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Who Should I Draft?

Devin Williams or Craig Kimbrel (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
Devin Williams
RP - MIL
Devin Williams
Expert
Recommendation
56%
Recommended by
28 of 50 experts
44%
Recommended by
22 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 62# 65
Best Rank# 35# 41
Worst Rank# 108# 118
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 164# 159
Best Rank# 153# 134
Worst Rank# 233# 221
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts7991
Wins34
Saves244
ERA3.653.14
WHIP1.211.18
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 55# 105
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 61# 75
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 52# 86
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 58# 118
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 55# 71
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 76
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 54# 90
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 69# 107
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 58# 59
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 54# 74
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 54# 62
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 63# 66
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 35# 75
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 63# 71
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 71# 86
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 86# 105
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 64# 69
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 63# 91
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 51# 64
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 50# 90
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 58# 80
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 47# 59
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 58# 67
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 42# 72
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 80# 96
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 67# 69
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 58# 65
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 39# 53
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 58# 41
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 98# 42
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 46
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 48# 46
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 72# 46
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 62# 51
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 59# 51
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 98# 51
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 68# 51
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 61# 53
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 87# 54
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 68# 58
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 103# 60
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 64# 60
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 108# 61
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 70# 61
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 74# 62
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 73# 63
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 65# 64
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 89# 67
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 83# 70
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 75# 72
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
Devin Williams
RP - MIL
Devin Williams
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1822
   
Games Started00
   
Innings Pitched15.027.0
   
Wins04
   
Losses11
   
Saves20
   
Blown Saves10
   
Holds39
   
Hits Allowed108
   
Earned Runs91
   
Home Runs Allowed21
   
Strikeouts2853
   
Walks129
   
ERA5.280.33
   
WHIP1.430.63
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
Devin Williams
RP - MIL
Devin Williams
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played5659
   
Games Started00
   
Innings Pitched54.165.3
   
Wins34
   
Losses23
   
Saves244
   
Blown Saves111
   
Holds418
   
Hits Allowed4048
   
Earned Runs2223
   
Home Runs Allowed87
   
Strikeouts7991
   
Walks2629
   
ERA3.653.14
   
WHIP1.211.18
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
Devin Williams
RP - MIL
Devin Williams
News 
 Craig Kimbrel came in to snuff out a rally in the eighth inning. He would finish out the game allowing no runs for his third save of the season.
Jamie Mellor
Wed, Apr 14th
Brewers manager Craig Counsell says the team is backing away from using Devin Williams in high-leverage situations for the time being.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Apr 13th
 Craig Kimbrel recorded his first five-out save of his career Thursday versus the Pirates. It was also career save #350.
Jamie Mellor
Fri, Apr 9th
Devin Williams allowed one run on a hit and a walk and struck out two in one inning in Wednesday's win over the Cubs. He was charged with the blown save.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Apr 7th
 Craig Kimbrel pitched another perfect inning with two strikeouts Sunday versus the Pirates. He earned his first save of the season.
Jamie Mellor
Mon, Apr 5th
Brewers RP Devin Williams (shoulder) will make his Cactus League debut on Saturday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Mar 18th
 Craig Kimbrel faced three batters and struck out all of them. He did not get the save because the Cubs had a four-run lead though.
Jamie Mellor
Sun, Apr 4th
Devin Williams (shoulder) pitched his first live BP in Brewers camp on Saturday. Williams threw 25 pitches in the outing.
Matt Flipi
Sat, Mar 13th
 Cubs manager David Ross said RHP Craig Kimbrel is “going to be our closer.”
Brad Camara
Tue, Feb 16th
Brewers manager Craig Counsell says RHP Devin Williams won't appear in a Cactus League game before March 17th.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Mar 3rd
Notes 
 As a whole, Kimbrel's 2020 numbers were abysmal. A 5.28 ERA, a 1.43 WHIP, and a walk rate of 17.4%. And yet, there were some encouraging signs. Not only did his strikeout rate bounce back to 40.6%, but he was actually an elite pitcher after his first four outings. How elite? He pitched to a 1.42 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP, and stuck out 53.1% of the batters he faced. It wasn't perfect, as Kimbrel still walked five batters per nine innings over that stretch. But he showed that he still has some has left in the tank. Although he never reclaimed the closer's job despite his strong finish, it's a good bet that the Cubs hand him the ninth-inning role to start, as they try to rebuild his trade value in the final year of his deal. That means Kimbrel should at least get save chances for the first several weeks of the season, and, as such, should be drafted as low-end second closer with just a modicum of upside.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
You have to hand it to the Brewers - they produce relievers who put up historically great seasons. Williams wasn't just good in 2020 - he was truly beyond belief. A 0.33 ERA. One run and eight hits allowed in 27 innings. A 44% K-BB%. Williams has battled injuries for much of his career, but given what he did last year, he should be drafted among the elite fantasy relievers in the game. Even if he never gets a save chance with Josh Hader in front of him, his ratios make him more than worth it.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Over his final 14 appearances (12 2/3 IP) Kimbrel registered a 27:7 K:BB ratio to go along with a 1.42 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP. I'd like confirmation from the Cubs that he's entering the season as the closer before going "all in" on drafting him, but as long as he gets the ninth inning I'll be interested. Kimbrel has likely turned off many fantasy managers with some ugly blowup performances the past two years. This creates a buying opportunity. Kimbrel is a perfect candidate to draft for those who prefer to wait on saves.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
In the shortened 2020 season, Williams became the first reliever to ever win Rookie of the Year without earning a single save. This was a credit to his four wins, nine holds, 0.33 ERA, and 53 strikeouts in 27 innings pitched. Williams is once again unlikely to earn many saves in 2021, but his ratios are so elite that he's worth rostering in any and all fantasy leagues. To put in perspective how dominant Williams' changeup is - the spin rate on his changeup led the No. 2 finisher by more than 400 RPM, which was a bigger gap than No. 2 to No. 69. Should anything happen to Josh Hader, Williams would arguably become my top ranked closer in fantasy baseball.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
  Devin Williams was incredible in 2020 and ended up taking home the NL Rookie Year of the Year award. He owned a 0.33 ERA, 0.63 WHIP and a 53:9 K:BB across 27 innings last season. Williams will be one of the more popular relievers off the board for upcoming fantasy drafts, especially in league formats which use the category solds (save and holds). The Brewers reportedly were looking to move on from current closer Josh Hader. Williams would have the closer job all to himself and can be considered a top-5 reliever if Hader is dealt.
Brad Camara - FantasyPros