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Who Should I Draft?

Fernando Tatis Jr. or Walker Buehler (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
Expert
Recommendation
58%
Recommended by
32 of 55 experts
42%
Recommended by
23 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 18# 22
Best Rank# 6# 7
Worst Rank# 33# 66
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 19# 16
Best Rank# 14# 14
Worst Rank# 34# 18
   
Projections 
   
Runs34
Home Runs108
RBI28
Stolen Bases8
Batting Avg.281
Strikeouts6276
Wins5
Saves0
ERA3.49
WHIP1.11
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 23
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 20
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 20# 21
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 6# 39
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 10# 31
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 10# 34
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 25# 28
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 8# 19
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 17# 44
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 23# 30
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 19# 25
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 32# 39
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 20# 51
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 10# 19
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 18# 20
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 16# 23
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 9# 25
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 15# 18
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 24# 66
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 18# 30
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 18# 21
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 10# 21
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 23# 48
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 29# 31
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 15# 26
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 12# 21
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 19# 20
   
M. Starks Powell
New Life Fantasy
# 23# 27
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 14# 27
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 21# 24
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 10# 25
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 14# 16
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 7
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 18# 16
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 20# 18
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 20# 16
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 20
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 21# 15
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 21# 17
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 21# 19
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 22# 19
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 22# 17
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 22# 16
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 22# 18
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 23# 19
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 25# 24
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 25# 20
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 26# 20
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 26# 13
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 27# 13
   
Site Rankings
Sports Illustrated
# 29# 20
   
George Kurtz
SportsGrid
# 29# 20
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 31# 17
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 32# 31
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 33# 22
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
2019 Stats 
   
   
Runs61
   
Home Runs2220
   
RBI53
   
Stolen Bases16
   
Batting Avg.317
   
Strikeouts110215
   
Wins14
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.26
   
WHIP1.04
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
2020 Projections 
   
   
Runs34
   
Home Runs108
   
RBI28
   
Stolen Bases8
   
Batting Avg.281
   
Strikeouts6276
   
Wins5
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.49
   
WHIP1.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
News 
 Padres GM AJ Preller says "it sounds like there's interest on both sides" regarding a Fernando Tatis Jr. contract extension.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Oct 15th
Walker Buehler earned the win on Friday when he allowed one run on three hits with 10 strikeouts and one walk over six innings in the Dodgers 6-2 win over the Rays in Game 3 of the World Series.
Jon Mathisen
Sat, Oct 24th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-for-3 with a double and a walk in the Padres 12-3 loss to the Dodgers in Game 3 of the NLDS.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Oct 9th
The Dodgers announced that Walker Buehler will start Game 3 of the World Series on Thursday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Oct 19th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-for-4 with a single, a stolen base, and three stikeouts as the Padres fell to the Dodgers 5-1 in Game 1 of the NLDS on Tuesday.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, Oct 7th
Walker Buehler secured the win on Saturday when he surrendered zero runs on seven hits with six strikeouts over six innings in the Dodgers 3-1 win over the Braves in Game 6 of the NLCS.
Jon Mathisen
Sat, Oct 17th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-for-2 with a double, a run scored, and two walks in the Padres Game 3 Wild Card win over the Cardinals on Friday.
Jon Mathisen
Sat, Oct 3rd
Walker Buehler took a no decision on Monday when he allowed one run on three hits with seven strikeouts and five walks across five innings in the Dodgers 5-1 loss to the Braves in Game 1 of the NLCS.
Jon Mathisen
Mon, Oct 12th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. was in full effect on Thursday when he went 3-for-5 with two home runs and five RBI as the Padres evened up the series with the Cardinals to force a Game 3 on Friday.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Oct 2nd
Dodgers manager Dave Roberts announced that Walker Buehler will start Game 1 of the NLCS against the Braves.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Oct 10th
Notes 
 Fernando Tatis Jr. is one of the more polarizing players for draft season. When we revisit this article next year, we'll either be looking at Tatis as a top-five pick or as a source of debate over how far he should fall after his disappointing second year in the bigs. We know the differential with his expected stats, but do we talk about his plate discipline enough? He had a 29.6 K% last year, with only an 8 BB%. The walk rate is passable, but if Tatis keeps striking out at that rate, it's going to hurt his overall game. Suddenly, you're looking at a guy with 180 strikeouts who's hitting .260. The power/speed combo that he brings is nice, but you can get similar production later in the draft waiting on someone like Bo Bichette, who has a much safer floor for batting average.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
The more I look and ponder the more I see a potential Cy Young in 2020. Great team, pitcher park, Betts and Bellinger potentially manning two OF spots on defense. If LAD finally gets that title Buehler will be the guy we look at to explain that last step.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
 This is high for such a young player with so little track record, but dual-threat HR/SB guys are running out at this stage in drafts. 20/20/.280 is a lock, 25/25/310 is possible and he qualifies at SS. I can't justify drafting a Non-Base stealing bat ahead of Tatis when he should provide 15-20 bases falling out of bed even if he was to miss 20 or so games due to injury. The floor is too high.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
Where you take Buehler is all about your approach to pitching in a shortened season. There's a case to take him in the first round, as he has the pure stuff to be the No. 1 pitcher by season's end with his 29 percent strikeout rate and five percent walk rate in 2019.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 .410 BABIP is unsustainable but Tatis went 22/16 in 84 games as a rookie. Immense upside
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
A 5.22 ERA in April scared fantasy owners, but Buehler quickly recovered from the Dodgers' ill-planned "ease into the year" plan. He looked precisely like the pitcher his fantasy owners had hoped for after that, ending the year with a 3.26 ERA and 1.04 WHIP with a 29.2% strikeout rate. His meager five percent walk rate was one of the best in the league, and with an incredibly strong offense behind him once again, Buehler should excel in all four of the starting pitching categories in 2020. Have no concerns.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Walker Buehler's last 27 games included a 2.91 ERA and 206 strikeouts in 170 1/3 innings
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros