Who Should I Draft?

Corey Kluber or Aaron Nola (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Corey Kluber
SP - CLE
Corey Kluber
Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Expert
Recommendation
59%
Recommended by
33 of 56 experts
41%
Recommended by
23 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 6# 7
Best Rank# 3# 3
Worst Rank# 17# 13
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 24# 25
Best Rank# 17# 23
Worst Rank# 26# 31
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts221210
Wins1614
Saves00
ERA3.183.21
WHIP1.071.14
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL10-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 4# 7
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 9
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 3# 6
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 4# 6
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 4# 6
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 7# 8
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 6# 7
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 4# 7
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 5# 8
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 8
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 5# 9
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 4# 7
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 6# 7
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 7# 12
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 5# 8
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 6# 10
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 6# 9
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 6# 8
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 4# 13
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 5# 7
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 7# 10
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 4# 6
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 7# 10
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 5# 10
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 6# 9
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 6# 10
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 5# 7
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 5# 9
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 6# 9
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 5# 9
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 4# 6
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 5# 10
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 5# 9
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 5# 4
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 5# 4
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 5# 3
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 5# 3
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 6# 4
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 6# 5
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 5
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 7# 6
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 7# 6
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 7# 5
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 7# 6
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 7# 6
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 7# 6
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 8# 4
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 8# 6
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 9# 6
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 9# 8
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 9# 7
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 10# 4
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 10# 6
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 10# 7
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 11# 6
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 17# 4
   
  Corey Kluber
SP - CLE
Corey Kluber
Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3333
   
Games Started3333
   
Innings Pitched215.2212.2
   
Wins2017
   
Losses76
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed179149
   
Earned Runs6956
   
Home Runs Allowed2517
   
Strikeouts222224
   
Walks3458
   
ERA2.892.37
   
WHIP0.990.97
   
  Corey Kluber
SP - CLE
Corey Kluber
Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3132
   
Games Started3232
   
Innings Pitched206.1196.5
   
Wins1614
   
Losses89
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed178169
   
Earned Runs7370
   
Home Runs Allowed2420
   
Strikeouts221210
   
Walks4255
   
ERA3.183.21
   
WHIP1.071.14
   
  Corey Kluber
SP - CLE
Corey Kluber
Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
News 
 The Indians have placed Corey Kluber (arm) on the 10-day injured list.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, May 3rd
Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed five earned runs on six hits and two walks while striking out four over 4 1/3 innings in a no-decision against the Atlanta Braves on Saturday.
Mike Maher
Sun, Jun 16th
 Indians starter Corey Kluber left Tuesday's start against the Miami Marlins after being hit in the right arm by a comebacker off the bat of Brian Anderson. He left the game immediately, and The Athletic's Zack Meisel reports that Kluber has a non-displaced fracture of his right ulna bone.
Mike Maher
Wed, May 1st
Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed three earned runs on four hits and three walks while striking out seven over 6 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Cincinnati Reds on Sunday.
Mike Maher
Mon, Jun 10th
 Corey Kluber left Wednesday's start versus Miami after getting hit by a comebacker off the bat of Brian Anderson.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, May 1st
Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed six earned runs on eight hits and three walks while striking out five over 5 1/3 innings in a loss to the San Diego Padres on Monday. The loss was his first of the season.
Mike Maher
Tue, Jun 4th
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Corey Kluber took a no-decision in a 6-3 win over the Astros on Friday. Kluber went five innings, allowing three runs and striking out six.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Apr 27th
Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed one earned run on four hits and three walks while striking out eight over seven innings in Wednesday's win over the St. Louis Cardinals. The win brings him to 6-0 on the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, May 29th
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Corey Kluber pitched well in an 8-4 win over the Braves on Saturday. Kluber struck out eight and allowed four runs in seven innings.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Apr 20th
Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed three earned runs on four hits and four walks over 5 1/3 innings in a win over the Chicago Cubs on Thursday. The win brings him to 5-0 on the season.
Mike Maher
Thu, May 23rd
Notes 
 Each of the past five years, Kluber has given fantasy owners 200 innings while compiling 1,228 strikeouts. In four of those five seasons, he has provided 18 or more wins. If you draft him in the second round, you can be certain to get a true ace
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Nola took another major leap forward last year, and while he may never be a 300 or even 250 strikeout guy like the handful of pitchers being drafted above him, 220+ with a sub 1.00 WHIP and 2.50 ERA will certainly warrant a third round pick
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Fresh off a 2017 season where he was the number one fantasy pitcher in all the land (not just Cleveland), Kluber wasn't quite as dominant in 2018, but he still finished as the seventh-best starter in standard 5x5 leagues. Kluber's strikeout rate came back down to Earth a little bit, but his walk rate remained truly elite and he was able to deliver a second straight season with a sub-3.00 ERA and sub-1.00 WHIP. The fact he's a workhorse also boosts his fantasy value -- Kluber has five straight seasons with 200+ innings, and has won at least 18 games in four of those seasons. He did lose a little velocity on his fastball, but there is no reason to overreact until we see it actually impact his results.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
While Nola's 2018 surface numbers suggest a big breakthrough, the advanced metrics show that he has been largely the same pitcher over the last three seasons, just in more innings. His strikeout and walk rates remained nearly identical, and he generated a similar amount of soft contact, but the difference was that his left-on-base percentage rose and his BABIP allowed dropped in a big way. As a result, his ERA was much lower than his FIP and xFIP, after lagging behind those metrics in 2016 and 2017. Nola's peripherals have consistently indicated that his true skill is that of a pitcher with a low-3.00s ERA and WHIP in the 1.10-1.20 range, so that' should be our baseline expectation for 2019.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 There's great stability in drafting Kluber, who has averaged 218 innings and 245 strikeouts with a 2.85 ERA in the last five seasons. Such stability is highly desirable from a top-10 ace who will require premium draft capital. Before deeming him a lock, beware the diminished velocity and a sinker that continues to get pounded. It's still hard to see Kluber-who turns 33 in April-falling off a clip, so his floor is relatively high compared to other starters.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Nola won't sustain a pristine 2.37 ERA, but only nine starters posted a higher FIP than his 3.01. He yielded the second-lowest hard-hit rate (25.1%) behind Zack Wheeler and should keep striking out more than a batter per frame with support from his 12.4% swinging-strike rate. Although 2018 represents his ceiling, the 25-year-old's regression should still represent a lower-level ace.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros