Who Should I Draft?

Daniel Murphy or Jesus Aguilar (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Daniel Murphy
1B,2B - COL
Daniel Murphy
Jesus Aguilar
1B - MIL
Jesus Aguilar
Expert
Recommendation
91%
Recommended by
51 of 56 experts
9%
Recommended by
5 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 42# 59
Best Rank# 21# 28
Worst Rank# 92# 192
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 67# 78
Best Rank# 59# 75
Worst Rank# 100# 85
   
Projections 
   
Runs8177
Home Runs2231
RBI8395
Stolen Bases40
Batting Average.311.260
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 35# 68
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 34# 44
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 42# 54
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 21# 35
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 56# 66
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 58# 61
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 29# 52
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 50# 132
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 45# 71
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 59# 60
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 34# 35
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 45# 60
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 48# 52
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 33# 57
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 38# 76
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 58# 66
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 44# 65
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 44# 56
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 42# 60
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 39# 89
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 48# 58
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 43# 88
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 42# 53
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 38# 44
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 45# 73
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 44# 53
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 35# 43
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 47# 66
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 86# 192
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 45# 61
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 24# 41
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 42# 63
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 55# 60
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 46# 75
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 44# 54
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 40# 59
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 44# 59
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 43# 65
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 38# 44
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 49# 66
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 62# 65
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 26# 68
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 46# 55
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 55# 65
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 50# 75
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 47# 57
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 41# 79
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 33# 67
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 37# 61
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 38# 52
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 37# 56
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 37# 29
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 47# 42
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 52# 45
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 68# 28
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 92# 51
   
  Daniel Murphy
1B,2B - COL
Daniel Murphy
Jesus Aguilar
1B - MIL
Jesus Aguilar
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats328492
   
Runs4080
   
Hits98135
   
Singles7175
   
Doubles1525
   
Triples00
   
Home Runs1235
   
RBI42108
   
Stolen Bases30
   
Caught Stealing00
   
Walks2058
   
Strikeouts40143
   
Batting Average.299.274
   
On Base Pct.336.352
   
Slugging Pct.454.539
   
On-base Plus Slugging.791.890
   
  Daniel Murphy
1B,2B - COL
Daniel Murphy
Jesus Aguilar
1B - MIL
Jesus Aguilar
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats529520
   
Runs8177
   
Hits165135
   
Singles10578
   
Doubles3525
   
Triples31
   
Home Runs2231
   
RBI8395
   
Stolen Bases40
   
Caught Stealing10
   
Walks4155
   
Strikeouts69147
   
Batting Average.311.260
   
On Base Pct.360.330
   
Slugging Pct.517.492
   
On-base Plus Slugging.876.822
   
  Daniel Murphy
1B,2B - COL
Daniel Murphy
Jesus Aguilar
1B - MIL
Jesus Aguilar
News 
 Daniel Murphy went 1-for-6 with a double and two RBI in the Rockies' 16-12 loss to the Padres on Friday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 15th
Jesus Aguilar went 1-for-3 with a solo home run in the Brewers' 9-4 loss to the Pirates on Friday.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 1st
 Daniel Murphy went 3-for-4 with a double and two RBI in the Rockies' 10-3 win over the Cubs on Tuesday evening.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 12th
Brewers first baseman Jesus Aguilar is out of the lineup for the fifth straight game for Sunday's matchup against the Philadelphia Phillies. Eric Thames is playing first base and batting seventh.
Mike Maher
Sun, May 26th
 Daniel Murphy went 2-for-4 with a solo homer in Friday's 5-1 win over the Mets.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 8th
Jesus Aguilar went 1-for-4 with two RBI in the Brewers' 5-2 win over the Phillies on Wednesday.
Elliott Baas
Thu, May 16th
 Daniel Murphy went 2-for-4 with a homer and two RBI as the Rockies fell to the Cubs 6-3 on Tuesday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 4th
Jesus Aguilar went 1-for-3 with a single and two RBI in the Brewers' 7-0 win over the Cubs on Friday.
Elliott Baas
Sat, May 11th
 Daniel Murphy went 2-for-4 with an RBI in the Rockies' 5-1 win over the Blue Jays on Sunday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 2nd
Jesus Aguilar went 1-for-3 with a single in the Brewers' 3-2 win over the Mets on Sunday.
Elliott Baas
Sun, May 5th
Notes 
 Murphy's overall stat line wasn't all that impressive last year, but once he was healthy in the second half, he returned to hittin .315 with a 25 HR pace. Move that to Coors Field and we may be looking at the NL Batting Champion with plenty of homers, RBI and runs. Be mindful that he rarely plays a full season, but when he is on the field we are looking at a top 30 fantasy asset
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
After hitting .265 with 16 HRs in 279 at-bats in 2017, Aguilar got the chance to be a full-time player in 2018, and took advantage to the sweet tune of a .274/80/35/108 line that made him a top-three first baseman in standard 5x5 roto leagues. Aguilar is a zero on the base paths and he strikes out too much to be of much help in batting average, either, but the power is very real and his run production numbers should continue to be excellent in a loaded lineup and great home park. Call Aguilar a HR/RBI specialist if you must, but at least recognize that he is one of the better HR/RBI specialists in the game.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Murphy took a long time to return from microfracture knee surgery in 2018, but it was worth the wait for his fantasy owners, as he produced a .299/40/12/42/3 line over 328 at-bats from June on. He's always been a good hitter, but has blossomed into a truly potent fantasy asset over the last three seasons, demonstrating the ability to knock 25 home runs with a batting average well north of .300. And that was before he played his home games at Coors Field, where he owns a .330 lifetime batting average. Murphy may be discounted in drafts on account of his increasing age, but it would not be shocking if he finished as a top-20 overall hitter in his first season in Colorado.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Aguilar is currently being drafted ahead of players like Scooter Gennett, Eddie Rosario, Justin Upton, Josh Donaldson, and A.J. Pollock. He may have put together a great first half, but once pitchers built a book on him, his last 60 games saw him hit just .245 with 27 homers. His consensus projections aren't much higher, at 30 homers and a .258 batting average. You can find production like that off the waiver wire at first base, and while there is a chance he returns to first-half form, you may be better off waiting 170 picks and grabbing a similar player like C.J. Cron.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Murphy's draft stock hasn't soared nearly enough for a career .299/.344/.458 hitter moving to Coors Field. One of baseball's top sluggers in 2016 and 2017, his 2018 returns were contaminated by a brutal return from offseason knee injury. From July 1 onward, removing 15 games from his 91-game season, he batted .317/.355/.493 with 12 homers. Steamer's projected .307 average and 22 homers seem more than reasonable with the Rockies, and he's capable of bringing home another batting title.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Aguilar's breakout may have seemed to come out of nowhere, but it was only the playing time that was particularly surprising. After slugging .505 in a short-end platoon role in 2017, he supplanted Eric Thames to pop 35 homers with a 134 wRC+ in a full-time role. All the hard hits and a high launch angle say the power is legit, but his contract skills don't support a .274 hitter. Drafters are naturally dubious of playing for a late bloomer's career year, but Milwaukee's starting first baseman shouldn't fall off a cliff entirely. He should at least remain good for a .250, 30-homer campaign.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros