Who Should I Draft?

Edwin Diaz or James Paxton (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
Experts' Pick
  Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
Expert
Recommendation
50%
Recommended by
28 of 56 experts
50%
Recommended by
28 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 13# 14
Best Rank# 5# 11
Worst Rank# 23# 31
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 50# 49
Best Rank# 46# 47
Worst Rank# 53# 55
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts103196
Wins313
Saves380
ERA2.433.46
WHIP0.971.14
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 17# 15
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 19# 16
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 12
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 20# 15
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 21# 15
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 16# 15
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 16# 12
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 18# 11
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 22# 13
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 15
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 15# 14
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 19# 14
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 21# 16
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 16# 12
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 20# 15
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 14# 13
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 23# 12
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 21# 14
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 21# 17
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 15# 13
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 21# 19
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 18# 14
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 20# 12
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 22# 13
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 17# 15
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 15# 13
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 20# 18
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 15# 13
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 5# 16
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 8# 22
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 10# 16
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 11# 17
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 12
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 12# 14
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 13# 18
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 13# 15
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 14# 16
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 14# 17
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 14# 19
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 14# 15
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 14# 15
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 15# 20
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 15# 21
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 15# 19
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 15# 16
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 15# 16
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 15# 31
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 15# 16
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 15# 16
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 16# 18
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 28
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 16# 19
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 18# 28
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 22
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 20# 27
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 22# 24
   
  Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played7328
   
Games Started028
   
Innings Pitched73.1160.1
   
Wins011
   
Losses46
   
Saves570
   
Blown Saves40
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed41134
   
Earned Runs1667
   
Home Runs Allowed523
   
Strikeouts124208
   
Walks1742
   
ERA1.963.76
   
WHIP0.791.10
   
  Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played6728
   
Games Started028
   
Innings Pitched67.7166.2
   
Wins313
   
Losses37
   
Saves380
   
Blown Saves30
   
Holds20
   
Hits Allowed45144
   
Earned Runs1864
   
Home Runs Allowed621
   
Strikeouts103196
   
Walks2145
   
ERA2.433.46
   
WHIP0.971.14
   
  Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
News 
 Mets closer Edwin Diaz allowed one run on three hits but managed to convert his 15th save of the season in Saturday's win over the Cardinals.
Mike Maher
Sun, Jun 16th
James Paxton was handed the loss after surrendering six runs on seven hits over 2 2/3 innings during Game 2 of Tuesday's doubleheader against the Mets. He struck out one and walked two.
John Aubin
Wed, Jun 12th
 Mets closer Edwin Diaz allowed two earned runs on two hits and one walk while striking out one over one inning to blow the save in Thursday's game against the St. Louis Cardinals. The game was suspended in the ninth inning at 4-4 and is scheduled to be completed on Friday.
Mike Maher
Fri, Jun 14th
James Paxton pitched 4 2/3 innings against the Blue Jays on Wednesday and allowed four runs (three earned) on four hits and three walks. He struck out four and did not factor in the decision.
John Aubin
Thu, Jun 6th
 Mets closer Edwin Diaz allowed one hit and no walks while striking out two en route to earning his 14th save of the season in Saturday's win over the Rockies.
Mike Maher
Sun, Jun 9th
James Paxton gave up no runs and no hits while walking two and striking out seven over four innings on Wednesday as the Yankees beat the Padres.
John Aubin
Wed, May 29th
 Edwin Diaz allowed four runs on five hits and a walk over just 1/3 of an inning against the Dodgers on Wednesday night. He was credited with a loss and a blown save.
Dan Harris
Thu, May 30th
James Paxton (knee) has been cleared to come off the injured list to start Wednesday versus the Padres.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, May 27th
 Mets closer Edwin Diaz allowed one hit and one walk while striking out three to earn the save in Sunday's win over the Detroit Tigers. The save was his 13th of the season.
Mike Maher
Mon, May 27th
Yankees manager Aaron Boone says he hopes James Paxton (knee) will be able to return this week versus the Padres.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, May 26th
Notes 
 The Mets acquired Diaz to serve as their new closer, and he should be one of the first two closers off the board in all fantasy leagues following his dominant 2018 in Seattle.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Paxton has posted back-to-back seasons with an excellent strikeout rate and WHIP, but his ERA grew by nearly a run last year thanks to a spike in his home run rate. Under normal circumstances that could be chalked up to an outlier season, but Paxton is moving to a much more homer-friendly home park this season so it is possible the long ball issue could linger. Last season's 160 1/3 innings also represented a career-high for Paxton, who is not exactly known for his durability. Expect him to be quite good when he's on the mound, but don't expect more than about 150 innings and an ERA in the mid-3.00s.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Diaz won't record another 57 saves, tied for the second-most ever in a single season. Yet he's the top fantasy closer after cementing a 1.91 ERA with a nasty 124 strikeouts in 73.1 innings. He fixed 2017's walk woes, cutting his walk rate from 11.6 to 6.1%. Those elite numbers are going to cost a bounty on draft day, so investors can't afford much regression if he keeps going around the top 50.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Paxton has posted the fifth-best K% (30.4) and FIP (2.95) among all starters with at least 200 IP in the past two seasons. Yet last season's 160.1 IP comfortably set a personal high. He holds a career 3.87 ERA away from Safeco Field, so pitching in Yankee Stadium could offset the potential wins boost. Know your league before deciding whether to sacrifice quantity for quantity from a top-20 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 There is a top tier of three or four closers, but among them, Diaz is likely the best. He racked up 124 Ks in 73 innings last year, and while you can't bank on 57 saves again, 40 is well within question for a surprisingly good Mets team this year. His ratios will surely be stellar, but even so, with only 70 innings, they won't help you enough to warrant using a fifth or even earlier pick on him or any other closer.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Paxton was excellent last year with a whopping 208 Ks in just 160 innings, but this is also the first time he ever pitched above 140 innings. While the ceiling is clearly exciting with Paxton, re-injury is a significant risk, but he is moving from one of the best pitching parks in Seattle to one of the worst at Yankee Stadium.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros