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Who Should I Draft?

Edwin Diaz or Lance Lynn (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
Lance Lynn
SP - TEX
Lance Lynn
Expert
Recommendation
51%
Recommended by
22 of 43 experts
49%
Recommended by
21 of 43 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 35# 36
Best Rank# 19# 23
Worst Rank# 73# 74
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 117# 115
Best Rank# 103# 107
Worst Rank# 132# 136
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts3674
Wins15
Saves110
ERA3.404.03
WHIP1.091.30
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 41# 53
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 24# 29
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 41# 53
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 47# 51
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 19# 28
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 29# 31
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 27# 39
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 31# 32
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 34# 38
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 32# 37
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 25# 74
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 37# 44
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 24# 36
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 28# 53
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 43# 45
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 31# 53
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 32# 48
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 39# 48
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 33# 63
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 34# 45
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 42# 46
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 34# 42
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 36# 32
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 39# 29
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 39# 38
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 39# 24
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 40# 37
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 41# 37
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 41# 38
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 42# 30
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 42# 23
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 42# 36
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 43# 35
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 43# 36
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 44# 38
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 45# 36
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 47# 32
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 47# 38
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 47# 30
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 48# 28
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 50# 28
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 56# 45
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 73# 53
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
Lance Lynn
SP - TEX
Lance Lynn
2019 Stats 
   
   
Games Played6633
   
Games Started033
   
Innings Pitched58.1208.1
   
Wins216
   
Losses711
   
Saves260
   
Blown Saves70
   
Holds10
   
Hits Allowed58195
   
Earned Runs3685
   
Home Runs Allowed1521
   
Strikeouts99246
   
Walks2259
   
ERA5.593.67
   
WHIP1.381.22
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
Lance Lynn
SP - TEX
Lance Lynn
2020 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2412
   
Games Started012
   
Innings Pitched23.568.6
   
Wins15
   
Losses14
   
Saves110
   
Blown Saves20
   
Holds10
   
Hits Allowed1865
   
Earned Runs931
   
Home Runs Allowed39
   
Strikeouts3674
   
Walks824
   
ERA3.404.03
   
WHIP1.091.30
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
Lance Lynn
SP - TEX
Lance Lynn
News 
 Edwin Diaz has yet to be formally named the Mets' closer heading into the start of the regular season. Manager Luis Rojas declined to commit to Diaz as the team's closer, admitting "I don't know yet. We'll get there at some point."
Connor Rooney
Sun, Jul 5th
Lance Lynn struck out eight over six scoreless innings in a simulated game on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jul 7th
 Mets reliever Edwin Diaz did not a allow a baserunner or strike out a batter over the course of a scoreless inning in Wednesday's win over the St. Louis Cardinals.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Mar 12th
The Rangers announced that Lance Lynn will be the team's Opening Day starter.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Jun 25th
Notes 
 Jarred Kelenic was traded for Edwin Diaz and Robinson Cano. Diaz will get another shot to make this trade seem a little less bad than it was, but with Dellin Betances waiting in the wings, the leash won't be long.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
If you're playing the volume game and quantity over quality, Lynn is your guys. What he did in 2019 seems legit, based on the numbers, but it's hard to shake what he's done over his career in comparison.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Diaz's season was an unmitigated disaster. While his strikeout rate remained strong, his ERA ballooned to 5.59, his home run rate rose to comical levels, and his control waned. By the end of the season, he had ceded save opportunities to Seth Lugo and was relegated to mopup duty. Diaz's slider went from being unhittable in 2018 (.129 BAA) to getting crushed in 2019 (.297 BAA). He'll enter 2020 as the closer for the Mets, and reliever volatility is well-known, so don't be surprised to see Diaz rebound big-time in 2020. But just don't go into your season banking on it.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Lynn was truly phenomenal last season, turning his velocity gains into both an increase in strikeout rate and a massive drop in walk rate. Everything Lynn did in 2019 was backed up by his underlying metrics, so there's plenty of reason for optimism in 2020. But it's fair to consider how out of character Lynn's year was, an add just a wee bit of caution to your projections.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Diaz is clearly an exceptional talent as demonstrated by his insane 2018 campaign, but we are talking about a 10th round pick who didn't even manage to finish among the top 50 relievers last season. Sure, the 5.59 ERA and 1.38 WHIP are likely to come down but will it happen long enough to hold onto the closer job all year?
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
If he can replicate his 2019 season he will be a tremendous value at ADP. A 200+ K pitcher with a strong ERA and Whip in the 9th-10th round is very alluring. Had an FIP even better than his ERA in 2019, so there is reason for optimism.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy