Skip to main content

Who Should I Draft?

Corbin Burnes or Rafael Montero (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Rafael Montero
RP - HOU
Rafael Montero
Expert
Recommendation
100%
Recommended by
51 of 51 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 20# 70
Best Rank# 14# 41
Worst Rank# 46# 160
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 56# 169
Best Rank# 51# 158
Worst Rank# 60# 215
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts17467
Wins93
Saves021
ERA3.633.92
WHIP1.201.21
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL10
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 75
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 81
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 24# 87
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 42# 89
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 24# 51
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 24# 68
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 19# 67
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 46# 91
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 76
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 24# 90
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 38# 56
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 22# 87
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 20# 60
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 26# 81
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 26# 58
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 23# 106
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 38# 55
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 69
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 21# 78
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 20# 41
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 25# 77
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 14# 85
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 21# 53
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 32# 99
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 19# 60
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 20# 71
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 19# 160
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 16# 73
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 18# 61
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 18# 64
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 22# 99
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 27# 65
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 40# 78
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 83
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 18# 72
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 14# 69
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 18# 67
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 25# 109
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 18# 79
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 18# 69
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 22# 71
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 20# 84
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 17# 82
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 14# 59
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 20# 86
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 20# 97
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 20# 70
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 15# 48
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 24# 62
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 19# 73
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 16# 78
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Rafael Montero
RP - HOU
Rafael Montero
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1217
   
Games Started90
   
Innings Pitched60.318.3
   
Wins40
   
Losses11
   
Saves08
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed3712
   
Earned Runs148
   
Home Runs Allowed22
   
Strikeouts8819
   
Walks246
   
ERA2.114.08
   
WHIP1.021.02
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Rafael Montero
RP - HOU
Rafael Montero
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2960
   
Games Started270
   
Innings Pitched142.160.0
   
Wins93
   
Losses73
   
Saves021
   
Blown Saves05
   
Holds04
   
Hits Allowed12052
   
Earned Runs5726
   
Home Runs Allowed189
   
Strikeouts17467
   
Walks5120
   
ERA3.633.92
   
WHIP1.201.21
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Rafael Montero
RP - HOU
Rafael Montero
News 
 Corbin Burnes (11-4) earned the win Saturday against the Mets, allowing one run on five hits in seven innings. He walked one and struck out nine.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 25th
Astros reliever Rafael Montero allowed one go-ahead run in the 10th inning of Friday's game against the Twins. He also struck out one opposing batter. Montero was hit with the loss as Houston ultimately fell to Minnesota by a score of 5-4.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Aug 7th
 Corbin Burnes did not factor into the decision Saturday against the Cubs, allowing three runs on six hits across six innings. He walked three and struck out 11.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 19th
Rafael Montero was designated for assignment by the Mariners on Friday
Ari Koslow
Sat, Jul 24th
 Corbin Burnes (10-4) earned the win in a masterpiece Saturday against Cleveland. He threw eight no-hit innings while issuing one walk and striking out 14.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 11th
Rafael Montero blew a save opportunity Saturday against Cleveland, allowing three runs on two hits over one inning two walks.
Ari Koslow
Sun, Jun 13th
 Corbin Burnes did not factor into the decision Sunday against the Cardinals, allowing three runs on six hits across five innings. He walked two and struck out seven.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 5th
Rafael Montero earned the hold Sunday against the Angels, allowing one run on two hits over one inning with one walk.
Ari Koslow
Mon, Jun 7th
 Corbin Burnes (9-4) picked up the win Monday against the Giants, allowing one run on four hits across six innings. He walked none and struck out nine.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Aug 31st
Rafael Montero earned his seventh save of the season Saturday against Texas, allowing one run on two hits over one inning with one strikeout.
Ari Koslow
Sun, May 30th
Notes 
 Burnes's raw stuff was apparent to anyone who saw him pitch in 2019, but he simply couldn't stop giving up home runs (17 in 49 innings). The culprit was largely his four-seam fastball, which he threw more than half of the time and against which batters hit .425 with an .823 slugging percentage. In 2020, however, Corbin cut his four-seam fastball usage from 52.5% to just 2.5%. In its place, he relied heavily on a sinker and cutter, both of which worked better for the natural action on his pitches and which were highly effective. Considering that his slider, changeup, and curveball are also huge swing and miss pitches, Burnes's 36.7% strikeout rate from last year shouldn't be considered fluky. Even coming off a Cy Young-caliber season, there's still upside for the 26-year-old, and you should ignore entirely his 2019 disaster.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Montero wound up closing for the Rangers and totaling eight saves in 2020, but it wasn't a particularly special season. His hard-hit rate and walk-rate increased from his strong 2019 season, and he totaled a 4.08 ERA. Now with Seattle, Montero's best asset may be his lack of competition for the closer's role, as Seattle has struggled for several seasons to find a reliable ninth-inning option. Draft Montero as a mid-tier closer, who you're taking more for his job security than his spectacular numbers.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Similar to Zach Plesac, Burnes completely altered his pitch mix en route to a breakout season. The right-hander ditched his four-seam/slider combo in exchange for a plethora of sinkers and cutters. The decision worked to perfection as Burnes' 2.11 ERA was backed up by a 2.99 xFIP and a 3.18 xERA. His HR/FB rate appears to be wildly unsustainable, but Burnes has always been talented and he now has the blueprint to excel with. He's an exciting SP2 entering draft season.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros