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Who Should I Draft?

Corey Kluber or James Paxton (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Corey Kluber
SP - NYY
Corey Kluber
James Paxton
SP - SEA
James Paxton
Expert
Recommendation
57%
Recommended by
29 of 51 experts
43%
Recommended by
22 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 59# 62
Best Rank# 39# 36
Worst Rank# 154# 99
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 144# 204
Best Rank# 138# 182
Worst Rank# 168# 216
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts143145
Wins108
Saves00
ERA4.014.05
WHIP1.201.22
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL60
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 63# 78
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 79# 86
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 39# 84
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 48# 49
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 61# 86
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 61# 73
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 42# 68
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 52# 69
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 59# 62
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 70# 71
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 73# 81
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 59# 63
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 55# 69
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 44# 73
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 56# 99
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 65# 66
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 60# 67
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 80# 91
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 56# 63
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 75# 93
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 55# 58
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 57# 63
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 62# 73
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 41# 46
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 53# 64
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 68# 70
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 57# 64
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 53# 67
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 52# 77
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 55# 46
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 57# 51
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 58# 56
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 59# 55
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 63# 38
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 64# 53
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 65# 61
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 65# 44
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 69# 67
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 70# 44
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 71# 47
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 73# 61
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 76# 60
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 76# 71
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 77# 36
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 79# 56
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 87# 77
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 87# 80
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 101# 93
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 101# 52
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 103# 82
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 154# 92
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Corey Kluber
SP - NYY
Corey Kluber
James Paxton
SP - SEA
James Paxton
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played15
   
Games Started15
   
Innings Pitched1.120.2
   
Wins01
   
Losses01
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed023
   
Earned Runs015
   
Home Runs Allowed04
   
Strikeouts126
   
Walks17
   
ERA0.006.64
   
WHIP1.001.48
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Corey Kluber
SP - NYY
Corey Kluber
James Paxton
SP - SEA
James Paxton
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2624
   
Games Started2624
   
Innings Pitched139.0125.3
   
Wins108
   
Losses77
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed130113
   
Earned Runs6256
   
Home Runs Allowed2219
   
Strikeouts143145
   
Walks3740
   
ERA4.014.05
   
WHIP1.201.22
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Corey Kluber
SP - NYY
Corey Kluber
James Paxton
SP - SEA
James Paxton
News 
 Corey Kluber pitched 4 1/3 innings, allowing three runs on eight hits and striking out four in a no-decision against the Rangers on Wednesday.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 23rd
James Paxton underwent Tommy John surgery within this past week.
Brenden Trout
Thu, Apr 29th
 Corey Kluber allowed four hits and two walks while striking out four in six shutout innings to earn the win over Cleveland on Friday. He also hit one batter.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 18th
Mariners manager Scott Servais confirmed that James Paxton will have season-ending surgery on his elbow.
Dan Harris
Tue, Apr 13th
 Corey Kluber allowed four runs on five hits while striking out six and walking two in a no-decision against the Mets on Saturday night.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 12th
Tommy John surgery has been recommended for James Paxton, per Jon Heyman of MLB Network.
Matt Flipi
Thu, Apr 8th
 Corey Kluber allowed two runs on four hits with three walks and five strikeouts over 3 2/3 innings on Sunday in a no-decision against the Orioles.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 5th
Seattle Mariners LHP James Paxton, who's currently on the 10-day IL with a left forearm strain, is seeking a second opinion on his recent MRI results.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, Apr 8th
 Corey Kluber gave up five runs on five hits with two walks and six strikeouts over four innings on Monday in a no-decision against the Angels.
John Aubin
Tue, Aug 31st
The Mariners placed James Paxton on the 10-day IL on Wednesday with a left forearm strain.
Dan Harris
Wed, Apr 7th
Notes 
 Kluber has pitched 36 2/3 innings combined over the last two years, and will now join the Yankees on a one-year deal. There's nothing to be gained from looking at his numbers since 2018, as the sample size is too small, and prior to that, he was a perennial Cy Young contender. There was a bit of a velocity drop at the end of his last healthy season, but he was also finishing up his fifth straight 200-inning season. In other words, his lack of innings over the last two years (due to injury) may wind up being a blessing in disguise for Kluber. His ADP has some helium based on how quickly the Yankees signed him, but so long as you bake in some pretty substantial injury risk, he's certainly worth drafting as an SP5 with upside.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Paxton missed almost the entire 2020 season after straining a flexor in his pitching forearm. Any forearm injury is worrisome because of the connection to the elbow, and Paxton has hardly been the picture of health in his career. He'll try to jumpstart his career again back with the Mariners, and the reports from his workout, where he reportedly touched 94 MPH, were encouraging after his velocity drop last year. When he pitches, he's almost always effective, so he's worth a late-round pick for the potential upside. But the injury history should keep him relatively low on your draft board.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros