Who Should I Draft?

Eugenio Suarez or Matt Carpenter (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Eugenio Suarez
3B - CIN
Eugenio Suarez
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Expert
Recommendation
80%
Recommended by
45 of 56 experts
20%
Recommended by
11 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 35# 50
Best Rank# 25# 12
Worst Rank# 65# 100
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 55# 65
Best Rank# 52# 58
Worst Rank# 57# 72
   
Projections 
   
Runs8397
Home Runs3028
RBI9576
Stolen Bases43
Batting Average.268.256
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 48# 51
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 64
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 36# 47
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 28# 39
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 46# 50
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 31# 46
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 57# 65
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 38# 78
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 39# 83
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 31# 68
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 37# 50
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 28# 36
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 56# 65
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 42# 70
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 35# 71
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 29# 100
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 37# 59
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 37# 48
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 30# 40
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 65# 76
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 60# 78
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 30# 47
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 32# 33
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 41# 53
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 31# 47
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 47# 58
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 52# 66
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 35# 47
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 35# 37
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 29# 50
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 32# 56
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 35# 49
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 36# 51
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 57# 72
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 31# 62
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 29# 51
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 30# 54
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 43# 81
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 36# 57
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 35# 64
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 35# 61
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 42# 55
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 50# 64
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 30# 39
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 42# 70
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 25# 24
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 31# 29
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 36
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 39# 38
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 42# 37
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 47# 37
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 48# 36
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 50# 12
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 52# 35
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 53# 26
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 54# 48
   
  Eugenio Suarez
3B - CIN
Eugenio Suarez
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats527564
   
Runs79111
   
Hits149145
   
Singles9167
   
Doubles2242
   
Triples20
   
Home Runs3436
   
RBI10481
   
Stolen Bases14
   
Caught Stealing11
   
Walks64102
   
Strikeouts142158
   
Batting Average.283.257
   
On Base Pct.366.374
   
Slugging Pct.526.523
   
On-base Plus Slugging.892.897
   
  Eugenio Suarez
3B - CIN
Eugenio Suarez
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats547529
   
Runs8397
   
Hits146135
   
Singles8971
   
Doubles2635
   
Triples22
   
Home Runs3028
   
RBI9576
   
Stolen Bases43
   
Caught Stealing22
   
Walks6695
   
Strikeouts143140
   
Batting Average.268.256
   
On Base Pct.347.369
   
Slugging Pct.488.486
   
On-base Plus Slugging.835.855
   
  Eugenio Suarez
3B - CIN
Eugenio Suarez
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
News 
 Eugenio Suarez went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in the Reds' 7-2 win over the Indians on Wednesday.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Jun 12th
Matt Carpenter went 1-for-3 with an RBI on Thursday against the Mets.
Dan Harris
Fri, Jun 14th
 Eugenio Suarez went 0-for-5 with four strikeouts in the Reds' 4-2 loss to the Phillies on Friday.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 8th
Carpenter is not in the starting lineup for Friday's game against the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Jun 7th
 Reds third baseman Eugenio Suarez is starting at third base and batting third for Friday's matchup against the Washington Nationals.
Mike Maher
Fri, May 31st
Carpenter was pulled in the top of the eighth inning of Thursday's game against the Cincinnati Reds; he was replaced at third base by Jedd Gyorko.
James Bisson
Thu, Jun 6th
 Eugenio Suarez left Wednesday's game versus the Pirates after getting hit by a pitch on the hand.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, May 29th
Matt Carpenter went 1-for-1 with a pinch-hit, solo home run in the Cardinals' 5-3 win over the Phillies on Thursday.
Elliott Baas
Thu, May 30th
 Eugenio Suarez went 2-for-5 with a two-run home run in the Reds' 6-5 win over the Cubs on Friday.
Elliott Baas
Fri, May 24th
Matt Carpenter went 2-for-4 with a solo home run in the Cardinals' 5-2 loss to the Braves on Friday.
Elliott Baas
Sat, May 25th
Notes 
 In the first half last year, Suarez was sensational, hitting 19 homers with 71 RBIs while batting .312. The second half wasn't as pretty, so we may see him take a step back in 2019, but you can still bank on 30+ homers and around 100 RBIs with a decent batting average
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Over the last five years, Carpenter has a remarkable 468 walks, which obviously has contributed to his 483 runs. In that time, his power has steadily improved, all the way to 36 homers last year, and while that total may not be repeatable, 30 homers with 100 runs makes him well worth a sixth round pick in 2019 fantasy leagues
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Suarez was among the league leaders in hard contact rate last season, and the result was a career high .283 batting average, 34 home runs, and 104 RBIs. His BABIP and HR/FB rate were both a little inflated, so some regression should be expected to his average and power output. Look for him to hit closer to his .264 career mark, while hitting around 30 homers and again driving in plenty of runs in an improved Reds lineup.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Carpenter blew away his previous career high by hitting 36 home runs in 2018, but that was fueled by a 19.1 percent HR/FB rate that was far higher than he's ever had before. To be fair, he did have the highest hard contact rate in MLB, so it's not like the home run spike was a total fluke, but fantasy owners should generally be cautious when a player has an outlier season this late in their career. The odds are against Carpenter hitting 35+ home runs again, and while he regularly produces an excellent OBP, he is a bit of a drag in batting average and has little speed to speak of. He's a much better pick in points leagues and leagues that reward OBP than he is in traditional 5x5 roto/categories leagues, where he could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 One of the game's most underappreciated stars, Suarez leveraged a massive hard-hit uptick into a career-high 34 homers. Yet his fly-ball rate (37.1%) stayed exactly the same as 2017, when he circled the bases 26 times. He's likely to split the difference, and a subpar second half (.245/.322/.463) will only fuel more skepticism. Yet it'd be foolish to ignore the other MVP-caliber half (.312/.399/.574). The 27-year-old third baseman could still offer a .275 average with around 30 homers and strong counting numbers around pick 50.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Despite entering the season with health woes and batting .155 in April, Carpenter then went scorched earth to hit .257/.374/.523 with a career-high 36 homers. It's dicey to bet on a 33-year-old coming off a career year, but he simply punishes baseball too severely to discredit. He led qualified hitters in hard-hit rate (49.0%) with the fifth-highest fly-ball rate (46.9%) and fourth-lowest popup rate (2.1%). Given his elite blend of hitting the ball hard, high, and far, Statcast's .535 XSLG and .386 xwOBA even offer room for growth. Expect more elite power in 2019.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros