Who Should I Draft?

Craig Kimbrel or Luis Castillo (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Expert
Recommendation
64%
Recommended by
36 of 56 experts
36%
Recommended by
20 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 36# 41
Best Rank# 15# 22
Worst Rank# 110# 78
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 93# 128
Best Rank# 74# 114
Worst Rank# 102# 846
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts89169
Wins411
Saves270
ERA2.693.86
WHIP1.041.22
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 44
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 37# 38
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 47# 56
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 44# 56
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 31# 66
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 19# 46
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 42# 45
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 24# 44
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 22# 30
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 39# 42
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 29# 38
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 36# 45
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 34# 38
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 27# 53
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 30# 34
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 47# 54
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 37# 46
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 40# 42
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 45# 59
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 31# 54
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 20# 35
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 26# 40
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 35# 38
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 23# 39
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 15# 41
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 42# 44
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 33# 61
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 25# 37
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 33# 67
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 33# 39
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 30# 44
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 40# 78
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 17# 39
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 25# 37
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 27# 28
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 15# 39
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 34# 33
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 34# 25
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 38# 35
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 41# 33
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 42# 35
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 43# 38
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 44# 22
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 45# 30
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 45# 39
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 46# 41
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 47# 41
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 49# 40
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 49# 46
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 51# 39
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 60# 42
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 63# 60
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 64# 28
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 70# 34
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 84# 48
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 110# 54
   
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played6331
   
Games Started031
   
Innings Pitched62.2170.2
   
Wins510
   
Losses112
   
Saves420
   
Blown Saves50
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed31158
   
Earned Runs1981
   
Home Runs Allowed728
   
Strikeouts96165
   
Walks3149
   
ERA2.744.30
   
WHIP0.991.22
   
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played6130
   
Games Started030
   
Innings Pitched59.1169.9
   
Wins411
   
Losses210
   
Saves270
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed36156
   
Earned Runs1873
   
Home Runs Allowed624
   
Strikeouts89169
   
Walks2552
   
ERA2.693.86
   
WHIP1.041.22
   
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
News 
 Craig Kimbrel will make his first appearance with Triple-A Iowa on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 16th
Luis Castillo allowed four runs on five hits and five walks over 3 2/3 innings on Saturday against the Brewers. He struck out six and took the loss.
Dan Harris
Mon, Jun 24th
 Jon Heyman of MLB Network reports Craig Kimbrel and the Cubs have agreed to a three-year, $43 million contract.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 5th
Luis Castillo allowed two runs on two hits over six innings in the Reds' 3-2 win over the Astros on Monday. He walked six and struck out seven while improving to 7-1.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 17th
 Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reports the Cubs and Craig Kimbrel have come to terms, pending a physical.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 5th
Luis Castillo allowed one run on four hits over six innings in the Reds' 2-1 extra innings loss to the Indians on Tuesday. He walked two and struck out six in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Jun 12th
 Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reports the Cubs are "pushing hard" for Craig Kimbrel.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 5th
Luis Castillo allowed (three runs) two earned on six hits over 5 1/3 innings in the Reds' 8-5 loss to the Pirates on Sunday. He walked four and struck out four in the no decision.
Elliott Baas
Tue, May 28th
 Craig Kimbrel rumors begin to swirl again after the Brewers lost their closer, Corey Knebel, this week. The standoff between the two is likely money. The Brewers are unable to currently pay the asking price of Kimbrel.
Garett Thomas
Sun, Mar 31st
Luis Castillo allowed four runs on five hits over 2.2 innings in the Reds' 11-9 loss to the Brewers on Wednesday. He walked three and struck out two in the no decision.
Elliott Baas
Thu, May 23rd
Notes 
 Although still unsigned, it's safe to assume Kimbrel won't settle for a setup role. After all, no reliever in MLB history holsters a lower career FIP than his 1.96. Despite a concerning walk uptick (4.48 BB/9), he posted a 2.74 ERA with 96 strikeouts and 42 saves in 2018. Somewhat surprisingly, his ADP hasn't suffered from a disastrous postseason and drawn-out free agency. That should change now that he remains a free agent in mid-March. Drafters must now consider the higher the likelihood of a delayed or rusty start to the season. Or worse, maybe he actually follows through on his threat to sit out 2019.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Castillo quickly became a darling of the analytics community last season but failed to meet the expectations of those who reached for him in fantasy. He is still plenty young and talented, however, so don't give up on him less the breakout comes a year later than everyone planned for.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Kimbrel still hasn't signed so wherever he plays will obviously impact his fantasy upside. Boston would offer plenty more save opportunities, of course, than somewhere like San Diego. You can bank on excellent ratios with nearly 100 Ks regardless, however, so don't hesitate to grab him toward the end of the top tier of closers once again.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Castillo was a trendy breakout pick last season, but instead his strikeout rate fell and he was victimized by the home run ball. However, just as many fantasy managers' attention turned to football, Castillo dominated his way through September, delivering a 1.09 ERA and 0.85 WHIP over the season's final month. In other words, there is plenty of post-hype sleeper appeal here as long as his draft price remains reasonable.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
  One of last spring's top breakout candidates, Castillo posted an underwhelming 4.30 ERA. This year's version of Castillo is … still Castillo. While he started strong, the hard-throwing righty belatedly met the hype with a 2.44 ERA, 69 strikeouts, and 14 walks in 66.1 second-half frames. A 13.5% swinging-strike rate points to elite strikeout potential, so there's still an ace looming if he can curtail last year's home-run woes. While this could be a case of doubling down on the same mistake, Castillo is once a desirable high-upside SP3 target.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros