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Who Should I Draft?

Fernando Tatis Jr. or Adalberto Mondesi (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Adalberto Mondesi
SS - KC
Adalberto Mondesi
Expert
Recommendation
93%
Recommended by
42 of 45 experts
7%
Recommended by
3 of 45 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 15# 30
Best Rank# 6# 7
Worst Rank# 31# 118
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 19# 43
Best Rank# 14# 36
Worst Rank# 32# 93
   
Projections 
   
Runs3427
Home Runs116
RBI2826
Stolen Bases817
Batting Average.284.256
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 41
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 34
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 35
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 16# 35
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 6# 7
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 10# 24
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 8# 73
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 14# 32
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 27
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 21# 46
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 17# 26
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 21# 26
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 15# 31
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 41
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 10# 44
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 14# 33
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 15# 51
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 14# 118
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 11# 15
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 16# 32
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 16# 30
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 24# 34
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 14# 21
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 16# 29
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 39
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 14# 23
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 10# 14
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 14# 19
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 20# 34
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 24# 25
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 14# 27
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 40
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 17# 36
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 20# 21
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 13# 50
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 17# 26
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 10# 75
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 20# 23
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 20# 79
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 20# 31
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 11# 26
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 20# 45
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 21# 12
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 27# 19
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 31# 24
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Adalberto Mondesi
SS - KC
Adalberto Mondesi
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats334416
   
Runs6158
   
Hits106110
   
Singles6571
   
Doubles1320
   
Triples610
   
Home Runs229
   
RBI5362
   
Stolen Bases1643
   
Caught Stealing67
   
Walks3019
   
Strikeouts110132
   
Batting Average.317.264
   
On Base Pct.379.293
   
Slugging Pct.590.426
   
On-base Plus Slugging.969.718
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Adalberto Mondesi
SS - KC
Adalberto Mondesi
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats204197
   
Runs3427
   
Hits5850
   
Singles3531
   
Doubles910
   
Triples33
   
Home Runs116
   
RBI2826
   
Stolen Bases817
   
Caught Stealing34
   
Walks1810
   
Strikeouts6260
   
Batting Average.284.256
   
On Base Pct.344.291
   
Slugging Pct.513.434
   
On-base Plus Slugging.857.725
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Adalberto Mondesi
SS - KC
Adalberto Mondesi
News 
 Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) is starting in Monday's Cactus League matchup against the Dodgers, leading off and playing shortstop.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Mar 9th
Royals manager Mike Matheny says Adalberto Mondesi (shoulder) "looks good" in the workout videos he has seen of him.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 27th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) returned to action at Padres camp on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Mar 7th
Adalberto Mondesi told reporters that he "feels great" and is on track to play Opening Day for the Royals.
Blaine Blontz
Thu, Feb 20th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) returned to the Padres' spring training facility Thursday, but will need a few more days to recover before rejoining the team's lineup in game action.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Mar 5th
 
 Padres GM A.J. Preller says the team has no plans to move Fernando Tatis Jr. to center field.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Feb 13th
 
Notes 
 Fernando Tatis Jr. is one of the more polarizing players for draft season. When we revisit this article next year, we'll either be looking at Tatis as a top-five pick or as a source of debate over how far he should fall after his disappointing second year in the bigs. We know the differential with his expected stats, but do we talk about his plate discipline enough? He had a 29.6 K% last year, with only an 8 BB%. The walk rate is passable, but if Tatis keeps striking out at that rate, it's going to hurt his overall game. Suddenly, you're looking at a guy with 180 strikeouts who's hitting .260. The power/speed combo that he brings is nice, but you can get similar production later in the draft waiting on someone like Bo Bichette, who has a much safer floor for batting average.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Bold prediction time: Mondesi won't be a thing in 2021. Mondesi showed last year that he wasn't worth grabbing in the first three to four rounds of your draft, yet here we are again, with Mondesi going off the board 40th overall per FantasyPros' ADP. He's not a complete zero at power, but you're drafting him for speed only, essentially. If you look at his xwOBA (6th percentile), xSLG (16th percentile), and xBA (14th percentile) and pair that with his 29.8 K% and 4.3 BB% (both bottom 6 percent of baseball), what's to like? Oh, that's not to mention that he's recovering from offseason shoulder surgery. Unless you're in a big tournament-style league where you need to look for the splash play, avoid Mondesi this year and find your steals elsewhere where you don't have to make quite the investment.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Tatis was sensational in his half of season with 22 homers, 16 steals and a .317 batting average but every underlying metric available to us screams significant regression. He is a strong source of power and speed but expect the BA to plummet.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Mondesi had a ridiculous 43 steals last year but he did it in just 416 at-bats. If he can stay on the field for a full season, 60 is not only a possibility, but likely. Add in 15 homers and we are talking about a potential first round value, albeit one with great risk.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 This is high for such a young player with so little track record, but dual-threat HR/SB guys are running out at this stage in drafts. 20/20/.280 is a lock, 25/25/310 is possible and he qualifies at SS. I can't justify drafting a Non-Base stealing bat ahead of Tatis when he should provide 15-20 bases falling out of bed even if he was to miss 20 or so games due to injury. The floor is too high.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData