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Who Should I Draft?

George Springer or Ketel Marte (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  George Springer
CF,RF - HOU
George Springer
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Expert
Recommendation
69%
Recommended by
36 of 52 experts
31%
Recommended by
16 of 52 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 24# 28
Best Rank# 16# 19
Worst Rank# 68# 79
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 40# 39
Best Rank# 28# 32
Worst Rank# 46# 44
   
Projections 
   
Runs3933
Home Runs139
RBI3330
Stolen Bases23
Batting Average.280.296
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 29# 33
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 28# 34
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 37# 44
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 25# 28
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 26# 41
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 28# 75
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 25# 26
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 16# 36
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 28
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 17# 33
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 28# 33
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 22# 26
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 28# 30
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 19# 31
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 27# 28
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 25# 36
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 28# 34
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 29# 30
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 21# 29
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 24# 28
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 31# 32
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 24# 32
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 19# 33
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 26# 38
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 34# 39
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 27# 33
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 20# 33
   
M. Starks Powell
New Life Fantasy
# 20# 34
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 19# 34
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 23# 25
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 21# 54
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 28# 30
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 24# 29
   
George Kurtz
SportsGrid
# 24# 33
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 20# 79
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 26# 27
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 23# 20
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 23# 22
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 25# 24
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 25# 22
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 26# 24
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 27# 23
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 28# 26
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 27
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 28# 23
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 29# 25
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 29# 20
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 30# 28
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 30# 26
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 33# 19
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 34# 23
   
Site Rankings
Sports Illustrated
# 68# 38
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  George Springer
CF,RF - HOU
George Springer
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats479569
   
Runs9697
   
Hits139187
   
Singles77110
   
Doubles2036
   
Triples39
   
Home Runs3932
   
RBI9692
   
Stolen Bases610
   
Caught Stealing22
   
Walks6753
   
Strikeouts11386
   
Batting Average.290.329
   
On Base Pct.381.389
   
Slugging Pct.589.592
   
On-base Plus Slugging.970.981
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  George Springer
CF,RF - HOU
George Springer
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats201210
   
Runs3933
   
Hits5662
   
Singles3338
   
Doubles1013
   
Triples13
   
Home Runs139
   
RBI3330
   
Stolen Bases23
   
Caught Stealing11
   
Walks2720
   
Strikeouts4733
   
Batting Average.280.296
   
On Base Pct.364.358
   
Slugging Pct.521.505
   
On-base Plus Slugging.886.863
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  George Springer
CF,RF - HOU
George Springer
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
News 
 George Springer went 1-for-2 with a two-run single and one walk during Friday's 7-4 win over the Rays in Game 6 of the ALCS.
Brad Camara
Sat, Oct 17th
Ketel Marte went 2-for-3 with a double, two-run single, and a sacrifice fly in Sunday's win over Colorado.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Sep 28th
 George Springer went 1-for-4 with a solo home run during Wednesday's 4-3 win over the Rays in Game 5 of the ALCS.
Brad Camara
Thu, Oct 15th
The Diamondbacks activated Ketel Marte (wrist) off the 10-day IL.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Sep 22nd
 George Springer went 3-for-4 with two-run homer during Tuesday's 4-3 win over the Rays in Game 4 of the ALCS.
Brad Camara
Thu, Oct 15th
Ketel Marte (wrist) is scheduled to take batting practice on Saturday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 19th
 George Springer had a day at the plate going 2-for-4 with two home runs and three RBI as the Astros took down the A's 5-2 in Game 2 of the ALDS on Tuesday.
Jon Mathisen
Tue, Oct 6th
Ketel Marte went 4-for-5 with a double, a home run, and two RBI in Friday's win over the Giants.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 5th
 George Springer had a day at the plate on Monday when he went 4-for-5 with a double, three singles, an RBI, and a run scored in the Astros 10-5 win over the A's in Game 1 of the ALDS.
Jon Mathisen
Mon, Oct 5th
Diamondbacks manager Torey Lovullo says Ketel Marte will see time in center field moving forward.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 2nd
Notes 
 It's weird that George Springer is already 30 years old, no? It seems like just yesterday that he made his debut. We know that players start to decline on the wrong side of 30, and when you look at Springer, he hasn't exactly been the model of health over the past few years, playing in more than 140 games just once in his career. Add to that the cheating scandal, and we really don't know how much of an impact it will have on Springer. There are enough signs here to pivot in another direction.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
With second base being as weak as it is, it's kind of shocking that Ketel Marte is going this low in drafts. Sure, the breakout was out of nowhere - despite being a popular breakout pick for three years in a row - but he actually was stronger down the stretch than he was in the first half, and there are very few concerns with his underlying numbers. A change to the baseball could see his home runs come down, but not enough so that he won't return draft-day value.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Was off Springer at ADP last season, and that was wrong. However, I am diving right back into it this season, and will likely own zero shares. He has been a decent fantasy player being drafted at ceiling since he joined the league, and 2019 was the first season that it actually worked out. With the potential dejuicing of the ball and the cheating scandal, on top of his career averages, he is a hard pass for me.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
Marte suddenly went from being a career .263 hitter with 22 home runs in 1,548 plate appearances to batting .329 with 32 home runs in 628 plate appearances. And while he made many overall gains, such as a massive increase in launch angle, his expected batting average was just .299 and that .030 difference was 10th-highest in MLB. He also upped his pull percentage by a significant amount, and pulled all but one of his home runs, which should be something that pitchers can exploit in 2020. Buy some of the gains, but consider Marte closer to a .290-25 type of hitter.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Hit 39 homers with a .974 OPS in just 122 games last year. Yes please.
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
In the Era of the Juiced ball (and I am sure some juiced bodies too) I am not buying Marte's 2019 power surge and he doesn't run as much as you might think he does. I am not paying for 30 home runs and 10 stolen bases when regression suggests 15-20 HRs and five SBs. Marte won't fall this far and I am fine with that. I will be owning ZERO shares of the 2019 shocker of the year in Fantasy baseball.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
  Marte earned every bit of his 32 HRs last year. His average is almost certain to come down a bit, but his breakout was real, and similar numbers are certainly not out of reach. He is being discounted out of fear for massive regression. I am happy to take the discount.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
  Advanced stats back up last year's breakout
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros