Who Should I Draft?

David Dahl or Jesus Aguilar (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Jesus Aguilar
1B - TB
Jesus Aguilar
David Dahl
LF,CF,RF - COL
David Dahl
Expert
Recommendation
54%
Recommended by
32 of 59 experts
46%
Recommended by
27 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 55# 59
Best Rank# 28# 37
Worst Rank# 192# 104
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 78# 95
Best Rank# 75# 70
Worst Rank# 85# 104
   
Projections 
   
Runs7774
Home Runs3126
RBI9584
Stolen Bases011
Batting Average.260.276
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertMiLB-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 44# 67
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 54# 68
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 29# 42
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 35# 41
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 42# 79
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 61# 67
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 45# 55
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 28# 81
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 35# 104
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 52# 67
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 56# 59
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 60# 70
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 58# 63
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 44# 71
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 53# 73
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 43# 49
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 41# 52
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 63# 70
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 60# 76
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 54# 86
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 59# 79
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 44# 51
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 66# 85
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 65# 72
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 55# 74
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 63# 84
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 57# 71
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 38# 71
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 39# 65
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 36# 41
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 52# 72
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 56# 71
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 65# 37
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 192# 37
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 51# 39
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 79# 40
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 61# 41
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 57# 43
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 66# 43
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 75# 46
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 52# 46
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 53# 48
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 67# 50
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 60# 52
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 88# 52
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 68# 54
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 65# 54
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 60# 54
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 75# 55
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 76# 55
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 66# 55
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 59# 56
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 71# 58
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 65# 58
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 66# 59
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 68# 59
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 73# 60
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 89# 62
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 132# 96
   
  Jesus Aguilar
1B - TB
Jesus Aguilar
David Dahl
LF,CF,RF - COL
David Dahl
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats492249
   
Runs8031
   
Hits13568
   
Singles7538
   
Doubles2511
   
Triples03
   
Home Runs3516
   
RBI10848
   
Stolen Bases05
   
Caught Stealing03
   
Walks5819
   
Strikeouts14368
   
Batting Average.274.273
   
On Base Pct.352.325
   
Slugging Pct.539.534
   
On-base Plus Slugging.890.859
   
  Jesus Aguilar
1B - TB
Jesus Aguilar
David Dahl
LF,CF,RF - COL
David Dahl
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats520518
   
Runs7774
   
Hits135143
   
Singles7883
   
Doubles2528
   
Triples16
   
Home Runs3126
   
RBI9584
   
Stolen Bases011
   
Caught Stealing05
   
Walks5538
   
Strikeouts147135
   
Batting Average.260.276
   
On Base Pct.330.326
   
Slugging Pct.492.505
   
On-base Plus Slugging.822.830
   
  Jesus Aguilar
1B - TB
Jesus Aguilar
David Dahl
LF,CF,RF - COL
David Dahl
News 
 Jesus Aguilar hit a two-run homer in his only at-bat in Tuesday's loss to the Dodgers.
John Aubin
Wed, Sep 18th
David Dahl injured his ankle on a flyball to center field and needed to be carted off the field on Friday night against the Giants.
Dan Harris
Fri, Aug 2nd
 Jesus Aguilar went 2-for-4 with a solo home run and another RBI in Friday's victory over the Angels.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 14th
David Dahl went 2-for-5 with a homer, three RBI, and two runs scored in the Rockies' 9-1 win over the Dodgers on Monday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jul 30th
 Jesus Aguilar went 1-for-3 with a three-run home run Friday against the Indians.
John Aubin
Sat, Aug 31st
David Dahl went 2-for-4 with a homer, two RBI, and two runs scored in the Rockies' 12-2 win over the Reds on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jul 27th
 Jesus Aguilar went 2-for-4 with a solo home run, two total RBI and two runs scored in Sunday's win over the Marlins.
John Aubin
Sun, Aug 4th
David Dahl was scratched from Friday’s lineup against the Yankees with a bruised foot.
Brad Camara
Fri, Jul 19th
 Jesus Aguilar went 2-for-3 and scored two runs against the Red Sox in his first game as a Ray on Thursday.
John Aubin
Fri, Aug 2nd
Dahl left Wednesday's game against the San Francisco Giants after fouling a ball off his left foot.
James Bisson
Wed, Jul 17th
Notes 
 After hitting .265 with 16 HRs in 279 at-bats in 2017, Aguilar got the chance to be a full-time player in 2018, and took advantage to the sweet tune of a .274/80/35/108 line that made him a top-three first baseman in standard 5x5 roto leagues. Aguilar is a zero on the base paths and he strikes out too much to be of much help in batting average, either, but the power is very real and his run production numbers should continue to be excellent in a loaded lineup and great home park. Call Aguilar a HR/RBI specialist if you must, but at least recognize that he is one of the better HR/RBI specialists in the game.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
There is plenty of reason to be excited about David Dahl, as his upside is a true five-category contributor. With that said, he has been among the most injury-prone players in baseball so even 400 plate appearances is no guarantee.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Aguilar is currently being drafted ahead of players like Scooter Gennett, Eddie Rosario, Justin Upton, Josh Donaldson, and A.J. Pollock. He may have put together a great first half, but once pitchers built a book on him, his last 60 games saw him hit just .245 with 27 homers. His consensus projections aren't much higher, at 30 homers and a .258 batting average. You can find production like that off the waiver wire at first base, and while there is a chance he returns to first-half form, you may be better off waiting 170 picks and grabbing a similar player like C.J. Cron.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Dahl displayed an enticing combination of power, speed, and batting average in the minor leagues, but he has found it hard to nail down regular playing time in Colorado over the last couple seasons. Thankfully, that will no longer be an issue in 2019, as he's slated to be the Rockies' everyday left fielder. Dahl will need to keep his strikeout rate in check if he wants to be a true asset in batting average, but he should be able to contribute 25+ HRs and 10+ SBs this season while calling Coors Field home. There's always a little bit of risk when investing an early pick in a player who has never played a full Major League season, but Dahl's upside outweighs the risk once you get outside of the first five or six rounds of fantasy drafts.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Aguilar's breakout may have seemed to come out of nowhere, but it was only the playing time that was particularly surprising. After slugging .505 in a short-end platoon role in 2017, he supplanted Eric Thames to pop 35 homers with a 134 wRC+ in a full-time role. All the hard hits and a high launch angle say the power is legit, but his contract skills don't support a .274 hitter. Drafters are naturally dubious of playing for a late bloomer's career year, but Milwaukee's starting first baseman shouldn't fall off a cliff entirely. He should at least remain good for a .250, 30-homer campaign.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
*In best Jerry Seinfeld voice* What's the Dahl with David's rising ADP? He's a top-100 choice in most spots after popping nine homers in September. Although he could easily offer 25 homers and 15 steals with a Coors-inflated batting average, investors must be willing to absorb some additional matchup homework. He recorded a .378 wOBA against righties and a .296 wOBA versus lefties, and even those steep splits are nothing compared to his .435 wOBA at home compared to a .254 wOBA on the road. This could make him trickier to own in leagues with weekly lineups.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros