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Who Should I Draft?

Elieser Hernandez or Mark Melancon (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Elieser Hernandez
SP,RP - MIA
Elieser Hernandez
Mark Melancon
RP - SD
Mark Melancon
Expert
Recommendation
76%
Recommended by
38 of 50 experts
24%
Recommended by
12 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 88# 116
Best Rank# 50# 68
Worst Rank# 197# 186
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 258# 264
Best Rank# 215# 200
Worst Rank# 282# 291
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts13750
Wins73
Saves011
ERA4.293.85
WHIP1.221.32
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 86# 104
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 61
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 70
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 147# 163
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 73# 106
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 85# 104
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 74# 124
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 67# 121
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 77# 124
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 82# 108
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 101# 103
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 85# 134
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 93# 112
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 117
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 96# 97
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 70# 132
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 96
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 78
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 82
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 76# 130
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 75# 163
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 72# 107
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 72# 163
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 70
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 75# 101
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 69# 148
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 68
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 86# 114
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 79# 186
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 80# 139
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 90# 101
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 112# 154
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 79
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 93# 130
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 86# 117
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 97# 124
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 50# 97
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 75
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 83# 68
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 86# 75
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 94# 83
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 104# 98
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 106# 95
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 111# 73
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 119# 84
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 121# 115
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 139# 121
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 197# 149
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 106
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 106
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Elieser Hernandez
SP,RP - MIA
Elieser Hernandez
Mark Melancon
RP - SD
Mark Melancon
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played623
   
Games Started60
   
Innings Pitched26.223.2
   
Wins12
   
Losses01
   
Saves011
   
Blown Saves02
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed2122
   
Earned Runs97
   
Home Runs Allowed51
   
Strikeouts3414
   
Walks57
   
ERA3.162.78
   
WHIP1.011.28
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Elieser Hernandez
SP,RP - MIA
Elieser Hernandez
Mark Melancon
RP - SD
Mark Melancon
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2759
   
Games Started250
   
Innings Pitched127.359.0
   
Wins73
   
Losses73
   
Saves011
   
Blown Saves04
   
Holds011
   
Hits Allowed11661
   
Earned Runs6125
   
Home Runs Allowed236
   
Strikeouts13750
   
Walks3917
   
ERA4.293.85
   
WHIP1.221.32
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Elieser Hernandez
SP,RP - MIA
Elieser Hernandez
Mark Melancon
RP - SD
Mark Melancon
News 
 Marlins starter Elieser Hernandez allowed two unearned runs on four hits and five walks while striking out three over 5 2/3 innings in Friday's loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, Sep 18th
Mark Melancon had a nice 1-2-3 inning in the ninth, striking out one batter in the process.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Fri, Sep 24th
 Marlins pitcher Elieser Hernandez allowed three earned runs on three hits and one walk while striking out six in a no-decision against the Phillies on Sunday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Mon, Sep 6th
Mark Melancon had a rough ninth inning, allowing three consecutive singles which lead to one earned run in the inning.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Wed, Sep 22nd
 Marlins starter Elieser Hernandez allowed one earned run on six hits and one walk while striking out four over five innings in Thursday's win over the Nationals.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Aug 27th
Mark Melancon had a 1-2-3 ninth inning to lock down the save over the Angels on Wednesday, his 37th of the season.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Thu, Sep 9th
 Marlins pitcher Elieser Hernandez allowed one earned run on four hits and one walk while striking out four over 5 1/3 innings in a no-decision against the Cubs on Sunday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Mon, Aug 16th
Mark Melancon had a rough ninth inning, walking the first two batters before inducing a ground ball double-play. He then walked another batter before striking out the final better to escape the jam.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Mon, Sep 6th
 The Marlins activated RHP Elieser Hernandez (quad) from the 60-day injured list.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Aug 15th
Mark Melancon struck out the first two batters of the inning, but then gave up back-to-back singles with two outs. He would inevitably escape the jam with his third strikeout of the inning.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Wed, Sep 1st
Notes 
 Hernandez was excellent in his six starts last season, tallying a 3.16 ERA, a 1.01 WHIP, and a 32.1% strikeout rate. But he allowed a lot of hard contact along the way, including a 91.8 MPH average exit velocity (bottom three percent in the league). He worked on his changeup this offseason in an effort to add a reliable third pitch (he threw his fastball and slider 94% of the time last year), and it has gotten rave reviews in camp. He's fourth in the pecking order of the Marlins starters, but if his changeup can be an effective pitch, he might be the one to provide the most value given his extremely modest ADP.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Melancon had another fine year as the Braves' closer, and now joins the back end of the Padres bullpen. It's unclear if he'll serve as the closer, a Drew Pomeranz and Emilio Pagan also may have a claim to the role. Melancon is entering his age-36 season and his strikeout rate is mediocre at best. Although he is still performing well, his lack of pure stuff suggests that the wheels could come off at any moment. That said, he'll have plenty of value if he can earn the ninth-inning role, so monitor the reports out of spring, and draft him late until and unless he's officially ruled out for the role.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros