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Who Should I Draft?

Corbin Burnes or Kyle Hendricks (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
Expert
Recommendation
73%
Recommended by
37 of 51 experts
27%
Recommended by
14 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 20# 24
Best Rank# 14# 13
Worst Rank# 46# 43
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 56# 72
Best Rank# 51# 63
Worst Rank# 60# 79
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts174154
Wins912
Saves00
ERA3.633.88
WHIP1.201.17
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 21
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 20
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 24# 43
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 24# 32
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 19# 21
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 35
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 22# 26
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 20# 25
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 26# 39
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 26
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 21# 29
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 20# 25
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 25# 30
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 14# 26
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 19# 27
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 20# 28
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 19# 20
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 16# 27
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 18# 25
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 18# 27
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 22# 30
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 32
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 18# 23
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 14# 25
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 18# 20
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 18# 22
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 18# 21
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 22# 27
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 20# 23
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 17# 23
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 14# 25
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 20# 32
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 20# 35
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 20# 24
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 15# 18
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 24# 27
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 19# 35
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 16# 13
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 21# 19
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 23# 19
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 24# 21
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 24# 18
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 25# 23
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 26# 23
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 27# 23
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 32# 20
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 38# 22
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 38# 26
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 40# 29
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 42# 18
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 46# 34
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1212
   
Games Started912
   
Innings Pitched60.381.0
   
Wins46
   
Losses15
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed3773
   
Earned Runs1426
   
Home Runs Allowed210
   
Strikeouts8864
   
Walks248
   
ERA2.112.88
   
WHIP1.021.00
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2930
   
Games Started2730
   
Innings Pitched142.1182.3
   
Wins912
   
Losses710
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed120178
   
Earned Runs5779
   
Home Runs Allowed1825
   
Strikeouts174154
   
Walks5134
   
ERA3.633.88
   
WHIP1.201.17
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
News 
 Corbin Burnes did not factor into the decision Saturday against the Cubs, allowing three runs on six hits across six innings. He walked three and struck out 11.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 19th
Kyle Hendricks went 5 2/3 innings versus the Twins Wednesday. He would allow four runs (three earned) and take the loss to fall to 14-7 on the season.
Jamie Mellor
Thu, Sep 23rd
 Corbin Burnes (10-4) earned the win in a masterpiece Saturday against Cleveland. He threw eight no-hit innings while issuing one walk and striking out 14.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 11th
Kyle Hendricks went 3 2/3 innings Thursday versus the Phillies. He would allow seven runs but took a no-decision.
Jamie Mellor
Fri, Sep 17th
 Corbin Burnes did not factor into the decision Sunday against the Cardinals, allowing three runs on six hits across five innings. He walked two and struck out seven.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 5th
Kyle Hendricks went six innings versus the Giants Saturday. He would allow one run and earn a no-decision.
Jamie Mellor
Sat, Sep 11th
 Corbin Burnes (9-4) picked up the win Monday against the Giants, allowing one run on four hits across six innings. He walked none and struck out nine.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Aug 31st
Kyle Hendricks went 4 1/3 innings versus the Pirates Saturday. He would allow six runs in a no-decision. Hendricks has allowed 28 runs over his last five starts.
Jamie Mellor
Sun, Sep 5th
 Corbin Burnes did not factor into the decision in Tuesday's win over Cincinnati, allowing four runs on seven hits and three walks in six innings. He struck out five.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Aug 25th
Kyle Hendricks went 4 2/3 innings versus Chicago Sunday. He would allow eight runs and take the loss to fall to 14-6 on the season.
Jamie Mellor
Mon, Aug 30th
Notes 
 Burnes's raw stuff was apparent to anyone who saw him pitch in 2019, but he simply couldn't stop giving up home runs (17 in 49 innings). The culprit was largely his four-seam fastball, which he threw more than half of the time and against which batters hit .425 with an .823 slugging percentage. In 2020, however, Corbin cut his four-seam fastball usage from 52.5% to just 2.5%. In its place, he relied heavily on a sinker and cutter, both of which worked better for the natural action on his pitches and which were highly effective. Considering that his slider, changeup, and curveball are also huge swing and miss pitches, Burnes's 36.7% strikeout rate from last year shouldn't be considered fluky. Even coming off a Cy Young-caliber season, there's still upside for the 26-year-old, and you should ignore entirely his 2019 disaster.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Hendricks is the Rodney Dangerfield of fantasy pitchers in that he never gets the respect he deserves. He's had an ERA above 3.46 once in his career and he's never had a WHIP higher than 1.19. Yes, his strikeout rate is never going to help fantasy managers, but Dave Ross let him go deeper into games last year (Hendricks' 81 innings pitched were among the most in MLB), so he should make up for his lack of strikeout rate with some additional innings. The Cubs probably won't be a great team but the NL Central has mostly weak offenses, so Hendricks should find his way to enough wins to make a difference. Ignore the fact that he outperforms his expected metrics every year. Hendricks is a reliable, high-end SP3 for a fantasy team. Just be sure to take care of strikeouts elsewhere.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Similar to Zach Plesac, Burnes completely altered his pitch mix en route to a breakout season. The right-hander ditched his four-seam/slider combo in exchange for a plethora of sinkers and cutters. The decision worked to perfection as Burnes' 2.11 ERA was backed up by a 2.99 xFIP and a 3.18 xERA. His HR/FB rate appears to be wildly unsustainable, but Burnes has always been talented and he now has the blueprint to excel with. He's an exciting SP2 entering draft season.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Hendricks is the type of fantasy player who can fit perfectly with certain roster construction. As a starting pitcher, he invites contact while suppressing damage on batted balls. This means that his strikeout rate leaves a lot to be desired. However, the ERA and WHIP are always fantastic, which makes Hendricks a perennially undervalued player. By drafting Hendricks in the middle rounds, fantasy managers can load up on high K/9 players later on.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros