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Who Should I Draft?

Fernando Tatis Jr. or Jacob deGrom (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Jacob deGrom
SP - NYM
Jacob deGrom
Expert
Recommendation
87%
Recommended by
48 of 55 experts
13%
Recommended by
7 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 3# 6
Best Rank# 1# 1
Worst Rank# 7# 22
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 2# 6
Best Rank# 2# 5
Worst Rank# 4# 7
   
Projections 
   
Runs108
Home Runs3621
RBI97
Stolen Bases25
Batting Avg.286
Strikeouts165251
Wins14
Saves0
ERA2.77
WHIP1.00
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL10IL10
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 2# 7
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 4# 6
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 4# 10
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 2# 22
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 2# 8
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 2# 7
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 2# 3
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 3# 6
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 3# 5
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 3# 10
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 4# 7
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 4# 7
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 3# 5
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 2# 6
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 5# 10
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 3# 6
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 2# 3
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 2# 6
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 3# 5
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 2# 7
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 3# 6
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 4# 5
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 6# 9
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 3# 6
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 4# 6
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 3# 5
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 2# 6
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 2# 8
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 3# 6
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 3# 6
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 4# 9
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 4# 6
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 3# 7
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 3# 7
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 2# 6
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 3# 8
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 1# 6
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 5# 6
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 5# 6
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 1# 6
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 5# 16
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 2# 6
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 3# 6
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 2# 8
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 5# 6
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 3# 8
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 4# 6
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 3# 6
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 2# 1
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 2# 1
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 5# 3
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 5# 1
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 5# 4
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 6# 1
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 7# 3
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Jacob deGrom
SP - NYM
Jacob deGrom
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs50
   
Home Runs177
   
RBI45
   
Stolen Bases11
   
Batting Avg.277
   
Strikeouts61104
   
Wins4
   
Saves0
   
ERA2.38
   
WHIP0.96
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Jacob deGrom
SP - NYM
Jacob deGrom
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs108
   
Home Runs3621
   
RBI97
   
Stolen Bases25
   
Batting Avg.286
   
Strikeouts165251
   
Wins14
   
Saves0
   
ERA2.77
   
WHIP1.00
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Jacob deGrom
SP - NYM
Jacob deGrom
News 
 Padres SS Fernando Tatis Jr. has tested positive for COVID-19.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, May 11th
Mets pitcher Jacob deGrom is working his way back from his injury and will begin with a bullpen session on Tuesday. He's eligible to come off the IL this upcoming Thursday.
Ethan Biddle
Sun, May 16th
 Fernando Tatis Jr., Jurickson Profar, and Jorge Mateo have been placed on the IL due to health and safety protocols, the Padres announced Tuesday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Tue, May 11th
The Mets plan to place ace Jacob deGrom (side) on the 10-day injured list Tuesday with right side tightness.
Brad Camara
Mon, May 10th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. went 2-5 with a single, a home run, two RBI, and two strikeouts in the Padres' win over the Giants on Sunday.
Matt Flipi
Mon, May 10th
Jacob deGrom allowed one run on one hit, three walks with six strikeouts in five innings.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Mon, May 10th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-3 with a single and a walk in the Padres' win over the Pirates on Wednesday.
Matt Flipi
Thu, May 6th
MLB Network's Jon Morosi reports the Mets are optimistic that ace right-hander Jacob deGrom (side) will avoid the IL.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, May 10th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-3 with a home run, a walk, an RBI, a run scored, and a strikeout in the Padres' loss to the Giants on Sunday.
Matt Flipi
Mon, May 3rd
Mets manager Luis Rojas provided an update on Jacob deGrom and noted he will undergo an MRI on the right side of his lower back.
Corbin Young
Sun, May 9th
Notes 
 Tatis Jr. has a bit of a shoulder issue, but nothing suggests he'll need to miss any time. He had an outstanding rookie year, but because he had outperformed his Statcast data so significantly, many fantasy managers were worried that his numbers would regress in 2020. Although his batting average did come down (to a still respectable .277), he not only staved off regression, but he improved significantly in most areas. He cut his strikeout rate by 6%, upped his walk rate by 2.5%, and led the league in average exit velocity, hard-hit rate, and barrel percentage. The fact that he's likely to throw in 25-30 steals over the course of a full season is just the cherry on top of elite fantasy production. He's a top-five overall pick with little or no downside and massive upside even off his incredible 2020 numbers, so long a there are no further developments with his shoulder.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
deGrom barely missed out on winning his third straight Cy Young Award last year, but it was yet another dominant season. For the third straight year, he came in with a WHIP under 1.00, an ERA under 2.50, and a strikeout percentage above 31%. deGrom is getting up there in age, but it's worth remembering that he has fewer miles on his arm than most pitcher entering their age-33 season, given that he didn't transition to pitching until late in his college career and missed significant time with injuries during his time in the minors. deGrom has shown no decline in his game, and should hopefully (finally) begin to pile on more wins this year pitching for a better team in front of an improved bullpen. He should be the first or second starting pitcher taken and is an obvious first-round pick.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Tatis Jr. set the world on fire during July and August. September wasn't as pretty, however, as the electrifying shortstop hit just 208/.311/.403 in 90 plate appearances. This still generated a 96 wRC+, which means that even at his worst Tatis was only 4% worse than league average. He still hit four homers and stole four bases. Also, it was only one month. Tatis doesn't have a track record long enough for us to feel confident in him as a slump-proof bat, but only Ronald Acuña rivals his 40/40 upside.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros