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Who Should I Draft?

Fernando Tatis Jr. or Javier Baez (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Javier Baez
SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Expert
Recommendation
82%
Recommended by
37 of 45 experts
18%
Recommended by
8 of 45 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 15# 20
Best Rank# 6# 12
Worst Rank# 31# 53
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 19# 31
Best Rank# 14# 26
Worst Rank# 32# 66
   
Projections 
   
Runs3434
Home Runs1112
RBI2837
Stolen Bases85
Batting Average.284.280
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 18
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 18
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 22
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 16# 22
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 6# 26
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 10# 25
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 8# 23
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 14# 24
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 12
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 21# 23
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 17# 27
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 21# 23
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 15# 20
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 24
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 10# 35
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 14# 25
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 15# 27
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 14# 53
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 11# 17
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 16# 22
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 16# 26
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 24# 30
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 14# 22
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 16# 21
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 36
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 14# 30
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 10# 25
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 14# 25
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 14# 18
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 17
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 20# 23
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 13# 21
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 17# 20
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 10# 30
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 20# 25
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 11# 22
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 20# 27
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 17# 16
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 20# 17
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 20# 15
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 20# 18
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 21# 14
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 24# 18
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 27# 13
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 31# 30
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Javier Baez
SS - CHC
Javier Baez
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats334531
   
Runs6189
   
Hits106149
   
Singles6578
   
Doubles1338
   
Triples64
   
Home Runs2229
   
RBI5385
   
Stolen Bases1611
   
Caught Stealing67
   
Walks3028
   
Strikeouts110156
   
Batting Average.317.281
   
On Base Pct.379.316
   
Slugging Pct.590.531
   
On-base Plus Slugging.969.847
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Javier Baez
SS - CHC
Javier Baez
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats204216
   
Runs3434
   
Hits5860
   
Singles3533
   
Doubles914
   
Triples32
   
Home Runs1112
   
RBI2837
   
Stolen Bases85
   
Caught Stealing32
   
Walks1812
   
Strikeouts6262
   
Batting Average.284.280
   
On Base Pct.344.316
   
Slugging Pct.513.521
   
On-base Plus Slugging.857.837
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Javier Baez
SS - CHC
Javier Baez
News 
 Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) is starting in Monday's Cactus League matchup against the Dodgers, leading off and playing shortstop.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Mar 9th
Javier Baez told Marly Rivera of ESPN that contract talks with the Cubs have been put on hold for now.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, May 6th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) returned to action at Padres camp on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Mar 7th
Javier Baez went 2-for-2 with a walk and a solo home run in Sunday's Cactus League game against the Mariners.
Brad Camara
Sun, Mar 1st
 Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) returned to the Padres' spring training facility Thursday, but will need a few more days to recover before rejoining the team's lineup in game action.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Mar 5th
 
 Padres GM A.J. Preller says the team has no plans to move Fernando Tatis Jr. to center field.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Feb 13th
 
Notes 
 Fernando Tatis Jr. is one of the more polarizing players for draft season. When we revisit this article next year, we'll either be looking at Tatis as a top-five pick or as a source of debate over how far he should fall after his disappointing second year in the bigs. We know the differential with his expected stats, but do we talk about his plate discipline enough? He had a 29.6 K% last year, with only an 8 BB%. The walk rate is passable, but if Tatis keeps striking out at that rate, it's going to hurt his overall game. Suddenly, you're looking at a guy with 180 strikeouts who's hitting .260. The power/speed combo that he brings is nice, but you can get similar production later in the draft waiting on someone like Bo Bichette, who has a much safer floor for batting average.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
You're drafting Baez for one thing right now, and that's power. The speed? Major drop-off from 2018 to 2019. The walks? Ha, that's cute. The success that Baez has had the past two years has resulted in everything going exactly right for him, but with the skill set that he has, the margin for error is razor-thin. There are many players that offer the same skills that Baez had who can be had for a much better draft cost - especially considering the position that he plays.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Tatis was sensational in his half of season with 22 homers, 16 steals and a .317 batting average but every underlying metric available to us screams significant regression. He is a strong source of power and speed but expect the BA to plummet.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
The shortstop position is so loaded that Baez' 29 homers, 11 steals and .281 batting average didn't even get him into the top 12 at the position last year. He is still well worth a third or fourth round pick, however, because the bat and speed are both reliable.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 This is high for such a young player with so little track record, but dual-threat HR/SB guys are running out at this stage in drafts. 20/20/.280 is a lock, 25/25/310 is possible and he qualifies at SS. I can't justify drafting a Non-Base stealing bat ahead of Tatis when he should provide 15-20 bases falling out of bed even if he was to miss 20 or so games due to injury. The floor is too high.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
I love the skill set while I hate that the Cubs only attempted 69 stolen base attempts in 2019 - 2nd least in all of baseball. Baez would be a top 10 pick if not for the Cubs refusal to run. That reality drops Baez down. 2019 wasn't a down year, it was a reflection of the Cubs approach to scoring runs by refusing to run.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData