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Who Should I Draft?

Edwin Diaz or Zack Greinke (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
Expert
Recommendation
65%
Recommended by
33 of 51 experts
35%
Recommended by
18 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 26# 29
Best Rank# 18# 10
Worst Rank# 58# 61
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 81# 93
Best Rank# 71# 65
Worst Rank# 90# 99
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts102171
Wins412
Saves300
ERA3.043.85
WHIP1.121.14
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL10
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 29# 59
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 26# 27
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 26# 27
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 30# 61
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 25# 39
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 25# 29
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 28# 29
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 22# 35
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 20# 28
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 29
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 26# 34
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 21# 27
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 23# 35
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 24# 39
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 24# 34
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 27# 38
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 30# 44
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 27# 31
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 30# 31
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 27# 29
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 29# 37
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 18# 36
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 28# 30
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 37# 43
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 30# 32
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 18# 22
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 28# 37
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 24# 31
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 24# 45
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 26# 30
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 22# 29
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 31# 46
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 23# 31
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 24# 23
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 25# 10
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 25# 15
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 27# 18
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 28# 23
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 30# 29
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 31# 29
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 31# 28
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 32# 22
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 32# 30
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 33# 30
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 34# 25
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 36# 33
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 36# 27
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 38# 25
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 38# 31
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 40# 33
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 58# 22
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2612
   
Games Started012
   
Innings Pitched26.267.1
   
Wins23
   
Losses13
   
Saves60
   
Blown Saves40
   
Holds10
   
Hits Allowed1867
   
Earned Runs530
   
Home Runs Allowed26
   
Strikeouts5067
   
Walks149
   
ERA1.754.03
   
WHIP1.251.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played6431
   
Games Started031
   
Innings Pitched62.9183.4
   
Wins412
   
Losses38
   
Saves300
   
Blown Saves110
   
Holds30
   
Hits Allowed47174
   
Earned Runs2178
   
Home Runs Allowed828
   
Strikeouts102171
   
Walks2336
   
ERA3.043.85
   
WHIP1.121.14
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
News 
 Edwin Diaz pitched a perfect ninth inning and nailed down his 30th save of the season. The Mets won 3-2 Sunday.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Mon, Sep 20th
Astros starter Zack Greinke allowed five runs over four innings of work against the Diamondbacks on Sunday. His final line included five hits, one walk, three strikeouts, one homer, and the no-decision. Houston ultimately defeated Arizona by a score of 7-6.
Andersen Pickard
Mon, Sep 20th
 Edwin Diaz allowed two runs on two hits, one walk, and two strikeouts in one inning. He blew the win for starter Rich Hill on Friday, but the Mets scored four runs in the top of the tenth to take the lead and redeem Diaz.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Tue, Sep 7th
Astros veteran starter Zack Greinke had a horrendous outing on Tuesday as he allowed eight runs (seven earned) over five innings of work against the Rangers. His final line included five hits, three walks, four strikeouts, three homers, and the loss. Houston ultimately fell to Texas by a score of 8-1.
Andersen Pickard
Tue, Sep 14th
 Edwin Diaz was perfect in the ninth inning with two strikeouts Thursday. The Mets won 4-3 and are one game under .500 this season.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Fri, Sep 3rd
Astros starting pitcher Zack Greinke (COVID-19) will return to the mound on Tuesday against the Rangers.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Sep 11th
 Edwin Diaz struck out two in a perfect inning for his 27th save. The Mets won 3-1 and swept an unconventional doubleheader on Tuesday.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Wed, Sep 1st
Astros RHP Zack Greinke (COVID-19) will throw a bullpen on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 10th
 Edwin Diaz pitched a perfect ninth inning to record the save in Saturday's affair against the Nationals. The Mets improved to 62-67 with the win.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Tue, Aug 31st
Zack Greinke has been placed on the COVID injured list by the Astros. He will miss his next scheduled start against the Padres.
Chris Schommer
Wed, Sep 1st
Notes 
 Diaz's overall numbers bounced back in a monstrous way last season. He dropped his ERA from a bloated 5.59 in 2019 to a 1.75, and upped his strikeout rate to a career-best 45.5%. He was among the league leaders in nearly every expected statistic (batting average, slugging percentage wOBA, and ERA), and he cut his HR/9 rate from 2.33 to just 0.70. Diaz's walk rate actually regressed, however, as he issued free passes to nearly five batters per nine innings. That's not often a recipe for success from a closer, but Diaz can survive at that rate if he continues to keep the strikeouts up and limit the long balls. In the end, Diaz does carry some risk given his history, but he should be drafted as one of the upper echelon closers in the game, if not a touch behind the truly elite options.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Greinke is entering his age-37 season, but still somehow keeps getting it done. His ERA of 4.03 last year was certainly higher than fantasy managers are used to seeing, but it came with a 2.80 FIP and 3.51 xFIP. His strikeout rate was his best since 2017 and his walk rate of 3.3% was the best of his entire career. But his velocity was down about two ticks, with his fastball clocking in at just 87.9 miles per hour. Greinke is as smart a pitcher as there is but it's going to be difficult to succeed over the course of a full 162-game season if his pure stuff continues to diminish. He's one of the few pitchers in the game who is probably capable of pitching 200 innings in 2021, but expect a continued downward trend in his performance.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros