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Who Should I Draft?

Craig Kimbrel or Rafael Montero (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CWS
Craig Kimbrel
Rafael Montero
RP - HOU
Rafael Montero
Expert
Recommendation
73%
Recommended by
37 of 51 experts
27%
Recommended by
14 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 61# 70
Best Rank# 35# 41
Worst Rank# 108# 160
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 164# 169
Best Rank# 153# 158
Worst Rank# 233# 215
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts7967
Wins33
Saves2421
ERA3.653.92
WHIP1.211.21
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL10
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 55# 81
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 61# 87
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 52# 89
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 58# 68
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 55# 67
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 76# 91
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 54# 76
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 83# 90
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 58# 87
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 54# 60
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 74# 81
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 54# 58
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 63# 106
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 35# 55
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 63# 69
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 71# 78
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 65# 77
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 89# 99
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 59# 60
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 64# 71
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 63# 160
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 68# 73
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 51# 99
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 50# 65
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 63# 78
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 62# 72
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 58# 69
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 47# 109
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 58# 79
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 61# 69
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 64# 71
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 42# 84
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 75# 82
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 67# 86
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 58# 97
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 58# 70
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 39# 48
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 48# 41
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 68# 61
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 69# 56
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 70# 67
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 72# 51
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 73# 53
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 80# 59
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 86# 85
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 87# 62
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 98# 64
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 98# 78
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 103# 73
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 108# 75
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 83
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CWS
Craig Kimbrel
Rafael Montero
RP - HOU
Rafael Montero
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1817
   
Games Started00
   
Innings Pitched15.018.3
   
Wins00
   
Losses11
   
Saves28
   
Blown Saves10
   
Holds30
   
Hits Allowed1012
   
Earned Runs98
   
Home Runs Allowed22
   
Strikeouts2819
   
Walks126
   
ERA5.284.08
   
WHIP1.431.02
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CWS
Craig Kimbrel
Rafael Montero
RP - HOU
Rafael Montero
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played5660
   
Games Started00
   
Innings Pitched54.160.0
   
Wins33
   
Losses23
   
Saves2421
   
Blown Saves115
   
Holds44
   
Hits Allowed4052
   
Earned Runs2226
   
Home Runs Allowed89
   
Strikeouts7967
   
Walks2620
   
ERA3.653.92
   
WHIP1.211.21
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CWS
Craig Kimbrel
Rafael Montero
RP - HOU
Rafael Montero
News 
 Craig Kimbrel had a rough ninth inning, allowing a one out double followed by two walks and a sacrifice fly that scored a run. He did chip in two strikeouts though.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Mon, Sep 13th
Astros reliever Rafael Montero allowed one go-ahead run in the 10th inning of Friday's game against the Twins. He also struck out one opposing batter. Montero was hit with the loss as Houston ultimately fell to Minnesota by a score of 5-4.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Aug 7th
 Craig Kimbrel pitched the seventh inning on Saturday, allowing one hit while striking out three batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sun, Sep 5th
Rafael Montero was designated for assignment by the Mariners on Friday
Ari Koslow
Sat, Jul 24th
 Craig Kimbrel came into the ninth with a seven run lead but ended up giving up three earned runs on two hits and a walk. He would strike out two batters though.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sat, Aug 28th
Rafael Montero blew a save opportunity Saturday against Cleveland, allowing three runs on two hits over one inning two walks.
Ari Koslow
Sun, Jun 13th
 Craig Kimbrel pitched one inning, allowing one hit while also striking out one batter to earn his 24th save of the season and first with the White Sox.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Fri, Aug 27th
Rafael Montero earned the hold Sunday against the Angels, allowing one run on two hits over one inning with one walk.
Ari Koslow
Mon, Jun 7th
 Craig Kimbrel didn't allow a ball to leave the infield on Monday, but lost the game after an infield hit, a wild pitch, a sacrifice ground ball, and another wild pitch. He would also walk a batter and strike out two.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Tue, Aug 24th
Rafael Montero earned his seventh save of the season Saturday against Texas, allowing one run on two hits over one inning with one strikeout.
Ari Koslow
Sun, May 30th
Notes 
 As a whole, Kimbrel's 2020 numbers were abysmal. A 5.28 ERA, a 1.43 WHIP, and a walk rate of 17.4%. And yet, there were some encouraging signs. Not only did his strikeout rate bounce back to 40.6%, but he was actually an elite pitcher after his first four outings. How elite? He pitched to a 1.42 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP, and stuck out 53.1% of the batters he faced. It wasn't perfect, as Kimbrel still walked five batters per nine innings over that stretch. But he showed that he still has some has left in the tank. Although he never reclaimed the closer's job despite his strong finish, it's a good bet that the Cubs hand him the ninth-inning role to start, as they try to rebuild his trade value in the final year of his deal. That means Kimbrel should at least get save chances for the first several weeks of the season, and, as such, should be drafted as low-end second closer with just a modicum of upside.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Montero wound up closing for the Rangers and totaling eight saves in 2020, but it wasn't a particularly special season. His hard-hit rate and walk-rate increased from his strong 2019 season, and he totaled a 4.08 ERA. Now with Seattle, Montero's best asset may be his lack of competition for the closer's role, as Seattle has struggled for several seasons to find a reliable ninth-inning option. Draft Montero as a mid-tier closer, who you're taking more for his job security than his spectacular numbers.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Over his final 14 appearances (12 2/3 IP) Kimbrel registered a 27:7 K:BB ratio to go along with a 1.42 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP. I'd like confirmation from the Cubs that he's entering the season as the closer before going "all in" on drafting him, but as long as he gets the ninth inning I'll be interested. Kimbrel has likely turned off many fantasy managers with some ugly blowup performances the past two years. This creates a buying opportunity. Kimbrel is a perfect candidate to draft for those who prefer to wait on saves.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros