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Who Should I Draft?

Fernando Tatis Jr. or Gerrit Cole (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
CF,RF,SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Gerrit Cole
SP - NYY
Gerrit Cole
Expert
Recommendation
96%
Recommended by
54 of 56 experts
4%
Recommended by
2 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 3# 8
Best Rank# 1# 4
Worst Rank# 7# 24
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 2# 7
Best Rank# 2# 5
Worst Rank# 4# 8
   
Projections 
   
Runs108
Home Runs3630
RBI97
Stolen Bases25
Batting Avg.286
Strikeouts165262
Wins16
Saves0
ERA3.18
WHIP1.03
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 2# 9
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 2# 6
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 4# 8
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 4# 12
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 2# 17
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 2# 12
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 2# 12
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 2# 6
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 3# 8
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 3# 12
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 2# 4
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 3# 11
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 4# 11
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 4# 9
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 3# 6
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 2# 9
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 5# 14
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 3# 8
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 2# 7
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 2# 8
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 3# 8
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 2# 9
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 3# 8
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 4# 6
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 6# 11
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 3# 12
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 4# 8
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 3# 6
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 2# 7
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 2# 9
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 3# 12
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 3# 7
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 4# 17
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 4# 11
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 3# 8
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 4# 8
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 3# 9
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 2# 8
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 3# 10
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 5# 12
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 1# 9
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 5# 8
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 5# 13
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 5# 9
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 1# 8
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 5# 7
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 5# 24
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 2# 7
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 3# 8
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 2# 7
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 5# 12
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 3# 9
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 4# 8
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 3# 8
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 6# 4
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 7# 5
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
CF,RF,SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Gerrit Cole
SP - NYY
Gerrit Cole
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs50
   
Home Runs1714
   
RBI45
   
Stolen Bases11
   
Batting Avg.277
   
Strikeouts6194
   
Wins7
   
Saves0
   
ERA2.84
   
WHIP0.96
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
CF,RF,SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Gerrit Cole
SP - NYY
Gerrit Cole
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs108
   
Home Runs3630
   
RBI97
   
Stolen Bases25
   
Batting Avg.286
   
Strikeouts165262
   
Wins16
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.18
   
WHIP1.03
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
CF,RF,SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Gerrit Cole
SP - NYY
Gerrit Cole
News 
 Padres SS/OF Fernando Tatis Jr. won't undergo surgery on his left shoulder this offseason.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Oct 18th
Yankees RHP Gerrit Cole was tagged for three earned runs in just two innings of work on Tuesday against the Red Sox.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Oct 6th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. went 2-for-4 on the day, hitting his 30th double of the year in the process. He also struck out once.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sat, Oct 2nd
Gerrit Cole will get the start for the Yankees when they face off against the Boston Red Sox in the AL Wildcard game at Fenway Park on Tuesday.
Chris Schommer
Sun, Oct 3rd
 Fernando Tatis Jr. went 0-for-4 on Tuesday, striking out three times and failing to reach base.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Wed, Sep 29th
Gerrit Cole allowed five runs on nine hits, did not walk a batter and struck out six over six innings Wednesday in a no-decision versus the Blue Jays.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 30th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. went 0-for-3 on Thursday, striking out once. He did salvage some of his fantasy day with two drawn walks and a run scored though.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Fri, Sep 24th
Gerrit Cole surrendered three runs on five hits with three walks and six strikeouts in six innings Friday in a victory over the Red Sox.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 25th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. went 2-for-5 on Wednesday, hitting a single and a solo home run in the seventh inning. He'd also draw a walk and strike out once.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Thu, Sep 23rd
Gerrit Cole allowed one earned run on four hits and three walks while striking out seven over five innings to earn the win Tuesday against the Orioles.
John Aubin
Wed, Sep 15th
Notes 
 Tatis Jr. has a bit of a shoulder issue, but nothing suggests he'll need to miss any time. He had an outstanding rookie year, but because he had outperformed his Statcast data so significantly, many fantasy managers were worried that his numbers would regress in 2020. Although his batting average did come down (to a still respectable .277), he not only staved off regression, but he improved significantly in most areas. He cut his strikeout rate by 6%, upped his walk rate by 2.5%, and led the league in average exit velocity, hard-hit rate, and barrel percentage. The fact that he's likely to throw in 25-30 steals over the course of a full season is just the cherry on top of elite fantasy production. He's a top-five overall pick with little or no downside and massive upside even off his incredible 2020 numbers, so long a there are no further developments with his shoulder.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Cole was pretty much as advertised in his first season with the Yankees. His ERA rose a tad, as did his home run rate as expected, and his strikeout rate fell a bit, though it remained at an absurdly high level. And, for the most part, all of his expected metrics fell off a tad from his 2019 season. But Cole's numbers from that season were so dominating that he could withstand plenty of regression and still be one of the best pitchers in fantasy. As such, he'll head into 2021 close to the way he came into the 2020 season: a dominant, high-strikeout, low-walk starter who will throw plenty of innings and who is more likely to finish as the top overall fantasy pitcher than he is to finish outside the top-10. It's a matter of personal preference between Cole and Jacob deGrom as the first pitcher off the board, but neither should fall outside the top-10 overall picks on draft day.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Tatis Jr. set the world on fire during July and August. September wasn't as pretty, however, as the electrifying shortstop hit just 208/.311/.403 in 90 plate appearances. This still generated a 96 wRC+, which means that even at his worst Tatis was only 4% worse than league average. He still hit four homers and stole four bases. Also, it was only one month. Tatis doesn't have a track record long enough for us to feel confident in him as a slump-proof bat, but only Ronald Acuña rivals his 40/40 upside.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros