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Who Should I Draft?

George Springer or Ketel Marte (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  George Springer
CF,RF - HOU
George Springer
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Expert
Recommendation
76%
Recommended by
34 of 45 experts
24%
Recommended by
11 of 45 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 25# 31
Best Rank# 18# 20
Worst Rank# 68# 79
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 41# 40
Best Rank# 28# 34
Worst Rank# 47# 44
   
Projections 
   
Runs3933
Home Runs139
RBI3330
Stolen Bases23
Batting Average.283.301
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 26# 38
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 28# 34
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 39# 46
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 26# 41
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 28# 75
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 25# 26
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 21# 30
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 19# 38
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 29# 34
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 24# 30
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 28# 30
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 26# 30
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 28# 29
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 25# 29
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 25# 36
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 34# 65
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 29# 30
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 26# 27
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 30# 38
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 26# 30
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 20# 28
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 24# 28
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 31# 32
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 24# 32
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 28# 38
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 39# 45
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 27# 33
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 18# 37
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 23# 36
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 21# 54
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 30# 33
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 24# 29
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 24# 33
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 18# 79
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 28# 26
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 28# 23
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 29# 25
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 29# 22
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 29# 20
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 30# 28
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 31# 29
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 32# 22
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 35# 30
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 36# 25
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 68# 38
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  George Springer
CF,RF - HOU
George Springer
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats479569
   
Runs9697
   
Hits139187
   
Singles77110
   
Doubles2036
   
Triples39
   
Home Runs3932
   
RBI9692
   
Stolen Bases610
   
Caught Stealing22
   
Walks6753
   
Strikeouts11386
   
Batting Average.290.329
   
On Base Pct.381.389
   
Slugging Pct.589.592
   
On-base Plus Slugging.970.981
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  George Springer
CF,RF - HOU
George Springer
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats199210
   
Runs3933
   
Hits5663
   
Singles3338
   
Doubles1012
   
Triples13
   
Home Runs139
   
RBI3330
   
Stolen Bases23
   
Caught Stealing11
   
Walks2620
   
Strikeouts4733
   
Batting Average.283.301
   
On Base Pct.366.362
   
Slugging Pct.526.513
   
On-base Plus Slugging.892.875
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  George Springer
CF,RF - HOU
George Springer
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
News 
 Chandler Rome of the Houston Chronicle writes the Astros have "made it clear" to George Springer's representatives that the franchise wants to sign him to a long-term deal.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, May 9th
 
 George Springer went 2-for-2 with a walk and a stolen base in the Astros' split squad game versus the Braves on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Mar 10th
 
 George Springer went 0-for-3 with two strikeouts in Tuesday's 6-3 loss to the Cardinals.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Mar 3rd
 
Notes 
 It's weird that George Springer is already 30 years old, no? It seems like just yesterday that he made his debut. We know that players start to decline on the wrong side of 30, and when you look at Springer, he hasn't exactly been the model of health over the past few years, playing in more than 140 games just once in his career. Add to that the cheating scandal, and we really don't know how much of an impact it will have on Springer. There are enough signs here to pivot in another direction.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
With second base being as weak as it is, it's kind of shocking that Ketel Marte is going this low in drafts. Sure, the breakout was out of nowhere - despite being a popular breakout pick for three years in a row - but he actually was stronger down the stretch than he was in the first half, and there are very few concerns with his underlying numbers. A change to the baseball could see his home runs come down, but not enough so that he won't return draft-day value.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 If not for the 40 games missed, we might be talking about Springer as the reigning AL MVP. He was on pace for over 50 homers, 125 RBIs and 125 runs. There isn't much speed but the upside for the other four categories makes him an amazing value in the fourth round of drafts.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Marte suddenly went from being a career .263 hitter with 22 home runs in 1,548 plate appearances to batting .329 with 32 home runs in 628 plate appearances. And while he made many overall gains, such as a massive increase in launch angle, his expected batting average was just .299 and that .030 difference was 10th-highest in MLB. He also upped his pull percentage by a significant amount, and pulled all but one of his home runs, which should be something that pitchers can exploit in 2020. Buy some of the gains, but consider Marte closer to a .290-25 type of hitter.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Was off Springer at ADP last season, and that was wrong. However, I am diving right back into it this season, and will likely own zero shares. He has been a decent fantasy player being drafted at ceiling since he joined the league, and 2019 was the first season that it actually worked out. With the potential dejuicing of the ball and the cheating scandal, on top of his career averages, he is a hard pass for me.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
There is no one who will deny the likelihood that Marte's .329 batting average drops this year but we are still talking about a kid who hit 32 homers with 10 steals last year. As we've seen with Jose Ramirez and J.D. Martinez, these breakout stars can sometimes even further improve.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
  In the Era of the Juiced ball (and I am sure some juiced bodies too) I am not buying Marte's 2019 power surge and he doesn't run as much as you might think he does. I am not paying for 30 home runs and 10 stolen bases when regression suggests 15-20 HRs and five SBs. Marte won't fall this far and I am fine with that. I will be owning ZERO shares of the 2019 shocker of the year in Fantasy baseball.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
  Marte earned every bit of his 32 HRs last year. His average is almost certain to come down a bit, but his breakout was real, and similar numbers are certainly not out of reach. He is being discounted out of fear for massive regression. I am happy to take the discount.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy