Skip to main content

Who Should I Draft?

Fernando Tatis Jr. or Gerrit Cole (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Gerrit Cole
SP - NYY
Gerrit Cole
Expert
Recommendation
96%
Recommended by
53 of 55 experts
4%
Recommended by
2 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 3# 8
Best Rank# 1# 4
Worst Rank# 7# 24
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 2# 7
Best Rank# 2# 5
Worst Rank# 4# 8
   
Projections 
   
Runs108
Home Runs3630
RBI97
Stolen Bases25
Batting Avg.286
Strikeouts165262
Wins16
Saves0
ERA3.18
WHIP1.03
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL10-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 2# 9
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 2# 6
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 4# 8
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 4# 12
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 2# 17
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 2# 12
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 2# 12
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 2# 6
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 3# 8
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 3# 12
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 2# 4
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 3# 11
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 4# 11
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 4# 9
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 3# 6
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 2# 9
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 5# 14
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 3# 8
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 2# 7
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 2# 8
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 3# 8
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 2# 9
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 3# 8
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 4# 6
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 6# 11
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 3# 12
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 4# 8
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 3# 6
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 2# 7
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 2# 9
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 3# 12
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 3# 7
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 4# 17
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 4# 11
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 3# 8
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 3# 9
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 2# 8
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 3# 10
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 5# 12
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 1# 9
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 5# 8
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 5# 13
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 5# 9
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 1# 8
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 5# 7
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 5# 24
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 2# 7
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 3# 8
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 2# 7
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 5# 12
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 3# 9
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 4# 8
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 3# 8
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 6# 4
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 7# 5
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Gerrit Cole
SP - NYY
Gerrit Cole
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs50
   
Home Runs1714
   
RBI45
   
Stolen Bases11
   
Batting Avg.277
   
Strikeouts6194
   
Wins7
   
Saves0
   
ERA2.84
   
WHIP0.96
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Gerrit Cole
SP - NYY
Gerrit Cole
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs108
   
Home Runs3630
   
RBI97
   
Stolen Bases25
   
Batting Avg.286
   
Strikeouts165262
   
Wins16
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.18
   
WHIP1.03
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Gerrit Cole
SP - NYY
Gerrit Cole
News 
 Padres SS Fernando Tatis Jr. has tested positive for COVID-19.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, May 11th
Gerrit Cole did not allow a run giving up four hits and struck out 12 batters over eight dominant innings as the Yankees beat the Rays 1-0 on Wednesday.
John Aubin
Thu, May 13th
 Fernando Tatis Jr., Jurickson Profar, and Jorge Mateo have been placed on the IL due to health and safety protocols, the Padres announced Tuesday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Tue, May 11th
Gerrit Cole allowed two earned runs on five hits and no walks while striking out four across seven innings Thursday against the Astros. He did not factor into the decision.
John Aubin
Fri, May 7th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. went 2-5 with a single, a home run, two RBI, and two strikeouts in the Padres' win over the Giants on Sunday.
Matt Flipi
Mon, May 10th
Gerrit Cole allowed four hits and no walks while striking out 12 in six scoreless innings to earn the win against the Tigers on Friday.
John Aubin
Sat, May 1st
 Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-3 with a single and a walk in the Padres' win over the Pirates on Wednesday.
Matt Flipi
Thu, May 6th
Gerrit Cole picked up the win in Saturday's 2-1 victory over Cleveland, allowing one run on three hits over seven innings. He struck out 11 without walking a batter.
John Aubin
Sun, Apr 25th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-3 with a home run, a walk, an RBI, a run scored, and a strikeout in the Padres' loss to the Giants on Sunday.
Matt Flipi
Mon, May 3rd
Gerrit Cole gave up three runs (two earned) on five hits with 10 strikeouts and no walks over 6 1/3 innings on Sunday in a loss to the Rays.
John Aubin
Sun, Apr 18th
Notes 
 Tatis Jr. has a bit of a shoulder issue, but nothing suggests he'll need to miss any time. He had an outstanding rookie year, but because he had outperformed his Statcast data so significantly, many fantasy managers were worried that his numbers would regress in 2020. Although his batting average did come down (to a still respectable .277), he not only staved off regression, but he improved significantly in most areas. He cut his strikeout rate by 6%, upped his walk rate by 2.5%, and led the league in average exit velocity, hard-hit rate, and barrel percentage. The fact that he's likely to throw in 25-30 steals over the course of a full season is just the cherry on top of elite fantasy production. He's a top-five overall pick with little or no downside and massive upside even off his incredible 2020 numbers, so long a there are no further developments with his shoulder.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Cole was pretty much as advertised in his first season with the Yankees. His ERA rose a tad, as did his home run rate as expected, and his strikeout rate fell a bit, though it remained at an absurdly high level. And, for the most part, all of his expected metrics fell off a tad from his 2019 season. But Cole's numbers from that season were so dominating that he could withstand plenty of regression and still be one of the best pitchers in fantasy. As such, he'll head into 2021 close to the way he came into the 2020 season: a dominant, high-strikeout, low-walk starter who will throw plenty of innings and who is more likely to finish as the top overall fantasy pitcher than he is to finish outside the top-10. It's a matter of personal preference between Cole and Jacob deGrom as the first pitcher off the board, but neither should fall outside the top-10 overall picks on draft day.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Tatis Jr. set the world on fire during July and August. September wasn't as pretty, however, as the electrifying shortstop hit just 208/.311/.403 in 90 plate appearances. This still generated a 96 wRC+, which means that even at his worst Tatis was only 4% worse than league average. He still hit four homers and stole four bases. Also, it was only one month. Tatis doesn't have a track record long enough for us to feel confident in him as a slump-proof bat, but only Ronald Acuña rivals his 40/40 upside.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros