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Who Should I Draft?

Edwin Diaz or Charlie Morton (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
Charlie Morton
SP - ATL
Charlie Morton
Expert
Recommendation
73%
Recommended by
37 of 51 experts
27%
Recommended by
14 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 26# 31
Best Rank# 18# 15
Worst Rank# 58# 64
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 81# 107
Best Rank# 71# 102
Worst Rank# 90# 122
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts102171
Wins411
Saves300
ERA3.043.71
WHIP1.121.20
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 32# 36
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 25# 32
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 29# 64
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 26# 28
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 26# 30
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 25# 30
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 25# 33
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 28# 34
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 30# 40
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 20# 25
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 32
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 26# 33
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 21# 31
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 31# 40
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 23# 38
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 27# 41
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 24# 30
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 24# 47
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 27# 29
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 32# 35
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 30# 53
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 36# 50
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 40# 63
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 27# 31
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 24# 27
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 18# 40
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 28# 42
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 37# 41
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 30# 37
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 18# 32
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 28# 40
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 24# 29
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 24# 31
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 26# 31
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 22# 31
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 31# 40
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 23# 34
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 22# 20
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 25# 24
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 27# 20
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 28# 26
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 29# 26
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 30# 29
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 30# 15
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 31# 27
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 33# 32
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 34# 30
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 36# 26
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 38# 24
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 38# 35
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 58# 34
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
Charlie Morton
SP - ATL
Charlie Morton
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played269
   
Games Started09
   
Innings Pitched26.238.2
   
Wins22
   
Losses12
   
Saves60
   
Blown Saves40
   
Holds10
   
Hits Allowed1843
   
Earned Runs520
   
Home Runs Allowed24
   
Strikeouts5042
   
Walks1410
   
ERA1.754.74
   
WHIP1.251.39
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
Charlie Morton
SP - ATL
Charlie Morton
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played6429
   
Games Started029
   
Innings Pitched62.9154.7
   
Wins411
   
Losses37
   
Saves300
   
Blown Saves110
   
Holds30
   
Hits Allowed47138
   
Earned Runs2164
   
Home Runs Allowed818
   
Strikeouts102171
   
Walks2347
   
ERA3.043.71
   
WHIP1.121.20
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
Charlie Morton
SP - ATL
Charlie Morton
News 
 Edwin Diaz pitched a perfect ninth inning and nailed down his 30th save of the season. The Mets won 3-2 Sunday.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Mon, Sep 20th
Charlie Morton pitched six innings against the Diamondbacks Thursday, allowing five hits, three runs (all earned), and two walks while striking out eight batters. The start was a no-decision for him, but he did earn a quality start. Morton threw 96 pitches, 65 for strikes, and carries a 3.53 ERA.
Steve Painter
Thu, Sep 23rd
 Edwin Diaz allowed two runs on two hits, one walk, and two strikeouts in one inning. He blew the win for starter Rich Hill on Friday, but the Mets scored four runs in the top of the tenth to take the lead and redeem Diaz.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Tue, Sep 7th
Charlie Morton pitched five innings against the Giants Saturday, allowing four hits, two runs (both earned), and three walks while striking out three batters. The Braves offense was held scoreless, and Morton got the loss, his record is now 13-6 on the year. He threw 97 pitches, 51 for strikes, and carries a 3.49 ERA.
Steve Painter
Sun, Sep 19th
 Edwin Diaz was perfect in the ninth inning with two strikeouts Thursday. The Mets won 4-3 and are one game under .500 this season.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Fri, Sep 3rd
Charlie Morton pitched seven innings against the Marlins Friday, allowing six hits and three runs (all earned) while striking out seven batters. While he didn't get the win, he did earn another quality start. Morton threw 91 pitches, 64 for strikes, and carries a 3.49 ERA.
Steve Painter
Sat, Sep 11th
 Edwin Diaz struck out two in a perfect inning for his 27th save. The Mets won 3-1 and swept an unconventional doubleheader on Tuesday.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Wed, Sep 1st
Charlie Morton and the Braves agreed to a one year, $20 million contract extension on Monday. The deal also includes a club option for 2023 with $20 million as well.
Chris Schommer
Mon, Sep 6th
 Edwin Diaz pitched a perfect ninth inning to record the save in Saturday's affair against the Nationals. The Mets improved to 62-67 with the win.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Tue, Aug 31st
Charlie Morton pitched seven innings against the Rockies Sunday, allowing two hits, two runs (both earned), and two walks while striking four batters out. The Braves offense was loud in this one, and Morton's record improved to 13-5 on the year, and he also earned another start. He threw 89 pitches, 60 for strikes, and carries a 3.47 ERA.
Steve Painter
Sun, Sep 5th
Notes 
 Diaz's overall numbers bounced back in a monstrous way last season. He dropped his ERA from a bloated 5.59 in 2019 to a 1.75, and upped his strikeout rate to a career-best 45.5%. He was among the league leaders in nearly every expected statistic (batting average, slugging percentage wOBA, and ERA), and he cut his HR/9 rate from 2.33 to just 0.70. Diaz's walk rate actually regressed, however, as he issued free passes to nearly five batters per nine innings. That's not often a recipe for success from a closer, but Diaz can survive at that rate if he continues to keep the strikeouts up and limit the long balls. In the end, Diaz does carry some risk given his history, but he should be drafted as one of the upper echelon closers in the game, if not a touch behind the truly elite options.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Morton's 2020 numbers were poor, without question. He was limited to just 38 regular season innings because of a shoulder injury, and pitched to a 4.74 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. His velocity was way down early in the season (when he got hit hard) and trickled up after he returned, but he got back to his normal 95 MPH fastball in the postseason and totaled a 2.70 ERA. Now 37 and with the Braves, the question is whether fantasy managers can write off Morton's down 2020 season considering his sterling post-season, or whether his age and injury history means they should avoid him. In reality, the answer is neither. Morton should still have gas left in the tank considering his playoff run, but should only be drafted as a value, meaning no earlier than a low-end SP3. Grab him there, at which point the risk-reward balance should reach an equilibrium.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros