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Who Should I Draft?

Corbin Burnes or Aroldis Chapman (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
Expert
Recommendation
71%
Recommended by
36 of 51 experts
29%
Recommended by
15 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 20# 23
Best Rank# 14# 16
Worst Rank# 46# 61
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 56# 65
Best Rank# 51# 62
Worst Rank# 60# 80
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts17485
Wins93
Saves032
ERA3.632.89
WHIP1.201.09
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 24
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 23
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 24# 30
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 19# 22
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 24
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 24# 39
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 22# 23
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 20# 26
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 26# 27
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 23# 24
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 24
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 21# 30
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 14# 25
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 21# 32
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 19# 28
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 20# 23
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 19# 61
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 16# 19
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 18# 31
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 18# 25
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 22# 23
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 36
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 18# 24
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 14# 24
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 18# 25
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 18# 25
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 18# 27
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 22# 24
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 17# 22
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 14# 29
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 20# 25
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 20# 21
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 20# 23
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 15# 23
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 19# 26
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 16# 27
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 20# 19
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 20# 19
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 24# 22
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 24# 18
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 24# 23
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 25# 24
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 25# 19
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 26# 16
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 27# 20
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 32# 26
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 38# 19
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 38# 37
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 40# 23
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 42# 21
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 46# 36
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1213
   
Games Started90
   
Innings Pitched60.312.3
   
Wins41
   
Losses11
   
Saves03
   
Blown Saves02
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed376
   
Earned Runs144
   
Home Runs Allowed22
   
Strikeouts8822
   
Walks244
   
ERA2.113.09
   
WHIP1.020.86
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2958
   
Games Started270
   
Innings Pitched142.156.6
   
Wins93
   
Losses72
   
Saves032
   
Blown Saves07
   
Holds01
   
Hits Allowed12038
   
Earned Runs5718
   
Home Runs Allowed186
   
Strikeouts17485
   
Walks5124
   
ERA3.632.89
   
WHIP1.201.09
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
News 
 Corbin Burnes (11-4) earned the win Saturday against the Mets, allowing one run on five hits in seven innings. He walked one and struck out nine.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 25th
Aroldis Chapman closed out the Red Sox in the ninth inning on Sunday night, pitching a scoreless inning allowing one walk, and striking out a batter.
John Aubin
Mon, Sep 27th
 Corbin Burnes did not factor into the decision Saturday against the Cubs, allowing three runs on six hits across six innings. He walked three and struck out 11.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 19th
Aroldis Chapman recorded his 29th save of the season while allowing one run on one hit in Saturday's 5-3 win over the Red Sox.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 26th
 Corbin Burnes (10-4) earned the win in a masterpiece Saturday against Cleveland. He threw eight no-hit innings while issuing one walk and striking out 14.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 11th
Aroldis Chapman struck out two batters in a perfect ninth inning and earned a save over the Rangers on Monday.
John Aubin
Tue, Sep 21st
 Corbin Burnes did not factor into the decision Sunday against the Cardinals, allowing three runs on six hits across five innings. He walked two and struck out seven.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 5th
Aroldis Chapman pitched a perfect ninth inning while striking out two to earn a save in the win over the Orioles on Wednesday.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 16th
 Corbin Burnes (9-4) picked up the win Monday against the Giants, allowing one run on four hits across six innings. He walked none and struck out nine.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Aug 31st
Aroldis Chapman fired a scoreless ninth inning, allowing one hit while striking out one to earn the save in the win over the Mets on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 12th
Notes 
 Burnes's raw stuff was apparent to anyone who saw him pitch in 2019, but he simply couldn't stop giving up home runs (17 in 49 innings). The culprit was largely his four-seam fastball, which he threw more than half of the time and against which batters hit .425 with an .823 slugging percentage. In 2020, however, Corbin cut his four-seam fastball usage from 52.5% to just 2.5%. In its place, he relied heavily on a sinker and cutter, both of which worked better for the natural action on his pitches and which were highly effective. Considering that his slider, changeup, and curveball are also huge swing and miss pitches, Burnes's 36.7% strikeout rate from last year shouldn't be considered fluky. Even coming off a Cy Young-caliber season, there's still upside for the 26-year-old, and you should ignore entirely his 2019 disaster.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Chapman missed time last year because he was diagnosed with COVID-19, but he was largely the same pitcher as always when he was on the mount. He struck out 22 batters in his 11 2/3 innings pitched and allowed just six hits. His velocity may be slightly below what it was at its peak, but it's still elite, and he appears to have plenty left in the tank heading into his age-33 season. He'll again close for one of the best teams in baseball, and although he's never had a 40-save season, he should easily surpass 30 and be one of the top closers drafted in fantasy.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Similar to Zach Plesac, Burnes completely altered his pitch mix en route to a breakout season. The right-hander ditched his four-seam/slider combo in exchange for a plethora of sinkers and cutters. The decision worked to perfection as Burnes' 2.11 ERA was backed up by a 2.99 xFIP and a 3.18 xERA. His HR/FB rate appears to be wildly unsustainable, but Burnes has always been talented and he now has the blueprint to excel with. He's an exciting SP2 entering draft season.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros