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Who Should I Draft?

Dinelson Lamet or Patrick Corbin (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Dinelson Lamet
RP,SP - SD
Dinelson Lamet
Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
Expert
Recommendation
63%
Recommended by
32 of 51 experts
37%
Recommended by
19 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 40# 44
Best Rank# 19# 17
Worst Rank# 262# 88
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 106# 125
Best Rank# 71# 95
Worst Rank# 113# 137
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts169192
Wins912
Saves00
ERA3.423.99
WHIP1.111.27
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 47# 50
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 20# 48
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 37# 51
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 22# 23
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 57# 83
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 27# 35
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 31# 42
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 33# 47
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 25# 30
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 30# 43
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 35# 41
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 54# 55
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 23# 44
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 55# 62
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 43# 81
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 43# 51
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 43# 55
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 22# 38
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 39
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 37# 46
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 36# 46
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 22# 44
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 32# 88
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 33# 41
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 24# 54
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 34# 45
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 33# 36
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 39# 63
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 38# 40
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 39# 45
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 37# 44
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 37# 88
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 29# 28
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 31# 27
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 38# 17
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 39# 35
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 42# 37
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 44# 39
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 47# 26
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 50# 48
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 52# 39
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 53# 37
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 54# 31
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 55# 32
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 56# 55
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 56# 43
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 62# 61
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 62# 49
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 64# 49
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 66# 34
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 262# 65
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Dinelson Lamet
RP,SP - SD
Dinelson Lamet
Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1211
   
Games Started1211
   
Innings Pitched69.066.3
   
Wins32
   
Losses17
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed3985
   
Earned Runs1634
   
Home Runs Allowed510
   
Strikeouts9360
   
Walks2018
   
ERA2.094.66
   
WHIP0.861.57
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Dinelson Lamet
RP,SP - SD
Dinelson Lamet
Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2431
   
Games Started2431
   
Innings Pitched130.4183.5
   
Wins912
   
Losses610
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed101179
   
Earned Runs4981
   
Home Runs Allowed1725
   
Strikeouts169192
   
Walks4454
   
ERA3.423.99
   
WHIP1.111.27
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Dinelson Lamet
RP,SP - SD
Dinelson Lamet
Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
News 
 Dinelson Lamet has been activated from the 10-day IL. He hasn't pitched since June 26th due to a couple of injuries.
Kamran Hoda
Wed, Sep 1st
Patrick Corbin tossed a quality start against the Reds. Corbin allowed four hits, zero earned runs, and four walks with seven strikeouts.
Corbin Young
Thu, Sep 23rd
 Padres manager Jayce Tingler noted that Dinelson Lamet had a hip infection "cleaned out." Lamet underwent a procedure that will delay his return although it's not another arm injury.
Corbin Young
Fri, Aug 13th
Patrick Corbin struggled once again versus the Rockies. Corbin gave up nine hits, six runs (five earned), and three walks with five strikeouts.
Corbin Young
Sat, Sep 18th
 Padres RHP Dinelson Lamet (forearm) threw live batting practice on Saturday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Aug 8th
Patrick Corbin went seven innings with a quality start. Corbin gave up four hits, two earned runs, and two walks with four strikeouts. He also earned the win to go 8-14 on the year.
Corbin Young
Sun, Sep 12th
 San Diego pitcher Dinelson Lamet (forearm) is scheduled to throw live batting practice in the next couple of days.
Brad Camara
Mon, Jul 19th
Patrick Corbin threw a quality start yet allowed 11 hits against Mets on Monday. Corbin gave up three earned runs, one walk, and one home run with four strikeouts.
Corbin Young
Mon, Sep 6th
 Padres RHP Dinelson Lamet (forearm) won't pitch before the All-Star break.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jul 9th
Patrick Corbin struggled and gave up six earned runs on Tuesday. Corbin allowed nine hits, four walks, and two home runs with four strikeouts in five innings pitched.
Corbin Young
Tue, Aug 31st
Notes 
 Lamet had a dominant curveball in 2019 which he threw 31.7% of the time. Batters hit just .105 against it that year with a .193 wOBA. But Lamet ditched it entirely in 2020, and instead replaced it by greatly upping his slider usage, from 12.2% in 2019 to 53.4% in 2020. And somehow, his slider was even better than his curveball ever was. Batters hit 0.80 against it with a .120 slugging percentage and a .141 wOBA. It was, simply put, the best pitch in baseball last year. Unfortunately, Lamet's arm couldn't hold up to the stress, and he missed the end of the regular season and the playoffs because of an elbow injury. He underwent PRP therapy on his elbow in October and is progressing well, but the Padres' focus on adding starting pitching this offseason suggests that they are not expecting to have Lamet for the full season. Monitor his health this spring, but understand that even if he begins the year healthy, there are plenty of injury concerns.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Corbin had a disastrous 2020 season, during which he went 2-7 with a 4.66 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP. His strikeout rate plummeted, and his velocity dropped significantly, with his fastball seeing a dip of almost two miles per hour. Corbin leans heavily into his slider, and he needs it to be pristine to be an effective pitcher. And although it wasn't a terrible pitch in 2020, the swinging strike rate on it dropped from 28.1% to 21.2%, and the whiff rate from 52% to just 38.2%. If the loss in velocity and effectiveness of his slider were entirely due to the oddities of the shortened season, then Corbin is going to be a major value in drafts this year. But if not, then his days as a "set it and forget it" starter are likely over. Monitor Corbin's performance this spring, particularly with his velocity. If it's back up to prior levels, then push him up your board significantly.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros