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Who Should I Draft?

Fernando Tatis Jr. or Anthony Rendon (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Anthony Rendon
3B - LAA
Anthony Rendon
Expert
Recommendation
62%
Recommended by
32 of 52 experts
38%
Recommended by
20 of 52 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 14# 18
Best Rank# 6# 7
Worst Rank# 26# 80
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 19# 20
Best Rank# 14# 19
Worst Rank# 34# 24
   
Projections 
   
Runs3435
Home Runs1011
RBI2838
Stolen Bases82
Batting Average.281.297
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 20
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 40
   
Site Rankings
Sports Illustrated
# 21# 32
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 6# 17
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 10# 13
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 10# 13
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 8# 36
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 14# 17
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 21# 44
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 32
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 16# 20
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 19# 28
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 15# 16
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 26# 80
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 10# 16
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 15# 28
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 8# 17
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 12# 21
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 15# 22
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 14# 24
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 10# 16
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 16# 41
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 12# 29
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 14
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 15# 19
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 17# 23
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 17# 29
   
M. Starks Powell
New Life Fantasy
# 18# 40
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 12# 23
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 10# 15
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 20# 30
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 13# 38
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 14# 7
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 15# 14
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 15# 12
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 15
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 16# 9
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 16# 14
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 16# 15
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 16# 14
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 16# 15
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 17# 16
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 17# 14
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 18# 17
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 20# 14
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 20# 13
   
George Kurtz
SportsGrid
# 20# 15
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 20# 16
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 20# 16
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 17
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 24# 21
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 24# 15
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Anthony Rendon
3B - LAA
Anthony Rendon
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats334545
   
Runs61117
   
Hits106174
   
Singles6593
   
Doubles1344
   
Triples63
   
Home Runs2234
   
RBI53126
   
Stolen Bases165
   
Caught Stealing61
   
Walks3080
   
Strikeouts11086
   
Batting Average.317.319
   
On Base Pct.379.412
   
Slugging Pct.590.598
   
On-base Plus Slugging.9691.010
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Anthony Rendon
3B - LAA
Anthony Rendon
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats203197
   
Runs3435
   
Hits5759
   
Singles3533
   
Doubles914
   
Triples31
   
Home Runs1011
   
RBI2838
   
Stolen Bases82
   
Caught Stealing31
   
Walks1926
   
Strikeouts6233
   
Batting Average.281.297
   
On Base Pct.342.380
   
Slugging Pct.506.534
   
On-base Plus Slugging.848.914
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Anthony Rendon
3B - LAA
Anthony Rendon
News 
 Padres GM AJ Preller says "it sounds like there's interest on both sides" regarding a Fernando Tatis Jr. contract extension.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Oct 15th
Anthony Rendon did not play Saturday or during Sunday's season finale against the Dodgers.
Lucas Spence
Mon, Sep 28th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-for-3 with a double and a walk in the Padres 12-3 loss to the Dodgers in Game 3 of the NLDS.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Oct 9th
Anthony Rendon went 1-for-3 with two RBI, a double, and two walks in a 6-2 win over the Rangers on Friday night.
Lucas Spence
Sat, Sep 19th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-for-4 with a single, a stolen base, and three stikeouts as the Padres fell to the Dodgers 5-1 in Game 1 of the NLDS on Tuesday.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, Oct 7th
Anthony Rendon snapped out of his recent mini-slump in style on Thursday when he drilled a two-run, first inning home run to center field off of Arizona starter Alex Young. Rendon later added a double and finished the night 2-for-4 with one run and 2 RBI.
Lucas Spence
Fri, Sep 18th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-for-2 with a double, a run scored, and two walks in the Padres Game 3 Wild Card win over the Cardinals on Friday.
Jon Mathisen
Sat, Oct 3rd
Angels third baseman Anthony Rendon went 0-for-5 on Wednesday night while chipping in an RBI groundout in a 9-6 loss to Arizona.
Lucas Spence
Thu, Sep 17th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. was in full effect on Thursday when he went 3-for-5 with two home runs and five RBI as the Padres evened up the series with the Cardinals to force a Game 3 on Friday.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Oct 2nd
Angels star third baseman Anthony Rendon went 1-for-2 with a single, two walks, and an RBI in Wednesday's 7-3 loss to the Rangers.
Lucas Spence
Thu, Sep 10th
Notes 
 Fernando Tatis Jr. is one of the more polarizing players for draft season. When we revisit this article next year, we'll either be looking at Tatis as a top-five pick or as a source of debate over how far he should fall after his disappointing second year in the bigs. We know the differential with his expected stats, but do we talk about his plate discipline enough? He had a 29.6 K% last year, with only an 8 BB%. The walk rate is passable, but if Tatis keeps striking out at that rate, it's going to hurt his overall game. Suddenly, you're looking at a guy with 180 strikeouts who's hitting .260. The power/speed combo that he brings is nice, but you can get similar production later in the draft waiting on someone like Bo Bichette, who has a much safer floor for batting average.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
For years, Rendon was the poster boy for the most underrated player in fantasy. Coming off his career year, he's underrated no more. Now the price that you have to pay for him leaves very little room for a net gain, and in order for him to return a positive ROI, you need him to replicate his 2019 numbers, which were, by the way, career highs across the board, aside from stolen bases. He's also taking an L with the switch in ballparks in every major ballpark factor. The position is deep, and while Rendon is safe here, you're banking on a lot in order to get a solid return from your second-round pick.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 This is high for such a young player with so little track record, but dual-threat HR/SB guys are running out at this stage in drafts. 20/20/.280 is a lock, 25/25/310 is possible and he qualifies at SS. I can't justify drafting a Non-Base stealing bat ahead of Tatis when he should provide 15-20 bases falling out of bed even if he was to miss 20 or so games due to injury. The floor is too high.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
Rendon finally put it all together last year, setting career-highs in batting average (.319), home runs (34), runs scored (117), and RBI (126). He'll now move to Anaheim where he'll see a downgrade in park, but an upgrade in lineup by the sheer presence of Mike Trout. In the end, Rendon's move is a neutral one, and to the extent you trust him to stay healthy again, he's a rock-solid second round pick.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 .410 BABIP is unsustainable but Tatis went 22/16 in 84 games as a rookie. Immense upside
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
Great baseball player, contributes BA, which is rare these days, but no steals and one big career home run season? I am not buying in on 2020.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
  Come for the safe floor and hope he hits his ceiling batting behind Mike Trout
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros