Who Should I Draft?

Craig Kimbrel or Luis Castillo (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Expert
Recommendation
66%
Recommended by
39 of 59 experts
34%
Recommended by
20 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 34# 41
Best Rank# 15# 22
Worst Rank# 110# 78
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 93# 128
Best Rank# 74# 114
Worst Rank# 102# 846
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts89169
Wins411
Saves270
ERA2.693.86
WHIP1.041.22
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 44
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 37# 38
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 47# 56
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 44# 56
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 31# 66
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 19# 46
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 42# 45
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 24# 44
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 22# 30
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 39# 42
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 29# 38
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 36# 45
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 34# 38
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 27# 53
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 30# 34
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 47# 54
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 37# 46
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 40# 42
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 45# 59
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 31# 54
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 20# 35
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 35# 38
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 23# 39
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 15# 41
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 42# 44
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 33# 61
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 25# 37
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 33# 67
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 33# 39
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 30# 44
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 40# 78
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 17# 39
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 43
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 25# 37
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 29# 41
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 35# 47
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 46# 75
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 27# 28
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 15# 39
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 34# 33
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 34# 25
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 38# 35
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 41# 33
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 42# 35
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 43# 38
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 44# 22
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 45# 30
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 45# 39
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 46# 41
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 47# 41
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 49# 40
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 49# 46
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 51# 39
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 60# 42
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 63# 60
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 64# 28
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 70# 34
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 84# 48
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 110# 54
   
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played6331
   
Games Started031
   
Innings Pitched62.2170.2
   
Wins510
   
Losses112
   
Saves420
   
Blown Saves50
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed31158
   
Earned Runs1981
   
Home Runs Allowed728
   
Strikeouts96165
   
Walks3149
   
ERA2.744.30
   
WHIP0.991.22
   
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played6130
   
Games Started030
   
Innings Pitched59.1169.9
   
Wins411
   
Losses210
   
Saves270
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed36156
   
Earned Runs1873
   
Home Runs Allowed624
   
Strikeouts89169
   
Walks2552
   
ERA2.693.86
   
WHIP1.041.22
   
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
News 
 Craig Kimbrel (0-4) allowed two runs on two hits and one walk in 0.2 innings Saturday against the Cardinals, blowing the save.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 21st
Luis Castillo (15-8) took the loss Thursday against the Brewers, allowing five runs on five hits and four walks across five innings. He struck out eight.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Sep 26th
 Craig Kimbrel was saddled with the loss Thursday against the Cardinals, allowing one run on one hit in 0.2 innings. He struck out two.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Sep 20th
Luis Castillo (15-7) was saddled with the loss Friday against the Mets, allowing three runs on three hits and three walks over seven innings. He struck out seven.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 21st
 Craig Kimbrel (elbow) will throw a simulated game Tuesday, and is eyeing a return to the Cubs for their weekend series against the Cardinals.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Sep 17th
Luis Castillo (15-6) earned the win Friday against the Diamondbacks, allowing two runs on four hits and three walks across five innings. He struck out three.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 14th
 Craig Kimbrel will be placed on the injured list Thursday with elbow inflammation.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Sep 5th
Luis Castillo (14-6) took the loss Saturday against the Diamondbacks, allowing two runs on three hits and three walks across 7.2 innings. He struck out 10.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 8th
 Craig Kimbrel allowed three runs on two hits and one walk over 0.2 innings Sunday, striking out one.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 1st
Luis Castillo (14-5) earned the win Sunday against the Cardinals, allowing three runs on five hits and three walks over six innings. He struck out eight.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Sep 2nd
Notes 
 Although still unsigned, it's safe to assume Kimbrel won't settle for a setup role. After all, no reliever in MLB history holsters a lower career FIP than his 1.96. Despite a concerning walk uptick (4.48 BB/9), he posted a 2.74 ERA with 96 strikeouts and 42 saves in 2018. Somewhat surprisingly, his ADP hasn't suffered from a disastrous postseason and drawn-out free agency. That should change now that he remains a free agent in mid-March. Drafters must now consider the higher the likelihood of a delayed or rusty start to the season. Or worse, maybe he actually follows through on his threat to sit out 2019.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Castillo quickly became a darling of the analytics community last season but failed to meet the expectations of those who reached for him in fantasy. He is still plenty young and talented, however, so don't give up on him less the breakout comes a year later than everyone planned for.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Kimbrel still hasn't signed so wherever he plays will obviously impact his fantasy upside. Boston would offer plenty more save opportunities, of course, than somewhere like San Diego. You can bank on excellent ratios with nearly 100 Ks regardless, however, so don't hesitate to grab him toward the end of the top tier of closers once again.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Castillo was a trendy breakout pick last season, but instead his strikeout rate fell and he was victimized by the home run ball. However, just as many fantasy managers' attention turned to football, Castillo dominated his way through September, delivering a 1.09 ERA and 0.85 WHIP over the season's final month. In other words, there is plenty of post-hype sleeper appeal here as long as his draft price remains reasonable.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
  One of last spring's top breakout candidates, Castillo posted an underwhelming 4.30 ERA. This year's version of Castillo is … still Castillo. While he started strong, the hard-throwing righty belatedly met the hype with a 2.44 ERA, 69 strikeouts, and 14 walks in 66.1 second-half frames. A 13.5% swinging-strike rate points to elite strikeout potential, so there's still an ace looming if he can curtail last year's home-run woes. While this could be a case of doubling down on the same mistake, Castillo is once a desirable high-upside SP3 target.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros