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Who Should I Draft?

Fernando Tatis Jr. or Jacob deGrom (2021)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Jacob deGrom
SP - NYM
Jacob deGrom
Expert
Recommendation
67%
Recommended by
6 of 9 experts
33%
Recommended by
3 of 9 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 4# 7
Best Rank# 1# 6
Worst Rank# 19# 13
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 3# 7
Best Rank# 2# 6
Worst Rank# 4# 8
   
Projections 
   
Runs109
Home Runs3622
RBI98
Stolen Bases25
Batting Avg.290
Strikeouts165252
Wins15
Saves0
ERA2.88
WHIP1.05
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 1# 12
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 4# 9
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 2# 6
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 3# 8
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 5# 6
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 4# 8
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 8# 6
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 10# 6
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 19# 13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Jacob deGrom
SP - NYM
Jacob deGrom
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs50
   
Home Runs177
   
RBI45
   
Stolen Bases11
   
Batting Avg.277
   
Strikeouts61104
   
Wins4
   
Saves0
   
ERA2.38
   
WHIP0.96
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Jacob deGrom
SP - NYM
Jacob deGrom
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs109
   
Home Runs3622
   
RBI98
   
Stolen Bases25
   
Batting Avg.290
   
Strikeouts165252
   
Wins15
   
Saves0
   
ERA2.88
   
WHIP1.05
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Jacob deGrom
SP - NYM
Jacob deGrom
News 
 The Padres are working on a contract extension with star shortstop Fernando Tatis Jr. According to Jon Heyman and Jessica Kleinschmidt, Tatis' contract extension could be 11 years and $320 million.
Corbin Young
Sun, Jan 10th
 
Notes 
 Tatis Jr. had an outstanding rookie year, but because he had outperformed his statcast data so significantly, many fantasy managers were worried that his numbers would regress in 2020. Although his batting average did come down (to a still respectable .277), he not only staved off regression, but he improved significantly in most areas. He cut his strikeout rate by 6%, upped his walk rate by 2.5%, and led the league in average exit velocity, hard-hit rate, and barrel percentage. The fact that he's likely to throw in 25-30 steals over the course of a full season is just the cherry on top of elite fantasy production. He's a top-five overall pick with little or no downside and massive upside even off his incredible 2020 numbers.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
deGrom barely missed out on winning his third straight Cy Young Award last year, but it was yet another dominant season. For the third straight year, he came in with a WHIP under 1.00, an ERA under 2.50, and a strikeout percentage above 31%. deGrom is getting up there in age, but it's worth remembering that he has fewer miles on his arm than most pitcher entering their age-33 season, given that he didn't transition to pitching until late in his college career and missed significant time with injuries during his time in the minors. deGrom has shown no decline in his game, and should hopefully (finally) begin to pile on more wins this year pitching for a better team in front of an improved bullpen. He should be the first or second starting pitcher taken and is an obvious first-round pick.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Tatis Jr. set the world on fire during July and August. September wasn't as pretty, however, as the electrifying shortstop hit just 208/.311/.403 in 90 plate appearances. This still generated a 96 wRC+, which means that even at his worst Tatis was only 4% worse than league average. He still hit four homers and stole four bases. Also, it was only one month. Tatis doesn't have a track record long enough for us to feel confident in him as a slump-proof bat, but only Ronald Acuña rivals his 40/40 upside.
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros