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Who Should I Draft?

Fernando Tatis Jr. or Bryce Harper (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Bryce Harper
RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
Expert
Recommendation
62%
Recommended by
28 of 45 experts
38%
Recommended by
17 of 45 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 15# 17
Best Rank# 6# 10
Worst Rank# 31# 36
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 18# 21
Best Rank# 14# 18
Worst Rank# 32# 26
   
Projections 
   
Runs3436
Home Runs1113
RBI2839
Stolen Bases84
Batting Average.284.267
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 25
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 21# 24
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 19
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 16# 18
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 6# 22
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 10# 15
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 8# 18
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 14# 16
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 16
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 17# 18
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 15# 18
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 17# 22
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 10# 18
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 13# 16
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 15# 23
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 11# 36
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 16# 18
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 16# 23
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 14# 19
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 15# 18
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 14# 16
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 10# 20
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 14# 16
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 14# 17
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 20
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 13# 17
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 17# 18
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 10# 20
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 11# 10
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 14# 12
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 15
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 17# 13
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 17# 15
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 19# 13
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 20# 15
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 20# 16
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 20# 18
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 20# 19
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 20# 14
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 16
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 21# 16
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 24# 20
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 24# 19
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 27# 17
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 31# 14
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Bryce Harper
RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats334573
   
Runs6198
   
Hits106149
   
Singles6577
   
Doubles1336
   
Triples61
   
Home Runs2235
   
RBI53114
   
Stolen Bases1615
   
Caught Stealing63
   
Walks3099
   
Strikeouts110178
   
Batting Average.317.260
   
On Base Pct.379.372
   
Slugging Pct.590.510
   
On-base Plus Slugging.969.882
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Bryce Harper
RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats204193
   
Runs3436
   
Hits5852
   
Singles3526
   
Doubles911
   
Triples30
   
Home Runs1113
   
RBI2839
   
Stolen Bases84
   
Caught Stealing31
   
Walks1938
   
Strikeouts6361
   
Batting Average.284.267
   
On Base Pct.344.386
   
Slugging Pct.507.523
   
On-base Plus Slugging.852.910
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Bryce Harper
RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
News 
 Fernando Tatis Jr. missed a second day of summer camp due to a headache. He has tested negative for the Coronavirus.
Brad Camara
Fri, Jul 10th
Bryce Harper (toe) suffered a bruised left big toe after getting hit by a pitch on Tuesday and will return to the field on Friday.
Brad Camara
Tue, Mar 10th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) is starting in Monday's Cactus League matchup against the Dodgers, leading off and playing shortstop.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Mar 9th
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper was removed from Tuesday's game against the Minnesota Twins after being hit by a pitch in the right foot.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Tue, Mar 10th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) returned to action at Padres camp on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Mar 7th
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-3 with a double, two runs scored, a walk, an RBI, and two stolen bases in Saturday's win over the Red Sox. The steals were his second and third of the Spring.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sun, Mar 8th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) returned to the Padres' spring training facility Thursday, but will need a few more days to recover before rejoining the team's lineup in game action.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Mar 5th
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-2 with a two-run home run and a walk in Thursday's win over the Toronto Blue Jays. The homer was his third of the Spring.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Mar 5th
 Padres GM A.J. Preller says the team has no plans to move Fernando Tatis Jr. to center field.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Feb 13th
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 2-for-3 with two home runs and four RBI in Wednesday's win over the Pittsburgh Pirates. The home runs were his first two of the Spring.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Mar 4th
Notes 
 Fernando Tatis Jr. is one of the more polarizing players for draft season. When we revisit this article next year, we'll either be looking at Tatis as a top-five pick or as a source of debate over how far he should fall after his disappointing second year in the bigs. We know the differential with his expected stats, but do we talk about his plate discipline enough? He had a 29.6 K% last year, with only an 8 BB%. The walk rate is passable, but if Tatis keeps striking out at that rate, it's going to hurt his overall game. Suddenly, you're looking at a guy with 180 strikeouts who's hitting .260. The power/speed combo that he brings is nice, but you can get similar production later in the draft waiting on someone like Bo Bichette, who has a much safer floor for batting average.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
By this point, we all know the answer to the Mike Trout vs. Harper discussion, but that doesn't mean that Harper still isn't one hell of a player. Was he pressing early in Philadelphia with the pressure of a new contract in a new city? I think he was, as his second-half numbers show quite the turnaround, especially with his strikeout rate. His xBA and xwOBA also indicate that Harper underperformed last season. It should surprise no one if Harper were to contend for an MVP this season. He should be bumped up higher in OBP leagues.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Tatis was sensational in his half of season with 22 homers, 16 steals and a .317 batting average but every underlying metric available to us screams significant regression. He is a strong source of power and speed but expect the BA to plummet.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Unlike Aaron Judge, who is also going at the end of the second round, Harper has only missed 8 games in the last two seasons. He might not have as much power or the reliable batting average, but there is something to be said for health and the extra 10 steals.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 This is high for such a young player with so little track record, but dual-threat HR/SB guys are running out at this stage in drafts. 20/20/.280 is a lock, 25/25/310 is possible and he qualifies at SS. I can't justify drafting a Non-Base stealing bat ahead of Tatis when he should provide 15-20 bases falling out of bed even if he was to miss 20 or so games due to injury. The floor is too high.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
Harper is almost a lock for 30 home runs and double-digit steals. He hasn't been Mike Trout's equal, as many expected after the High School SI cover, but that doesn't mean he isn't an elite Fantasy player. His ADP doesn't reflect how high his floor is or the potential for a 40/20 season. 2020 is a big year for Harper in the Philly Band Box.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
  Not a big fan of Harper (He is overrated), but he does have some big time potential going into his second year in Philly. If he gets his average up to 280+ he should be a high end five category contributor.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy