Who Should I Draft?

Edwin Diaz or Stephen Strasburg (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Expert
Recommendation
58%
Recommended by
34 of 59 experts
42%
Recommended by
25 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 13# 16
Best Rank# 5# 11
Worst Rank# 24# 31
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 50# 59
Best Rank# 46# 51
Worst Rank# 53# 62
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts103187
Wins312
Saves380
ERA2.433.40
WHIP0.971.16
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 16# 20
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 18
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 14# 16
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 27
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 8# 28
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 13# 16
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 15# 18
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 18# 25
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 15# 17
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 17
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 10# 13
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 20# 28
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 14# 17
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 15# 16
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 5# 25
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 16# 19
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 16
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 11# 18
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 15# 20
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 14# 15
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 14# 15
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 14# 20
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 15# 16
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 14# 21
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 13# 17
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 12# 31
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 16# 27
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 15# 17
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 15# 19
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 17# 18
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 17# 18
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 15# 16
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 20# 23
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 15# 17
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 15# 14
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 15# 12
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 15# 13
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 16# 15
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 16# 13
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 17# 15
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 17# 14
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 18# 13
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 18# 11
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 13
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 19# 17
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 19# 15
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 20# 18
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 20# 14
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 20# 13
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 21# 18
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 21# 19
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 21# 16
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 21# 14
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 22# 15
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 22# 17
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 22# 12
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 22# 19
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 23# 11
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 24# 19
   
  Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played7322
   
Games Started022
   
Innings Pitched73.1130.1
   
Wins010
   
Losses47
   
Saves570
   
Blown Saves40
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed41118
   
Earned Runs1654
   
Home Runs Allowed518
   
Strikeouts124156
   
Walks1738
   
ERA1.963.74
   
WHIP0.791.20
   
  Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played6728
   
Games Started028
   
Innings Pitched67.7163.6
   
Wins312
   
Losses38
   
Saves380
   
Blown Saves30
   
Holds20
   
Hits Allowed45142
   
Earned Runs1862
   
Home Runs Allowed619
   
Strikeouts103187
   
Walks2147
   
ERA2.433.40
   
WHIP0.971.16
   
  Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
News 
 Mets reliever Edwin Diaz allowed two earned runs on two hits and no walks while striking out three over an inning of work against the Phillies on Friday. He suffered his seventh blown save of the season but was able to escape with the win.
Mike Maher
Sat, Sep 7th
Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed one earned run on four hits and no walks while striking out 10 batters over six innings in Thursday's win over the Phillies. The win brings him to 18-6 on the year.
Mike Maher
Fri, Sep 27th
 Edwin Diaz (1-7) allowed two earned runs on two hits without recording an out to blow the save in Tuesday’s 11-10 loss to the Nationals. He took his seventh loss of the season.
Brad Camara
Wed, Sep 4th
Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg tossed seven shutout innings in a no-decision against the Marlins on Saturday, allowing three hits and three walks while striking out six.
Mike Maher
Sun, Sep 22nd
 Mets reliever Edwin Diaz struck out the only batter he faced to close out Monday's win over the Nationals. He did not record a save in the 7-3 win.
Mike Maher
Tue, Sep 3rd
Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed two earned runs on three hits and four walks while striking out six in a no-decision against the Cardinals on Monday.
Mike Maher
Tue, Sep 17th
 Mets reliever Edwin Diaz struck out all three batters he faced in a scoreless inning during Wednesday's loss to the Chicago Cubs.
Mike Maher
Thu, Aug 29th
Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed two earned runs on four hits and two walks while striking out seven over six innings in Wednesday's win over the Twins. The win brings him to 17-6 on the season.
Mike Maher
Thu, Sep 12th
 Edwin Diaz was removed from the Mets' game against the Braves on Saturday night with an apparent injury.
Dan Harris
Sat, Aug 24th
Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed three earned runs on four hits and four walks while striking out seven over six innings in Thursday's loss to the Atlanta Braves. The loss drops him to 16-6 on the season.
Mike Maher
Fri, Sep 6th
Notes 
 The Mets acquired Diaz to serve as their new closer, and he should be one of the first two closers off the board in all fantasy leagues following his dominant 2018 in Seattle.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
There is a lot of appeal in drafting an upside pitcher like Strasburg, but keep in mind that he averages just 145 innings over the last four years. Even with an excellent strikeout rate, that comes to just 174 Ks per season. The ratios will likely be golden again, but know that there is plenty of risk in spending a 5th or 6th round pick on him this year
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Diaz won't record another 57 saves, tied for the second-most ever in a single season. Yet he's the top fantasy closer after cementing a 1.91 ERA with a nasty 124 strikeouts in 73.1 innings. He fixed 2017's walk woes, cutting his walk rate from 11.6 to 6.1%. Those elite numbers are going to cost a bounty on draft day, so investors can't afford much regression if he keeps going around the top 50.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Strasburg's ERA (3.74) and WHIP (1.20) were a little inflated last season, but that can probably be chalked about to statistical noise -- his peripherals were not meaningfully different outside of a spike in his home runs allowed. The bigger concern is a familiar one: durability/health. Strasburg has not pitched more than 175 innings in a season since 2014, and expecting more than 150-175 from him this season would be foolish. That doesn't mean he can't be a top-20 or even top-15 fantasy starter, though.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 There is a top tier of three or four closers, but among them, Diaz is likely the best. He racked up 124 Ks in 73 innings last year, and while you can't bank on 57 saves again, 40 is well within question for a surprisingly good Mets team this year. His ratios will surely be stellar, but even so, with only 70 innings, they won't help you enough to warrant using a fifth or even earlier pick on him or any other closer.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
It's bad enough Strasburg, still yet to make 30 starts since 2014, threw just 130 innings in 2018. He also recorded the worst ERA (3.74) and FIP (3.62) of his career. Rises in hard-hit rate and exit velocity are concerning, but an elevated 15.7 HR/FB% ultimately did him in. Even if he bounces back to a 3.50 ERA or lower, investors can't reasonably bank on more than 150 innings, a mark he has met once in the last four seasons. Time is running out for the 30-year-old to reach his Cy Young ceiling.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros