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Who Should I Draft?

Fernando Tatis Jr. or Bryce Harper (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Bryce Harper
RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
Expert
Recommendation
58%
Recommended by
30 of 52 experts
42%
Recommended by
22 of 52 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 14# 16
Best Rank# 6# 3
Worst Rank# 26# 24
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 19# 22
Best Rank# 14# 15
Worst Rank# 34# 25
   
Projections 
   
Runs3436
Home Runs1013
RBI2838
Stolen Bases84
Batting Average.281.267
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 23
   
Site Rankings
Sports Illustrated
# 21# 24
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 19
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 16# 18
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 6# 22
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 10# 16
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 10# 15
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 8# 18
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 14# 16
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 18
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 16# 17
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 15# 18
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 17# 22
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 10# 18
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 15# 16
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 15# 23
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 8# 14
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 12# 13
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 16# 18
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 16# 23
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 15# 18
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 14# 16
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 10# 20
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 12# 17
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 20
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 17# 18
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 12# 13
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 17# 18
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 16# 17
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 10# 20
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 13# 10
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 14# 12
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 15# 12
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 15# 14
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 16# 15
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 15
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 16# 15
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 17# 16
   
M. Starks Powell
New Life Fantasy
# 18# 12
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 18# 9
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 19# 15
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 20# 15
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 20# 14
   
George Kurtz
SportsGrid
# 20# 18
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 20# 15
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 20# 19
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 20# 14
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 16
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 21# 3
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 24# 14
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 24# 19
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 26# 17
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Bryce Harper
RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats334573
   
Runs6198
   
Hits106149
   
Singles6577
   
Doubles1336
   
Triples61
   
Home Runs2235
   
RBI53114
   
Stolen Bases1615
   
Caught Stealing63
   
Walks3099
   
Strikeouts110178
   
Batting Average.317.260
   
On Base Pct.379.372
   
Slugging Pct.590.510
   
On-base Plus Slugging.969.882
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Bryce Harper
RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats203194
   
Runs3436
   
Hits5752
   
Singles3527
   
Doubles911
   
Triples30
   
Home Runs1013
   
RBI2838
   
Stolen Bases84
   
Caught Stealing31
   
Walks1938
   
Strikeouts6260
   
Batting Average.281.267
   
On Base Pct.342.386
   
Slugging Pct.506.524
   
On-base Plus Slugging.848.910
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Bryce Harper
RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
News 
 Padres GM AJ Preller says "it sounds like there's interest on both sides" regarding a Fernando Tatis Jr. contract extension.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Oct 15th
Phillies manager Joe Girardi confirmed Wednesday that Bryce Harper has been dealing with a back injury "off and on" for 4-5 weeks.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 23rd
 Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-for-3 with a double and a walk in the Padres 12-3 loss to the Dodgers in Game 3 of the NLDS.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Oct 9th
Bryce Harper (back) is starting Monday against the Nationals.
Brad Camara
Mon, Sep 21st
 Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-for-4 with a single, a stolen base, and three stikeouts as the Padres fell to the Dodgers 5-1 in Game 1 of the NLDS on Tuesday.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, Oct 7th
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper left Sunday's loss to the Toronto Blue Jays with lower back stiffness, according to The Athletic's Meghan Montemurro.
Mike Maher
Sun, Sep 20th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-for-2 with a double, a run scored, and two walks in the Padres Game 3 Wild Card win over the Cardinals on Friday.
Jon Mathisen
Sat, Oct 3rd
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 4-for-6 with a home run, two doubles, three runs scored, four RBI, and two walks across both games of Friday's doubleheader against the Toronto Blue Jays.
Mike Maher
Sat, Sep 19th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. was in full effect on Thursday when he went 3-for-5 with two home runs and five RBI as the Padres evened up the series with the Cardinals to force a Game 3 on Friday.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Oct 2nd
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 2-for-3 with two home runs and two walks in Thursday's loss to the New York Mets. The two homers give him 10 on the season.
Mike Maher
Fri, Sep 18th
Notes 
 Fernando Tatis Jr. is one of the more polarizing players for draft season. When we revisit this article next year, we'll either be looking at Tatis as a top-five pick or as a source of debate over how far he should fall after his disappointing second year in the bigs. We know the differential with his expected stats, but do we talk about his plate discipline enough? He had a 29.6 K% last year, with only an 8 BB%. The walk rate is passable, but if Tatis keeps striking out at that rate, it's going to hurt his overall game. Suddenly, you're looking at a guy with 180 strikeouts who's hitting .260. The power/speed combo that he brings is nice, but you can get similar production later in the draft waiting on someone like Bo Bichette, who has a much safer floor for batting average.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Harper is a lock for 30 home runs and double-digit steals. He hasn't been Mike Trout's equal, as many expected after the High School SI cover, but that doesn't mean he isn't an elite Fantasy player. His ADP doesn't reflect how high his floor is or the potential for a 40/20 season. 2020 is a big year for Harper in the Philly Band Box.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
 This is high for such a young player with so little track record, but dual-threat HR/SB guys are running out at this stage in drafts. 20/20/.280 is a lock, 25/25/310 is possible and he qualifies at SS. I can't justify drafting a Non-Base stealing bat ahead of Tatis when he should provide 15-20 bases falling out of bed even if he was to miss 20 or so games due to injury. The floor is too high.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
By this point, we all know the answer to the Mike Trout vs. Harper discussion, but that doesn't mean that Harper still isn't one hell of a player. Was he pressing early in Philadelphia with the pressure of a new contract in a new city? I think he was, as his second-half numbers show quite the turnaround, especially with his strikeout rate. His xBA and xwOBA also indicate that Harper underperformed last season. It should surprise no one if Harper were to contend for an MVP this season. He should be bumped up higher in OBP leagues.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 .410 BABIP is unsustainable but Tatis went 22/16 in 84 games as a rookie. Immense upside
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
Not a big fan of Harper (He is overrated), but he does have some big time potential going into his second year in Philly. If he gets his average up to 280+ he should be a high end five category contributor.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
  Lots of encouraging Statcast data suggesting he has room for growth in year two of Phillies tenure
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros