.
Matt Flipi
Mon, Apr 12th
 Cody Bellinger (calf) is absent from Friday's lineup against the Nationals.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Apr 9th
Yu Darvish gave up 1 earned run in 6 innings pitched on Tuesday. Darvish struck out 7 in the outing and walked 1.
Matt Flipi
Wed, Apr 7th
Notes 
 Bellinger was unable to replicate the magic of his 2019 breakout during last year's shortened season. His average dipped to .239, the worst mark of his career, his power dropped significantly, and he didn't make the same quality of contact. But although he slid backwards in his walk and strikeout rates, his regression there was minimal, and his expected batting average was .284. In other words, Bellinger got worse in 2020, but it wasn't quite as bad as the surface numbers suggest. He did have offseason shoulder surgery after getting injured during a post-season celebration, and that's always a bit worrisome for a hitter. But given that a "down" year for Bellinger at this point is a 30-15 season, he warrants being selected early in the second round.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
After a career year in 2020, Darvish moves to San Diego in a trade that shouldn't affect his strong 2021 outlook all that much. Despite his advancing age, Darvish built on the gains he had made over the second half of 2019, finishing with a 2.01 ER, a 0.96 WHIP, and a 31.3% strikeout rate. Darvish's walk rate has declined to a level once thought unattainable for the veteran, a mere 4.7%, which was in the top 8% of MLB in 2020. Although he'll be entering his age-35 season, there's simply nothing in Darvish's numbers, metrics, or statcast data that points to a decline. If you are desperate to find a negative, it's a move from the weak-hitting NL Central to the much stronger NL West, but that's hardly a reason to avoid Darvish. Draft him as an easy top-10 starter, and more like a top-5 option.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Bellinger has begun playing in spring games, so concerns over his offseason shoulder surgery have lessened. Now it's time to figure out if we can rely on him as a fantasy star following an underwhelming 2020. It's worth noting that Bellinger finished strong, posting a 12.5% barrel-rate over his final 37 contests. This was very close to the 13% barrel-rate mark from his MVP-winning 2019. Over these final 37 games Bellinger hit 10 homers with a .960 OPS. 2019 could very well go down as the best season of his career, but that doesn't mean Bellinger can't be a fantasy star for years to come. Don't let him fall too late into Round 2 come draft day.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
In his first eight starts of 2019, Darvish allowed 33 free passes in 36 2/3 innings. Since then he has given up just 37 walks in 218 (!!) innings pitched. The key has been getting away from a slider he couldn't locate, combined with increased usage of his cutter. One of many offseason additions for the Padres this year, Darvish is a no-brainer, top-six SP entering 2021.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
 The injury is obviously concerning, but if it winds up being nothing, Bellinger is going to make second round ADP look very silly. Don't forget how great of a player he is, in the middle of the best lineup in the league.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy