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Who Should I Draft?

Corbin Burnes or Devin Williams (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Devin Williams
RP - MIL
Devin Williams
Expert
Recommendation
100%
Recommended by
51 of 51 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 20# 65
Best Rank# 14# 41
Worst Rank# 46# 118
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 56# 159
Best Rank# 51# 134
Worst Rank# 60# 221
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts17491
Wins94
Saves04
ERA3.633.14
WHIP1.201.18
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 61
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 105
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 24# 75
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 42# 86
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 24# 46
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 24# 118
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 19# 71
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 46
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 90
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 24# 70
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 38# 107
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 22# 59
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 20# 74
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 26# 62
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 26# 62
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 23# 66
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 38# 75
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 71
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 21# 86
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 20# 46
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 25# 64
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 14# 105
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 21# 63
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 32# 67
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 19# 51
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 20# 69
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 19# 91
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 16# 58
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 18# 51
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 18# 51
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 22# 64
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 27# 90
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 40# 56
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 46
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 18# 51
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 14# 80
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 18# 61
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 25# 59
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 18# 67
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 18# 53
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 22# 60
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 20# 72
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 17# 72
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 14# 96
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 20# 69
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 20# 41
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 20# 65
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 15# 53
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 24# 54
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 19# 60
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 16# 42
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Devin Williams
RP - MIL
Devin Williams
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1222
   
Games Started90
   
Innings Pitched60.327.0
   
Wins44
   
Losses11
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds09
   
Hits Allowed378
   
Earned Runs141
   
Home Runs Allowed21
   
Strikeouts8853
   
Walks249
   
ERA2.110.33
   
WHIP1.020.63
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Devin Williams
RP - MIL
Devin Williams
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2959
   
Games Started270
   
Innings Pitched142.165.3
   
Wins94
   
Losses73
   
Saves04
   
Blown Saves01
   
Holds018
   
Hits Allowed12048
   
Earned Runs5723
   
Home Runs Allowed187
   
Strikeouts17491
   
Walks5129
   
ERA3.633.14
   
WHIP1.201.18
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Devin Williams
RP - MIL
Devin Williams
News 
 Corbin Burnes (11-4) earned the win Saturday against the Mets, allowing one run on five hits in seven innings. He walked one and struck out nine.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 25th
Devin Williams converted the save Tuesday against the Cubs, allowing three hits and striking out two in one inning.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Aug 10th
 Corbin Burnes did not factor into the decision Saturday against the Cubs, allowing three runs on six hits across six innings. He walked three and struck out 11.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 19th
Devin Williams converted the save Wednesday against the Pirates, striking out two and walking one in one inning.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Aug 4th
 Corbin Burnes (10-4) earned the win in a masterpiece Saturday against Cleveland. He threw eight no-hit innings while issuing one walk and striking out 14.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 11th
Devin Williams was reinstated from the IL on Tuesday.
Dan Harris
Tue, Jul 27th
 Corbin Burnes did not factor into the decision Sunday against the Cardinals, allowing three runs on six hits across five innings. He walked two and struck out seven.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 5th
Brewers RP Devin Williams (elbow) will play catch on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jul 20th
 Corbin Burnes (9-4) picked up the win Monday against the Giants, allowing one run on four hits across six innings. He walked none and struck out nine.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Aug 31st
Milwaukee Brewers pitcher Devin Williams (elbow) was placed on the 10-day injured list Saturday with right elbow discomfort.
Brad Camara
Sat, Jul 17th
Notes 
 Burnes's raw stuff was apparent to anyone who saw him pitch in 2019, but he simply couldn't stop giving up home runs (17 in 49 innings). The culprit was largely his four-seam fastball, which he threw more than half of the time and against which batters hit .425 with an .823 slugging percentage. In 2020, however, Corbin cut his four-seam fastball usage from 52.5% to just 2.5%. In its place, he relied heavily on a sinker and cutter, both of which worked better for the natural action on his pitches and which were highly effective. Considering that his slider, changeup, and curveball are also huge swing and miss pitches, Burnes's 36.7% strikeout rate from last year shouldn't be considered fluky. Even coming off a Cy Young-caliber season, there's still upside for the 26-year-old, and you should ignore entirely his 2019 disaster.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
You have to hand it to the Brewers - they produce relievers who put up historically great seasons. Williams wasn't just good in 2020 - he was truly beyond belief. A 0.33 ERA. One run and eight hits allowed in 27 innings. A 44% K-BB%. Williams has battled injuries for much of his career, but given what he did last year, he should be drafted among the elite fantasy relievers in the game. Even if he never gets a save chance with Josh Hader in front of him, his ratios make him more than worth it.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Similar to Zach Plesac, Burnes completely altered his pitch mix en route to a breakout season. The right-hander ditched his four-seam/slider combo in exchange for a plethora of sinkers and cutters. The decision worked to perfection as Burnes' 2.11 ERA was backed up by a 2.99 xFIP and a 3.18 xERA. His HR/FB rate appears to be wildly unsustainable, but Burnes has always been talented and he now has the blueprint to excel with. He's an exciting SP2 entering draft season.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
In the shortened 2020 season, Williams became the first reliever to ever win Rookie of the Year without earning a single save. This was a credit to his four wins, nine holds, 0.33 ERA, and 53 strikeouts in 27 innings pitched. Williams is once again unlikely to earn many saves in 2021, but his ratios are so elite that he's worth rostering in any and all fantasy leagues. To put in perspective how dominant Williams' changeup is - the spin rate on his changeup led the No. 2 finisher by more than 400 RPM, which was a bigger gap than No. 2 to No. 69. Should anything happen to Josh Hader, Williams would arguably become my top ranked closer in fantasy baseball.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
  Devin Williams was incredible in 2020 and ended up taking home the NL Rookie Year of the Year award. He owned a 0.33 ERA, 0.63 WHIP and a 53:9 K:BB across 27 innings last season. Williams will be one of the more popular relievers off the board for upcoming fantasy drafts, especially in league formats which use the category solds (save and holds). The Brewers reportedly were looking to move on from current closer Josh Hader. Williams would have the closer job all to himself and can be considered a top-5 reliever if Hader is dealt.
Brad Camara - FantasyPros