Who Should I Draft?

Eugenio Suarez or Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Eugenio Suarez
3B - CIN
Eugenio Suarez
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Expert
Recommendation
73%
Recommended by
41 of 56 experts
27%
Recommended by
15 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 35# 48
Best Rank# 25# 16
Worst Rank# 65# 85
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 55# 53
Best Rank# 52# 43
Worst Rank# 57# 70
   
Projections 
   
Runs8375
Home Runs3022
RBI9577
Stolen Bases44
Batting Average.268.300
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 48# 71
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 51
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 36# 51
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 28# 44
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 46# 61
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 31# 62
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 38# 54
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 39# 49
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 31# 82
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 37# 49
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 28# 48
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 50# 66
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 35# 54
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 37# 55
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 37# 39
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 30# 45
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 47# 53
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 60# 70
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 30# 45
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 32# 62
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 41# 44
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 31# 69
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 47
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 52# 53
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 35# 46
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 31# 46
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 29# 36
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 32# 85
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 35# 46
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 57# 61
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 29# 42
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 30# 66
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 43# 47
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 36# 38
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 35# 49
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 35# 48
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 50# 71
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 30# 46
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 42# 54
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 25# 46
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 39# 62
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 29# 16
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 31# 20
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 35# 31
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 36# 28
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 42# 37
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 42# 36
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 42# 41
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 48# 42
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 52# 48
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 53# 49
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 54# 45
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 56# 53
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 57# 30
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 64# 49
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 65# 54
   
  Eugenio Suarez
3B - CIN
Eugenio Suarez
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats527
   
Runs79
   
Hits149
   
Singles91
   
Doubles22
   
Triples2
   
Home Runs34
   
RBI104
   
Stolen Bases1
   
Caught Stealing1
   
Walks64
   
Strikeouts142
   
Batting Average.283
   
On Base Pct.366
   
Slugging Pct.526
   
On-base Plus Slugging.892
   
  Eugenio Suarez
3B - CIN
Eugenio Suarez
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats547482
   
Runs8375
   
Hits146145
   
Singles8993
   
Doubles2629
   
Triples22
   
Home Runs3022
   
RBI9577
   
Stolen Bases44
   
Caught Stealing22
   
Walks6646
   
Strikeouts14372
   
Batting Average.268.300
   
On Base Pct.347.361
   
Slugging Pct.488.505
   
On-base Plus Slugging.835.866
   
  Eugenio Suarez
3B - CIN
Eugenio Suarez
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
News 
 Eugenio Suarez went 1-for-4 with an RBI in the Reds' 3-2 win over the Astros on Monday.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 17th
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is back in the lineup for the Blue Jays in their Sunday game against the Astros. He is batting second and slotted in at DH.
Dan Harris
Sun, Jun 16th
 Eugenio Suarez went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in the Reds' 7-2 win over the Indians on Wednesday.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Jun 12th
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (hand) is absent from Saturday's lineup versus the Astros.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 15th
 Eugenio Suarez went 0-for-5 with four strikeouts in the Reds' 4-2 loss to the Phillies on Friday.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 8th
X-rays on the injured hand of Vladimir Guerrero Jr. came back negative for any fractures on Friday according to Shi Davidi of Sportsnet.
John Aubin
Sat, Jun 15th
 Reds third baseman Eugenio Suarez is starting at third base and batting third for Friday's matchup against the Washington Nationals.
Mike Maher
Fri, May 31st
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. exited Friday's game in the second inning after getting beaned on the hand by a Gerrit Cole fastball.
Andrew Gould
Fri, Jun 14th
 Eugenio Suarez left Wednesday's game versus the Pirates after getting hit by a pitch on the hand.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, May 29th
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 3-for-5 with an RBI and two runs scored in a win over the Orioles on Wednesday.
John Aubin
Thu, Jun 13th
Notes 
 In the first half last year, Suarez was sensational, hitting 19 homers with 71 RBIs while batting .312. The second half wasn't as pretty, so we may see him take a step back in 2019, but you can still bank on 30+ homers and around 100 RBIs with a decent batting average
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Nobody is doubting Guerrero's skills. Especially not Steamer, as the typically pessimistic projection system has the 19-year-old batting .306/.368/.511 with 22 homers in 550 plate appearances. Toronto's teenage prodigy has nothing left to prove in the minors after collectively batting .381/.437/.636 in Double-A and Triple-A. The problem is opportunity, with the Blue Jays almost certain to hold baseball's top prospect back for service-time manipulation. Since he was never going to make the Opening Day roster, supporters shouldn't get cold feet because of an oblique injury that guarantees a delay to his anticipated arrival. With Ronald Acuna's sensational debut fresh in everyone's mind, there's still little chance of snagging Vlad Jr. at a discount. Don't bite so soon in re-drafts, but it'll get tougher to resist if he lasts to the late fifth or sixth round.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Suarez was among the league leaders in hard contact rate last season, and the result was a career high .283 batting average, 34 home runs, and 104 RBIs. His BABIP and HR/FB rate were both a little inflated, so some regression should be expected to his average and power output. Look for him to hit closer to his .264 career mark, while hitting around 30 homers and again driving in plenty of runs in an improved Reds lineup.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
The always conservative Steamer projection model sees Vlad Jr. as a similar player to Nolan Arenado from the get-go with a .300+ BA, 30 homers and both 100 RBIs and runs over a full season's at bats. This issue, however, will be whether he gets those at-bats. You can gamble on him as early as the 4th round, but it may not be early enough to beat others to the punch
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 One of the game's most underappreciated stars, Suarez leveraged a massive hard-hit uptick into a career-high 34 homers. Yet his fly-ball rate (37.1%) stayed exactly the same as 2017, when he circled the bases 26 times. He's likely to split the difference, and a subpar second half (.245/.322/.463) will only fuel more skepticism. Yet it'd be foolish to ignore the other MVP-caliber half (.312/.399/.574). The 27-year-old third baseman could still offer a .275 average with around 30 homers and strong counting numbers around pick 50.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Guerrero profiles as a future superstar. He was unstoppable across four minor league levels last season, hitting .381 with 20 home runs in just 95 games. The projection systems universally expect him to rake from day one in the Major Leagues, envisioning that he is capable of hitting close to .300 with 20-25 home runs even while missing the first few weeks of the season due to service time considerations. He won't be good for more than a handful of stolen bases, but that hardly matters for a player who could someday soon lead the league in both batting average and home runs.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros