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Who Should I Draft?

Fernando Tatis Jr. or Manny Machado (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Expert
Recommendation
100%
Recommended by
45 of 45 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 45 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 15# 37
Best Rank# 6# 19
Worst Rank# 31# 82
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 19# 58
Best Rank# 14# 40
Worst Rank# 32# 63
   
Projections 
   
Runs3431
Home Runs1112
RBI2836
Stolen Bases83
Batting Average.284.277
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 43
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 54
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 21# 40
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 61
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 16# 41
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 6# 56
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 10# 19
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 8# 31
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 14# 35
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 29
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 21# 33
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 17# 40
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 21# 35
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 15# 36
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 35
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 10# 82
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 14# 37
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 15# 42
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 14# 42
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 11# 40
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 16# 40
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 16# 65
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 24# 50
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 14# 43
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 16# 35
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 31# 33
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 35
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 14# 51
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 10# 42
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 14# 39
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 20# 35
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 24# 27
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 14# 33
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 42
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 17# 32
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 20# 41
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 13# 42
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 17# 33
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 10# 39
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 27# 42
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 20# 26
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 20# 35
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 20# 39
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 11# 42
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 20# 42
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats334587
   
Runs6181
   
Hits106150
   
Singles6595
   
Doubles1321
   
Triples62
   
Home Runs2232
   
RBI5385
   
Stolen Bases165
   
Caught Stealing63
   
Walks3065
   
Strikeouts110128
   
Batting Average.317.256
   
On Base Pct.379.334
   
Slugging Pct.590.462
   
On-base Plus Slugging.969.796
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats204213
   
Runs3431
   
Hits5859
   
Singles3535
   
Doubles910
   
Triples31
   
Home Runs1112
   
RBI2836
   
Stolen Bases83
   
Caught Stealing31
   
Walks1823
   
Strikeouts6243
   
Batting Average.284.277
   
On Base Pct.344.346
   
Slugging Pct.513.504
   
On-base Plus Slugging.857.850
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
News 
 Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) is starting in Monday's Cactus League matchup against the Dodgers, leading off and playing shortstop.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Mar 9th
Manny Machado singled on Monday in the Padres' 14-2 drubbing at the hands of the Dodgers.
Steven Boysko - The Leadoff Batter
Tue, Mar 10th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) returned to action at Padres camp on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Mar 7th
Manny Machado went 0-for-3 with a strikeout in Friday's 4-3 victory against Texas, dropping his spring average to .059.
Steven Boysko - The Leadoff Batter
Sat, Mar 7th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) returned to the Padres' spring training facility Thursday, but will need a few more days to recover before rejoining the team's lineup in game action.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Mar 5th
Manny Machado played in his first spring game on Monday versus the Royals and wasted no time collecting his first home run.
Jarod Rupp
Tue, Feb 25th
 Padres GM A.J. Preller says the team has no plans to move Fernando Tatis Jr. to center field.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Feb 13th
 
Notes 
 Fernando Tatis Jr. is one of the more polarizing players for draft season. When we revisit this article next year, we'll either be looking at Tatis as a top-five pick or as a source of debate over how far he should fall after his disappointing second year in the bigs. We know the differential with his expected stats, but do we talk about his plate discipline enough? He had a 29.6 K% last year, with only an 8 BB%. The walk rate is passable, but if Tatis keeps striking out at that rate, it's going to hurt his overall game. Suddenly, you're looking at a guy with 180 strikeouts who's hitting .260. The power/speed combo that he brings is nice, but you can get similar production later in the draft waiting on someone like Bo Bichette, who has a much safer floor for batting average.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
You can't bank on the steals from Manny Machado anymore, and it's too hard to consider him an elite fantasy player after his well-known struggles out of Camden Yards. But you aren't paying for elite production here - you're paying for a bounce-back candidate who can give you first- to second-round production. The pressure is on the Padres' front office to win, so Machado is going to be surrounded by an even better offense in his second year in San Diego. Machado's 2019 was split into three good months and three really bad months. Bet on the talent in these situations ... at least for one more year.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Tatis was sensational in his half of season with 22 homers, 16 steals and a .317 batting average but every underlying metric available to us screams significant regression. He is a strong source of power and speed but expect the BA to plummet.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Machado now has five consecutive seasons with 30+ homers, 80+ runs and 80+ RBIs. Yes, he struggled last year in batting average but this is a durable player with a great floor and Round 1 upside should he decide to steal 15 bags again like we've seen a few times.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 This is high for such a young player with so little track record, but dual-threat HR/SB guys are running out at this stage in drafts. 20/20/.280 is a lock, 25/25/310 is possible and he qualifies at SS. I can't justify drafting a Non-Base stealing bat ahead of Tatis when he should provide 15-20 bases falling out of bed even if he was to miss 20 or so games due to injury. The floor is too high.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
One of my favorite picks at ADP this season (also one of my highest owned players). Has played the most games of all players over the last five years so there is zero injury concern. He is a lock for 30+ HRs, his average should revert back to near his career avg (.279), and should be able to let loose a bit more after pressing a bit his first season in SD. Sign me up.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy