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Who Should I Draft?

Fernando Tatis Jr. or Trea Turner (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Trea Turner
SS - WSH
Trea Turner
Expert
Recommendation
92%
Recommended by
46 of 50 experts
8%
Recommended by
4 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 3# 6
Best Rank# 1# 3
Worst Rank# 6# 19
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 2# 8
Best Rank# 2# 7
Worst Rank# 4# 9
   
Projections 
   
Runs108103
Home Runs3624
RBI9780
Stolen Bases2533
Batting Average.286.294
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL10-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 2# 7
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 1# 5
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 4# 6
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 4# 12
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 2# 7
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 2# 6
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 2# 5
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 3# 19
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 1# 7
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 3# 9
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 4# 5
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 4# 6
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 3# 6
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 2# 8
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 5# 7
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 2# 6
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 2# 6
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 2# 6
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 3# 9
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 3# 6
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 3# 6
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 4# 8
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 3# 6
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 4# 6
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 2# 7
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 3# 6
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 3# 6
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 4# 6
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 4# 6
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 3# 6
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 3# 6
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 2# 5
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 3# 7
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 4# 6
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 4# 8
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 1# 6
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 5# 6
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 5# 6
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 1# 6
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 4# 6
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 2# 6
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 3# 6
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 2# 6
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 3# 6
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 4# 6
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 3# 5
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 4# 3
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 5# 3
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 5# 4
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 6# 3
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Trea Turner
SS - WSH
Trea Turner
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats224233
   
Runs5046
   
Hits6278
   
Singles3247
   
Doubles1115
   
Triples24
   
Home Runs1712
   
RBI4541
   
Stolen Bases1112
   
Caught Stealing34
   
Walks2722
   
Strikeouts6136
   
Batting Average.277.335
   
On Base Pct.366.394
   
Slugging Pct.571.588
   
On-base Plus Slugging.937.982
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Trea Turner
SS - WSH
Trea Turner
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats568597
   
Runs108103
   
Hits161174
   
Singles91110
   
Doubles2834
   
Triples67
   
Home Runs3624
   
RBI9780
   
Stolen Bases2533
   
Caught Stealing88
   
Walks6153
   
Strikeouts165118
   
Batting Average.286.294
   
On Base Pct.357.353
   
Slugging Pct.544.493
   
On-base Plus Slugging.901.846
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Trea Turner
SS - WSH
Trea Turner
News 
 Padres SS Fernando Tatis Jr. has tested positive for COVID-19.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, May 11th
Trea Turner hit his 10th home run of the season after going 1-for-3 with one run, one RBI, and one walk. Turner extended his four-game hit streak.
Corbin Young
Mon, May 17th
 Fernando Tatis Jr., Jurickson Profar, and Jorge Mateo have been placed on the IL due to health and safety protocols, the Padres announced Tuesday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Tue, May 11th
Trea Turner hit his 8th double of the season and went 3-for-4 with one RBI. He raised his batting average to .329 on the season.
Corbin Young
Sun, May 16th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. went 2-5 with a single, a home run, two RBI, and two strikeouts in the Padres' win over the Giants on Sunday.
Matt Flipi
Mon, May 10th
Trea Turner went 2-for-4 with two runs, one RBI, and one walk on Saturday. He hit his 7th double and drove in his 19th RBI on the season.
Corbin Young
Sun, May 16th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-3 with a single and a walk in the Padres' win over the Pirates on Wednesday.
Matt Flipi
Thu, May 6th
Nationals shortstop Trea Turner crushed his ninth home run of the season. He went 2-for-5 with one home run, one run, and three RBI.
Corbin Young
Sat, May 15th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-3 with a home run, a walk, an RBI, a run scored, and a strikeout in the Padres' loss to the Giants on Sunday.
Matt Flipi
Mon, May 3rd
Trea Turner's five-game hit streak ends on Thursday. He went 0-for-4 with two strikeouts.
Corbin Young
Thu, May 13th
Notes 
 Tatis Jr. has a bit of a shoulder issue, but nothing suggests he'll need to miss any time. He had an outstanding rookie year, but because he had outperformed his Statcast data so significantly, many fantasy managers were worried that his numbers would regress in 2020. Although his batting average did come down (to a still respectable .277), he not only staved off regression, but he improved significantly in most areas. He cut his strikeout rate by 6%, upped his walk rate by 2.5%, and led the league in average exit velocity, hard-hit rate, and barrel percentage. The fact that he's likely to throw in 25-30 steals over the course of a full season is just the cherry on top of elite fantasy production. He's a top-five overall pick with little or no downside and massive upside even off his incredible 2020 numbers, so long a there are no further developments with his shoulder.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Turner was the best version of himself in 2020, slashing his strikeout rate to below 14% and setting career bests in batting average, OBP, slugging percentage, wOBA, and wRC+. Above all, Turner locks down two incredibly scarce categories for fantasy managers, stolen bases and batting average, while offering production in the other three hitting categories. Still just entering his age-28 season, Turner is in the prime of his career, and should continue to put up stellar numbers. He's a top-eight pick in rotisserie leagues.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Tatis Jr. set the world on fire during July and August. September wasn't as pretty, however, as the electrifying shortstop hit just 208/.311/.403 in 90 plate appearances. This still generated a 96 wRC+, which means that even at his worst Tatis was only 4% worse than league average. He still hit four homers and stole four bases. Also, it was only one month. Tatis doesn't have a track record long enough for us to feel confident in him as a slump-proof bat, but only Ronald Acuña rivals his 40/40 upside.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
2020 was the culmination of everything we've ever wanted out of Turner. Both the barrel rate and the line-drive rate jumped en route to a .335 batting average. Turner famously went without a stolen base for several weeks before finishing tied for fourth in the majors with 12 for the season. Perhaps 2020 was a two-month hot streak with the bat, but Turner's stolen base upside combined with even 80% of last year's gains make him an essential part of any roto strategy come draft day.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros