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Who Should I Draft?

Francisco Lindor or Manny Machado (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Francisco Lindor
SS - NYM
Francisco Lindor
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Expert
Recommendation
62%
Recommended by
31 of 50 experts
38%
Recommended by
19 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 13# 14
Best Rank# 6# 11
Worst Rank# 23# 25
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 16# 20
Best Rank# 15# 16
Worst Rank# 19# 21
   
Projections 
   
Runs9792
Home Runs3035
RBI86105
Stolen Bases1810
Batting Average.271.278
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 14
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 13# 14
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 8# 15
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 12# 14
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 8# 17
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 12
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 13# 14
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 11# 14
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 14# 17
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 13# 21
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 13# 14
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 6# 14
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 12# 14
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 13# 14
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 13# 14
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 14# 16
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 13# 14
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 10# 15
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 13# 14
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 12# 16
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 12# 15
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 13# 17
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 14# 25
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 13# 21
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 13# 14
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 13# 22
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 12# 13
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 11# 13
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 12# 13
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 13# 14
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 13# 14
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 12
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 14# 13
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 14# 12
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 14# 12
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 14# 11
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 14# 12
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 15# 13
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 15# 13
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 16# 13
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 16# 14
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 16# 13
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 17# 16
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 18# 13
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 21# 11
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 21# 13
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 21# 13
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 22# 19
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 23# 13
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 23# 13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Francisco Lindor
SS - NYM
Francisco Lindor
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats236224
   
Runs3044
   
Hits6168
   
Singles4039
   
Doubles1312
   
Triples01
   
Home Runs816
   
RBI2747
   
Stolen Bases66
   
Caught Stealing23
   
Walks2426
   
Strikeouts4137
   
Batting Average.259.304
   
On Base Pct.335.370
   
Slugging Pct.415.580
   
On-base Plus Slugging.750.950
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Francisco Lindor
SS - NYM
Francisco Lindor
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats607587
   
Runs9792
   
Hits163162
   
Singles9796
   
Doubles3429
   
Triples22
   
Home Runs3035
   
RBI86105
   
Stolen Bases1810
   
Caught Stealing64
   
Walks5865
   
Strikeouts106113
   
Batting Average.271.278
   
On Base Pct.335.350
   
Slugging Pct.482.510
   
On-base Plus Slugging.817.860
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Francisco Lindor
SS - NYM
Francisco Lindor
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
News 
 Francisco Lindor went 2-3 with one double, one single, one run scored, one RBI, and one walk.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Sun, May 9th
Manny Machado went 1-4 with a double in the Padres' loss to the Giants on Friday.
Matt Flipi
Sat, May 8th
 Francisco Lindor went 2-5 with one home run, one single, two RBIs, and two runs scored.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Sat, May 8th
Manny Machado went 0-3 with a walk and three strikeouts in the Padres' loss to the Pirates on Tuesday.
Matt Flipi
Wed, May 5th
 Francisco Lindor went 1-3 with one single, one run scored, three walks, and one strikeout.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Fri, May 7th
Manny Machado went 1-4 with a home run and 3 RBI in the Padres win over the Giants on Saturday.
Matt Flipi
Sun, May 2nd
 Francisco Lindor struck out twice and walked once in three at-bats.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Thu, Apr 29th
Manny Machado went 2-5 with a single, a triple, and 3 RBI in the Padres' win over the Diamondbacks on Wednesday.
Matt Flipi
Thu, Apr 29th
 Francisco Lindor singled off Garrett Richards to lead off the bottom of the sixth inning.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Wed, Apr 28th
Manny Machado went 2-6 with two singles, an RBI, a run scored, and a strikeout in the Padres' win over the Dodgers on Sunday.
Matt Flipi
Mon, Apr 26th
Notes 
 Lindor's season wasn't particularly impressive, as his surface numbers regressed fairly significantly from his previous three seasons. But, under the hood, not much changed. His walk rate and strikeout rate were largely steady, and his statcast data remained on par with his career marks. He also got much better to close the year, batting .285 with a 122 wRC+ over his final 39 games. Just 27 years old and now with a stronger lineup with the Mets, Lindor should put up numbers closer to his 2017-2019 levels, especially since he'll be playing for a new contract after this season. He'll come at a bit of a discount in the second round this year, and he's well worth your investment at that price.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Machado was on pace to set career highs in most statistical categories other than steals after last year's 60-game season. He set career bests in strikeout and walk rates and, most importantly to fantasy managers, batting average, where he checked in at .304. Machado's batting average was earned (he had an identica .304 xBA), and came on the back of him cutting his ground ball rate to a career low 37.2% and his line drive rate to a career high 22%. Machado is still just entering his age-29 season, and will continue to bat in a loaded lineup. Expect some regression from his batting average, but all his other stellar numbers should remain on par, meaning it will be another outstanding season that is worth a second-round pick.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 If you were to judge Lindor by his 2020 triple slash line, then you'd think he had a disappointing season. To an extent, that's true! Lindor's .258/.335/.415 performance last summer certainly wasn't what fantasy managers were expecting. However, this looks like a case of someone who would've rebounded over the course of a full season. Lindor posted a career-high 41.1% hard-hit rate as well as a career-best air contact (55.8%), which measures fly balls and line drives. His arrival in New York will keep him in the conversation for the first two rounds of fantasy drafts this spring.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Being picked at his ceiling, which is always a no-no for me. Was all over him last season with his depressed ADP, now it is too high, and I will have very little shares.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
  Machado rode a career-year all the way to a third place finish in the National League MVP voting last summer. He proved to be a massive bargain in fantasy drafts following a disappointing 2019 campaign. Perhaps we never should've overreacted to his first year in San Diego, as Machado remains a tremendous talent. The issue with drafting him in 2021 is that we're paying a premium now. He'll need to produce at a similar rate as last year to pay off his aggressive ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros