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Who Should I Draft?

Fernando Tatis Jr. or Trevor Story (2021)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Expert
Recommendation
100%
Recommended by
6 of 6 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 6 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 4# 7
Best Rank# 1# 6
Worst Rank# 5# 11
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 3# 11
Best Rank# 2# 10
Worst Rank# 4# 12
   
Projections 
   
Runs109102
Home Runs3634
RBI9890
Stolen Bases2526
Batting Average.290.285
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 1# 8
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 4# 11
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 2# 8
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 3# 7
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 5# 6
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 4# 7
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats224235
   
Runs5041
   
Hits6268
   
Singles3240
   
Doubles1113
   
Triples24
   
Home Runs1711
   
RBI4528
   
Stolen Bases1115
   
Caught Stealing33
   
Walks2724
   
Strikeouts6163
   
Batting Average.277.289
   
On Base Pct.366.355
   
Slugging Pct.571.519
   
On-base Plus Slugging.937.874
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats556586
   
Runs109102
   
Hits161167
   
Singles9091
   
Doubles2736
   
Triples66
   
Home Runs3634
   
RBI9890
   
Stolen Bases2526
   
Caught Stealing87
   
Walks6158
   
Strikeouts165171
   
Batting Average.290.285
   
On Base Pct.360.349
   
Slugging Pct.549.532
   
On-base Plus Slugging.909.881
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
News 
 The Padres are working on a contract extension with star shortstop Fernando Tatis Jr. According to Jon Heyman and Jessica Kleinschmidt, Tatis' contract extension could be 11 years and $320 million.
Corbin Young
Sun, Jan 10th
 
Notes 
 Tatis Jr. had an outstanding rookie year, but because he had outperformed his statcast data so significantly, many fantasy managers were worried that his numbers would regress in 2020. Although his batting average did come down (to a still respectable .277), he not only staved off regression, but he improved significantly in most areas. He cut his strikeout rate by 6%, upped his walk rate by 2.5%, and led the league in average exit velocity, hard-hit rate, and barrel percentage. The fact that he's likely to throw in 25-30 steals over the course of a full season is just the cherry on top of elite fantasy production. He's a top-five overall pick with little or no downside and massive upside even off his incredible 2020 numbers.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 
 Tatis Jr. set the world on fire during July and August. September wasn't as pretty, however, as the electrifying shortstop hit just 208/.311/.403 in 90 plate appearances. This still generated a 96 wRC+, which means that even at his worst Tatis was only 4% worse than league average. He still hit four homers and stole four bases. Also, it was only one month. Tatis doesn't have a track record long enough for us to feel confident in him as a slump-proof bat, but only Ronald Acuña rivals his 40/40 upside.
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros