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Who Should I Draft?

Drew Smyly or Mark Melancon (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Drew Smyly
SP - ATL
Drew Smyly
Mark Melancon
RP - SD
Mark Melancon
Expert
Recommendation
69%
Recommended by
34 of 49 experts
31%
Recommended by
15 of 49 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 102# 117
Best Rank# 48# 68
Worst Rank# 204# 186
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 355# 264
Best Rank# 227# 200
Worst Rank# 299# 291
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts13850
Wins73
Saves011
ERA4.553.85
WHIP1.301.32
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL10-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 78# 104
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 114
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 85
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 103# 104
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 117# 124
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 110# 124
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 81# 108
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 103# 134
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 109# 112
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 89# 149
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 98# 132
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 114
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 114
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 104
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 86# 130
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 75
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 88# 163
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 96# 107
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 108# 163
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 101
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 92# 101
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 58# 148
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 103
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 96# 114
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 112# 186
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 99# 139
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 111# 115
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 95# 101
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 110
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 81# 130
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 97# 117
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 103# 124
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 94# 97
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 48
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 101# 68
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 102# 98
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 102# 73
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 104# 95
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 114# 103
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 114# 106
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 126# 97
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 151# 106
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 167# 154
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 204# 121
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 75
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 83
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 106
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 121
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 163
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Drew Smyly
SP - ATL
Drew Smyly
Mark Melancon
RP - SD
Mark Melancon
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played723
   
Games Started50
   
Innings Pitched26.223.2
   
Wins02
   
Losses11
   
Saves011
   
Blown Saves02
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed2022
   
Earned Runs107
   
Home Runs Allowed21
   
Strikeouts4214
   
Walks97
   
ERA3.422.78
   
WHIP1.101.28
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Drew Smyly
SP - ATL
Drew Smyly
Mark Melancon
RP - SD
Mark Melancon
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2359
   
Games Started230
   
Innings Pitched119.559.0
   
Wins73
   
Losses63
   
Saves011
   
Blown Saves04
   
Holds011
   
Hits Allowed11261
   
Earned Runs6025
   
Home Runs Allowed216
   
Strikeouts13850
   
Walks4417
   
ERA4.553.85
   
WHIP1.301.32
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Drew Smyly
SP - ATL
Drew Smyly
Mark Melancon
RP - SD
Mark Melancon
News 
 The Braves have placed Drew Smyly on the 10-day IL with left forearm inflammation. Kyle Wright was recalled from the club's alternate site and will start on Friday against the Cubs.
Dan Harris
Fri, Apr 16th
Mark Melancon gave up 1 earned run in 2 innings pitched in the Padres' extra-innings loss to the Dodgers on Friday. Melancon struck out 1 in the outing and gave up 2 hits.
Matt Flipi
Sat, Apr 17th
 Drew Smyly pitched five innings against the Phillies Sunday, allowing five hits, five runs (all earned) while striking out three batters. He was not a factor in the decision. He threw 91 pitches, 59 for strikes.
Steve Painter
Sun, Apr 11th
Mark Melancon earned his fifth save of the season in the Padres' win over the Rangers on Sunday. Melancon struck out one in the outing.
Matt Flipi
Mon, Apr 12th
 Drew Smyly pitched six innings against the Nats Tuesday, allowing four hits, four runs (two earned), and one walk while fanning eight batters. It was a no-decision for him, as the Braves lost 6-5. He threw 94 pitches, 64 of those strikes.
Steve Painter
Tue, Apr 6th
Mark Melancon earned his fourth save of the year in the Padres' win over the Rangers on Saturday.
Matt Flipi
Sun, Apr 11th
 Drew Smyly pitched 4 2/3 innings Tuesday, allowing six hits, two runs (none earned) while recording four strikeouts against the Red Sox.
Steve Painter
Tue, Mar 30th
Mark Melancon recorded his third save of the season in the Padres' win over the Giants on Tuesday.
Matt Flipi
Wed, Apr 7th
 Drew Smyly pitched five innings against the Rays Thursday, allowing one hit and one walk while striking out six.
Steve Painter
Thu, Mar 25th
Mark Melancon earned his second save of the season in the Padres win over the Diamondbacks on Friday.
Matt Flipi
Sat, Apr 3rd
Notes 
 If you're willing to buy into Smyly's 2020 season, then he's likely to come at a major discount in drafts. He added more than two miles per hour to his fastball, struck out 37.8% of the batters he faced, and leaned more into his excellent curveball. There's reason for optimism after the Braves offered him a substantial one-year deal. Of course, Smyly's real issue is his health, as he missed two full seasons because of Tommy John surgery and even last year was limited to 26 1/3 innings. But there's reason to believe his gains last year are sustainable, so taking him late in your drafts, is worth the gamble.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Melancon had another fine year as the Braves' closer, and now joins the back end of the Padres bullpen. It's unclear if he'll serve as the closer, a Drew Pomeranz and Emilio Pagan also may have a claim to the role. Melancon is entering his age-36 season and his strikeout rate is mediocre at best. Although he is still performing well, his lack of pure stuff suggests that the wheels could come off at any moment. That said, he'll have plenty of value if he can earn the ninth-inning role, so monitor the reports out of spring, and draft him late until and unless he's officially ruled out for the role.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros