Who Should I Draft?

Edwin Diaz or Stephen Strasburg (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Expert
Recommendation
59%
Recommended by
33 of 56 experts
41%
Recommended by
23 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 13# 15
Best Rank# 5# 11
Worst Rank# 23# 31
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 50# 59
Best Rank# 46# 51
Worst Rank# 53# 62
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts103187
Wins312
Saves380
ERA2.433.40
WHIP0.971.16
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 16# 20
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 18
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 14# 16
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 27
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 8# 28
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 13# 16
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 15# 18
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 18# 25
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 15# 17
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 17
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 10# 13
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 20# 28
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 14# 17
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 15# 16
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 5# 25
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 16# 19
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 16
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 11# 18
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 15# 20
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 14# 15
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 14# 15
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 14# 20
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 15# 16
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 14# 21
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 13# 17
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 12# 31
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 16# 27
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 15# 17
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 15# 19
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 17# 18
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 15# 16
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 20# 23
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 15# 17
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 15# 14
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 15# 12
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 15# 13
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 16# 15
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 16# 13
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 17# 14
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 18# 13
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 18# 11
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 13
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 19# 17
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 19# 15
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 20# 18
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 20# 14
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 20# 13
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 21# 18
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 21# 19
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 21# 16
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 21# 16
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 21# 14
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 22# 17
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 22# 12
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 22# 19
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 23# 11
   
  Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played7322
   
Games Started022
   
Innings Pitched73.1130.1
   
Wins010
   
Losses47
   
Saves570
   
Blown Saves40
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed41118
   
Earned Runs1654
   
Home Runs Allowed518
   
Strikeouts124156
   
Walks1738
   
ERA1.963.74
   
WHIP0.791.20
   
  Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played6728
   
Games Started028
   
Innings Pitched67.7163.6
   
Wins312
   
Losses38
   
Saves380
   
Blown Saves30
   
Holds20
   
Hits Allowed45142
   
Earned Runs1862
   
Home Runs Allowed619
   
Strikeouts103187
   
Walks2147
   
ERA2.433.40
   
WHIP0.971.16
   
  Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
News 
 Edwin Diaz threw a perfect ninth inning with two strikeouts to lock down his 16th save against the Cubs on Friday.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Jun 21st
Stephen Strasburg (8-4) allowed three runs on five hits with five strikeouts and three walks over six innings to earn the win against the Braves on Friday.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Jun 22nd
 Mets closer Edwin Diaz allowed one run on three hits but managed to convert his 15th save of the season in Saturday's win over the Cardinals.
Mike Maher
Sun, Jun 16th
Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed six earned runs on nine hits and one walk while striking out five over five innings in a loss to the Diamondbacks on Saturday. The loss drops him to 7-4 on the year.
Mike Maher
Sun, Jun 16th
 Mets closer Edwin Diaz allowed two earned runs on two hits and one walk while striking out one over one inning to blow the save in Thursday's game against the St. Louis Cardinals. The game was suspended in the ninth inning at 4-4 and is scheduled to be completed on Friday.
Mike Maher
Fri, Jun 14th
Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed one earned run on six hits and no walks while striking out six over seven innings in a win over the San Diego Padres Sunday. The win brings him to 7-3 on the season.
Mike Maher
Mon, Jun 10th
 Mets closer Edwin Diaz allowed one hit and no walks while striking out two en route to earning his 14th save of the season in Saturday's win over the Rockies.
Mike Maher
Sun, Jun 9th
Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed five earned runs on five hits and three walks while striking out six over five innings in a win over the Chicago White Sox on Tuesday. The win was the 100th of his career and brings him to 6-3 on the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, Jun 5th
 Edwin Diaz allowed four runs on five hits and a walk over just 1/3 of an inning against the Dodgers on Wednesday night. He was credited with a loss and a blown save.
Dan Harris
Thu, May 30th
Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed two earned runs on five hits and two walks while striking out 11 over seven innings in Tuesday’s win over the Atlanta Braves. The win brings him to 5-3 on the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, May 29th
Notes 
 The Mets acquired Diaz to serve as their new closer, and he should be one of the first two closers off the board in all fantasy leagues following his dominant 2018 in Seattle.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
There is a lot of appeal in drafting an upside pitcher like Strasburg, but keep in mind that he averages just 145 innings over the last four years. Even with an excellent strikeout rate, that comes to just 174 Ks per season. The ratios will likely be golden again, but know that there is plenty of risk in spending a 5th or 6th round pick on him this year
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Diaz won't record another 57 saves, tied for the second-most ever in a single season. Yet he's the top fantasy closer after cementing a 1.91 ERA with a nasty 124 strikeouts in 73.1 innings. He fixed 2017's walk woes, cutting his walk rate from 11.6 to 6.1%. Those elite numbers are going to cost a bounty on draft day, so investors can't afford much regression if he keeps going around the top 50.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Strasburg's ERA (3.74) and WHIP (1.20) were a little inflated last season, but that can probably be chalked about to statistical noise -- his peripherals were not meaningfully different outside of a spike in his home runs allowed. The bigger concern is a familiar one: durability/health. Strasburg has not pitched more than 175 innings in a season since 2014, and expecting more than 150-175 from him this season would be foolish. That doesn't mean he can't be a top-20 or even top-15 fantasy starter, though.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 There is a top tier of three or four closers, but among them, Diaz is likely the best. He racked up 124 Ks in 73 innings last year, and while you can't bank on 57 saves again, 40 is well within question for a surprisingly good Mets team this year. His ratios will surely be stellar, but even so, with only 70 innings, they won't help you enough to warrant using a fifth or even earlier pick on him or any other closer.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
It's bad enough Strasburg, still yet to make 30 starts since 2014, threw just 130 innings in 2018. He also recorded the worst ERA (3.74) and FIP (3.62) of his career. Rises in hard-hit rate and exit velocity are concerning, but an elevated 15.7 HR/FB% ultimately did him in. Even if he bounces back to a 3.50 ERA or lower, investors can't reasonably bank on more than 150 innings, a mark he has met once in the last four seasons. Time is running out for the 30-year-old to reach his Cy Young ceiling.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros