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Who Should I Draft?

Craig Kimbrel or Will Smith (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CWS
Craig Kimbrel
Will Smith
RP - ATL
Will Smith
Expert
Recommendation
56%
Recommended by
28 of 50 experts
44%
Recommended by
22 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 61# 72
Best Rank# 35# 25
Worst Rank# 108# 112
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 164# 162
Best Rank# 153# 146
Worst Rank# 233# 193
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts7977
Wins34
Saves2419
ERA3.653.45
WHIP1.211.11
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 55# 66
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 61# 64
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 52# 54
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 58# 75
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 58# 82
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 54# 96
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 74# 101
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 63
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 35# 46
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 63# 65
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 48# 53
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 65
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 59# 73
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 64# 75
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 63# 71
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 68# 85
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 98# 112
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 50# 80
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 63
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 62# 69
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 58# 97
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 58# 111
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 61# 68
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 64# 91
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 75# 81
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 58# 60
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 58# 74
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 87# 99
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 39# 34
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 42# 35
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 47# 37
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 51# 50
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 54# 41
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 54# 53
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 55# 50
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 67# 46
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 68# 54
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 69# 51
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 70# 51
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 71# 43
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 72# 70
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 73# 71
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 76# 25
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 80# 67
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 83# 53
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 86# 57
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 89# 56
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 98# 83
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 103# 62
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 108# 92
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CWS
Craig Kimbrel
Will Smith
RP - ATL
Will Smith
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1818
   
Games Started00
   
Innings Pitched15.016.1
   
Wins02
   
Losses12
   
Saves20
   
Blown Saves11
   
Holds36
   
Hits Allowed1011
   
Earned Runs98
   
Home Runs Allowed27
   
Strikeouts2818
   
Walks124
   
ERA5.284.50
   
WHIP1.430.94
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CWS
Craig Kimbrel
Will Smith
RP - ATL
Will Smith
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played5662
   
Games Started00
   
Innings Pitched54.159.8
   
Wins34
   
Losses23
   
Saves2419
   
Blown Saves118
   
Holds48
   
Hits Allowed4048
   
Earned Runs2223
   
Home Runs Allowed89
   
Strikeouts7977
   
Walks2619
   
ERA3.653.45
   
WHIP1.211.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CWS
Craig Kimbrel
Will Smith
RP - ATL
Will Smith
News 
 Craig Kimbrel had a rough ninth inning, allowing a one out double followed by two walks and a sacrifice fly that scored a run. He did chip in two strikeouts though.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Mon, Sep 13th
Will Smith pitched the ninth inning against the Giants Sunday, striking out two batters en route to sealing a shutout and his 33rd save of the season.
Steve Painter
Sun, Sep 19th
 Craig Kimbrel pitched the seventh inning on Saturday, allowing one hit while striking out three batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sun, Sep 5th
Will Smith pitched the ninth inning against the Marlins Sunday, allowing a hit and a walk en route to earning his 32nd save.
Steve Painter
Sun, Sep 12th
 Craig Kimbrel came into the ninth with a seven run lead but ended up giving up three earned runs on two hits and a walk. He would strike out two batters though.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sat, Aug 28th
Will Smith pitched the ninth against the Nationals Tuesday, and it was a quiet seven-pitch inning en route to his 31st save.
Steve Painter
Wed, Sep 8th
 Craig Kimbrel pitched one inning, allowing one hit while also striking out one batter to earn his 24th save of the season and first with the White Sox.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Fri, Aug 27th
Will Smith pitched the ninth inning against the Rockies Thursday, allowing one hit while striking one batter out en route to earning his 30th save of the year.
Steve Painter
Fri, Sep 3rd
 Craig Kimbrel didn't allow a ball to leave the infield on Monday, but lost the game after an infield hit, a wild pitch, a sacrifice ground ball, and another wild pitch. He would also walk a batter and strike out two.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Tue, Aug 24th
Will Smith pitched the ninth inning against the Giants Friday, allowing a solo homer and striking out one batter en route to his 29th save.
Steve Painter
Sat, Aug 28th
Notes 
 As a whole, Kimbrel's 2020 numbers were abysmal. A 5.28 ERA, a 1.43 WHIP, and a walk rate of 17.4%. And yet, there were some encouraging signs. Not only did his strikeout rate bounce back to 40.6%, but he was actually an elite pitcher after his first four outings. How elite? He pitched to a 1.42 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP, and stuck out 53.1% of the batters he faced. It wasn't perfect, as Kimbrel still walked five batters per nine innings over that stretch. But he showed that he still has some has left in the tank. Although he never reclaimed the closer's job despite his strong finish, it's a good bet that the Cubs hand him the ninth-inning role to start, as they try to rebuild his trade value in the final year of his deal. That means Kimbrel should at least get save chances for the first several weeks of the season, and, as such, should be drafted as low-end second closer with just a modicum of upside.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Smith had a rough 2020 season, losing several weeks to a bout with COVID-19 and being far less effective than usual when he did pitch. His dominant slider just wasn't the same, as batters hit .263 (after never hitting better than .193) and tallied a .398 wOBA (after never totaling higher than .282) against it. But Brian Snitker appears to be willing to throw out Smith's poor season almost entirely. Although he hasn't named Smith the closer, he has professed his confidence in him, and there's been speculation from beat writers that Smith will ultimately win the role after a battle with Chris Martin and A.J. Minter. Draft Smith as the presumptive closer unless you hear otherwise from Braves camp.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Over his final 14 appearances (12 2/3 IP) Kimbrel registered a 27:7 K:BB ratio to go along with a 1.42 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP. I'd like confirmation from the Cubs that he's entering the season as the closer before going "all in" on drafting him, but as long as he gets the ninth inning I'll be interested. Kimbrel has likely turned off many fantasy managers with some ugly blowup performances the past two years. This creates a buying opportunity. Kimbrel is a perfect candidate to draft for those who prefer to wait on saves.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros