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Who Should I Draft?

Fernando Tatis Jr. or Anthony Rendon (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Anthony Rendon
3B - LAA
Anthony Rendon
Expert
Recommendation
51%
Recommended by
23 of 45 experts
49%
Recommended by
22 of 45 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 15# 18
Best Rank# 6# 7
Worst Rank# 31# 37
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 19# 20
Best Rank# 14# 17
Worst Rank# 33# 21
   
Projections 
   
Runs3233
Home Runs1111
RBI2736
Stolen Bases92
Batting Average.286.305
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 14
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 17
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 21# 32
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 6# 18
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 10# 13
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 8# 36
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 14# 17
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 37
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 15# 16
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 10# 16
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 14# 16
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 11# 27
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 14# 20
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 16# 20
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 14# 24
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 10# 16
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 15# 24
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 14# 19
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 14
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 13# 15
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 10# 15
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 20# 30
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 11# 37
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 14# 7
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 15# 14
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 15
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 16# 9
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 16# 15
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 16# 14
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 17# 14
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 17# 14
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 17# 15
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 16
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 20# 14
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 20# 15
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 20# 18
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 20# 16
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 21# 15
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 21# 15
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 17
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 21# 20
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 24# 17
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 24# 14
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 27# 22
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 31# 16
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Anthony Rendon
3B - LAA
Anthony Rendon
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats334545
   
Runs61117
   
Hits106174
   
Singles6593
   
Doubles1344
   
Triples63
   
Home Runs2234
   
RBI53126
   
Stolen Bases165
   
Caught Stealing61
   
Walks3080
   
Strikeouts11086
   
Batting Average.317.319
   
On Base Pct.379.412
   
Slugging Pct.590.598
   
On-base Plus Slugging.9691.010
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Anthony Rendon
3B - LAA
Anthony Rendon
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats204196
   
Runs3233
   
Hits5860
   
Singles3634
   
Doubles914
   
Triples31
   
Home Runs1111
   
RBI2736
   
Stolen Bases92
   
Caught Stealing31
   
Walks1927
   
Strikeouts6233
   
Batting Average.286.305
   
On Base Pct.346.388
   
Slugging Pct.513.542
   
On-base Plus Slugging.859.930
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Anthony Rendon
3B - LAA
Anthony Rendon
News 
 Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) is starting in Monday's Cactus League matchup against the Dodgers, leading off and playing shortstop.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Mar 9th
 
 Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) returned to action at Padres camp on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Mar 7th
 
 Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) returned to the Padres' spring training facility Thursday, but will need a few more days to recover before rejoining the team's lineup in game action.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Mar 5th
 
 Padres GM A.J. Preller says the team has no plans to move Fernando Tatis Jr. to center field.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Feb 13th
 
Notes 
 Fernando Tatis Jr. is one of the more polarizing players for draft season. When we revisit this article next year, we'll either be looking at Tatis as a top-five pick or as a source of debate over how far he should fall after his disappointing second year in the bigs. We know the differential with his expected stats, but do we talk about his plate discipline enough? He had a 29.6 K% last year, with only an 8 BB%. The walk rate is passable, but if Tatis keeps striking out at that rate, it's going to hurt his overall game. Suddenly, you're looking at a guy with 180 strikeouts who's hitting .260. The power/speed combo that he brings is nice, but you can get similar production later in the draft waiting on someone like Bo Bichette, who has a much safer floor for batting average.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
For years, Rendon was the poster boy for the most underrated player in fantasy. Coming off his career year, he's underrated no more. Now the price that you have to pay for him leaves very little room for a net gain, and in order for him to return a positive ROI, you need him to replicate his 2019 numbers, which were, by the way, career highs across the board, aside from stolen bases. He's also taking an L with the switch in ballparks in every major ballpark factor. The position is deep, and while Rendon is safe here, you're banking on a lot in order to get a solid return from your second-round pick.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Tatis was sensational in his half of season with 22 homers, 16 steals and a .317 batting average but every underlying metric available to us screams significant regression. He is a strong source of power and speed but expect the BA to plummet.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Rendon finally put it all together last year, setting career-highs in batting average (.319), home runs (34), runs scored (117), and RBI (126). He'll now move to Anaheim where he'll see a downgrade in park, but an upgrade in lineup by the sheer presence of Mike Trout. In the end, Rendon's move is a neutral one, and to the extent you trust him to stay healthy again, he's a rock-solid second round pick.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 This is high for such a young player with so little track record, but dual-threat HR/SB guys are running out at this stage in drafts. 20/20/.280 is a lock, 25/25/310 is possible and he qualifies at SS. I can't justify drafting a Non-Base stealing bat ahead of Tatis when he should provide 15-20 bases falling out of bed even if he was to miss 20 or so games due to injury. The floor is too high.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
While Rendon may be the best overall third basemen in real life, walks and defense don't translate to fantasy. Rather, we are looking at a player without speed but one whose 4-category bat makes him a strong second round pick for the 2020 season.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
  Great baseball player, contributes BA, which is rare these days, but no steals and one big career home run season? I am not buying in on 2020.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData