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Who Should I Draft?

Corbin Burnes or Stephen Strasburg (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Expert
Recommendation
63%
Recommended by
32 of 51 experts
37%
Recommended by
19 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 20# 22
Best Rank# 14# 8
Worst Rank# 46# 122
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 56# 59
Best Rank# 51# 54
Worst Rank# 60# 74
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts174169
Wins911
Saves00
ERA3.633.72
WHIP1.201.18
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL60
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 20
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 33
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 24# 45
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 19# 24
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 40
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 24# 29
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 20# 21
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 26# 36
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 23
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 21# 45
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 20# 30
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 14# 27
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 21# 29
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 19# 25
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 20# 21
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 19# 51
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 16# 28
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 18# 23
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 18# 26
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 25
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 18# 20
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 14# 33
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 18# 21
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 18# 31
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 20# 30
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 17# 20
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 14# 21
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 20# 33
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 20# 21
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 15# 122
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 24# 26
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 16# 21
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 18# 15
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 19# 18
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 20# 17
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 22# 15
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 22# 18
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 22# 20
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 23# 14
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 24# 16
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 24# 19
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 25# 20
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 25# 20
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 26# 25
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 27# 24
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 32# 29
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 38# 24
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 38# 20
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 40# 20
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 42# 8
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 46# 17
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played122
   
Games Started92
   
Innings Pitched60.35.2
   
Wins40
   
Losses11
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed378
   
Earned Runs146
   
Home Runs Allowed21
   
Strikeouts882
   
Walks241
   
ERA2.1110.80
   
WHIP1.021.80
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2927
   
Games Started2727
   
Innings Pitched142.1152.8
   
Wins911
   
Losses77
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed120137
   
Earned Runs5763
   
Home Runs Allowed1820
   
Strikeouts174169
   
Walks5144
   
ERA3.633.72
   
WHIP1.201.18
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
News 
 Corbin Burnes did not factor into the decision Saturday against the Cubs, allowing three runs on six hits across six innings. He walked three and struck out 11.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 19th
Washington Nationals pitcher Stephen Strasburg (neck) will undergo neurogenic thoracic outlet surgery. He will miss the rest of the 2021 season.
Brad Camara
Tue, Jul 27th
 Corbin Burnes (10-4) earned the win in a masterpiece Saturday against Cleveland. He threw eight no-hit innings while issuing one walk and striking out 14.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 11th
Washington Nationals pitcher Stephen Strasburg (neck) had an “uncomfortable” feeling in his neck following Wednesday’s bullpen session.
Brad Camara
Fri, Jul 23rd
 Corbin Burnes did not factor into the decision Sunday against the Cardinals, allowing three runs on six hits across five innings. He walked two and struck out seven.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 5th
Nationals RHP Stephen Strasburg (neck) threw from the bullpen mound on Monday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jul 19th
 Corbin Burnes (9-4) picked up the win Monday against the Giants, allowing one run on four hits across six innings. He walked none and struck out nine.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Aug 31st
Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg has suffered a setback after throwing a sim game recently. He felt some discomfort in his neck shortly after the outing.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Jul 17th
 Corbin Burnes did not factor into the decision in Tuesday's win over Cincinnati, allowing four runs on seven hits and three walks in six innings. He struck out five.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Aug 25th
Nationals' starting pitcher Stephen Strasburg threw a 60-pitch bullpen session on Monday. Strasburg hasn't pitched since June 1.
Corbin Young
Tue, Jul 6th
Notes 
 Burnes's raw stuff was apparent to anyone who saw him pitch in 2019, but he simply couldn't stop giving up home runs (17 in 49 innings). The culprit was largely his four-seam fastball, which he threw more than half of the time and against which batters hit .425 with an .823 slugging percentage. In 2020, however, Corbin cut his four-seam fastball usage from 52.5% to just 2.5%. In its place, he relied heavily on a sinker and cutter, both of which worked better for the natural action on his pitches and which were highly effective. Considering that his slider, changeup, and curveball are also huge swing and miss pitches, Burnes's 36.7% strikeout rate from last year shouldn't be considered fluky. Even coming off a Cy Young-caliber season, there's still upside for the 26-year-old, and you should ignore entirely his 2019 disaster.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Strasburg was limited to just five innings in 2020, with an injury that eventually required carpal tunnel syndrome. Although that's a minor surgery, the truth is that fantasy managers have very little data as to the impact and/or successful recovery rate after that surgery for pitchers. Strasburg's a tricky draft pick in any given year - he always provides strong value when he's on the mound, but has only topped 200 innings pitched twice in his career. Now entering his age-33 season, Strasburg will likely again provide excellent overall numbers assuming he is healthy. He looks great in the spring, though he's currently battling a minor calf injury, though it shouldn't keep him out for long. Draft him as an SP2, but anything more than 160 innings is gravy.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Similar to Zach Plesac, Burnes completely altered his pitch mix en route to a breakout season. The right-hander ditched his four-seam/slider combo in exchange for a plethora of sinkers and cutters. The decision worked to perfection as Burnes' 2.11 ERA was backed up by a 2.99 xFIP and a 3.18 xERA. His HR/FB rate appears to be wildly unsustainable, but Burnes has always been talented and he now has the blueprint to excel with. He's an exciting SP2 entering draft season.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros