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Who Should I Draft?

Freddie Freeman or Cody Bellinger (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Freddie Freeman
1B - ATL
Freddie Freeman
Cody Bellinger
1B,CF,RF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Expert
Recommendation
78%
Recommended by
39 of 50 experts
22%
Recommended by
11 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 10# 12
Best Rank# 6# 5
Worst Rank# 22# 25
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 11# 15
Best Rank# 9# 12
Worst Rank# 13# 19
   
Projections 
   
Runs106100
Home Runs3237
RBI109106
Stolen Bases614
Batting Average.304.279
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL10
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 9# 13
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 11
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 10# 11
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 7# 10
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 10# 13
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 10# 24
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 16
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 6# 12
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 10# 13
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 10# 12
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 10# 11
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 10# 11
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 12
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 10# 12
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 10# 13
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 10# 11
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 10# 12
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 10# 11
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 9# 12
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 10# 25
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 9# 12
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 10# 12
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 9# 12
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 10# 11
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 10# 12
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 8# 13
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 10# 13
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 10# 12
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 9# 12
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 9# 13
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 10# 12
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 10# 12
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 7# 17
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 9# 14
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 9# 17
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 9# 20
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 10# 12
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 9# 14
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 8# 12
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 10# 8
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 10# 9
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 10# 8
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 10# 7
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 11# 7
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 11# 10
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 11# 9
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 11# 5
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 13# 9
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 13# 10
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 22# 7
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Freddie Freeman
1B - ATL
Freddie Freeman
Cody Bellinger
1B,CF,RF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats214213
   
Runs5133
   
Hits7351
   
Singles3629
   
Doubles2310
   
Triples10
   
Home Runs1312
   
RBI5330
   
Stolen Bases26
   
Caught Stealing01
   
Walks4530
   
Strikeouts3742
   
Batting Average.341.239
   
On Base Pct.462.333
   
Slugging Pct.640.455
   
On-base Plus Slugging1.102.789
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Freddie Freeman
1B - ATL
Freddie Freeman
Cody Bellinger
1B,CF,RF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats567552
   
Runs106100
   
Hits170153
   
Singles9681
   
Doubles3931
   
Triples24
   
Home Runs3237
   
RBI109106
   
Stolen Bases614
   
Caught Stealing24
   
Walks8982
   
Strikeouts118123
   
Batting Average.304.279
   
On Base Pct.399.373
   
Slugging Pct.548.546
   
On-base Plus Slugging.946.919
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Freddie Freeman
1B - ATL
Freddie Freeman
Cody Bellinger
1B,CF,RF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
News 
 Freddie Freeman went 2-for-4 with a double, solo homer, two walks, an RBI, and two runs scored in Sunday's game against the Cubs.
Steve Painter
Sun, Apr 18th
Dodgers manager Dave Roberts revealed on Friday that a recent scan revealed a hairline fracture in Cody Bellinger's leg.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Apr 16th
 Freddie Freeman went 2-for-5 with two singles and an RBI in Wednesday's game against the Marlins.
Steve Painter
Wed, Apr 14th
The Los Angeles Dodgers placed Cody Bellinger on the injured list with a left calf contusion and recalled Luke Raley on Friday, according to Jon Morosi of MLB Network.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Apr 9th
 Freddie Freeman went 2-for-4 with a single, double, an RBI, and two runs scored in Tuesday's game against the Marlins.
Steve Painter
Tue, Apr 13th
Cody Bellinger (calf) is absent from Friday's lineup against the Nationals.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Apr 9th
 Freddie Freeman went 1-for-4 with a solo homer in Sunday's game with the Phillies.
Steve Painter
Sun, Apr 11th
Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said Cody Bellinger won't play in Friday's home opener after Thursday's off day and that a stint on the injured list has not been ruled out. Bellinger was spiked on Monday but tests revealed no structural damage or stress fractures.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Apr 7th
 Freddie Freeman went 1-for-4 with a two-run homer, three RBI, and a run scored against the Phillies Saturday.
Steve Painter
Sat, Apr 10th
Cody Bellinger (calf) is absent from Wednesday's lineup against the Athletics.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Apr 7th
Notes 
 Although there were questions about Freeman's 2020 season because of his battle with COVID-19 prior to the season, those questions were answered and then some with his MVP season. The statcast leaderboard is littered with Freeman's name, as he ranked in the top nine percent of the league in barrel rate, average exit velocity, expected batting average, expected slugging percentage, wOBA, xwOBA, xwOBAcon, hard hit percentage, strikeout percentage, and walk percentage. Freeman likely won't reach double digits in steals, but that is about the only negative thing you can say about his fantasy outlook. He's as safe as they come in the other four hitting categories, and comes with next to no risk. He'll likely cost a borderline first round pick on draft day, but he is worth it.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Bellinger was unable to replicate the magic of his 2019 breakout during last year's shortened season. His average dipped to .239, the worst mark of his career, his power dropped significantly, and he didn't make the same quality of contact. But although he slid backwards in his walk and strikeout rates, his regression there was minimal, and his expected batting average was .284. In other words, Bellinger got worse in 2020, but it wasn't quite as bad as the surface numbers suggest. He did have offseason shoulder surgery after getting injured during a post-season celebration, and that's always a bit worrisome for a hitter. But given that a "down" year for Bellinger at this point is a 30-15 season, he warrants being selected early in the second round.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Bellinger has begun playing in spring games, so concerns over his offseason shoulder surgery have lessened. Now it's time to figure out if we can rely on him as a fantasy star following an underwhelming 2020. It's worth noting that Bellinger finished strong, posting a 12.5% barrel-rate over his final 37 contests. This was very close to the 13% barrel-rate mark from his MVP-winning 2019. Over these final 37 games Bellinger hit 10 homers with a .960 OPS. 2019 could very well go down as the best season of his career, but that doesn't mean Bellinger can't be a fantasy star for years to come. Don't let him fall too late into Round 2 come draft day.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
  The injury is obviously concerning, but if it winds up being nothing, Bellinger is going to make second round ADP look very silly. Don't forget how great of a player he is, in the middle of the best lineup in the league.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy