Who Should I Draft?
George Springer or Nolan Arenado (2021)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Nolan Arenado 3B - STL  | George Springer CF,RF - TOR  | |
Expert |
64% Recommended by 32 of 50 experts |
36% Recommended by 18 of 50 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 30 | # 35 |
| Best Rank | # 9 | # 19 |
| Worst Rank | # 60 | # 58 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 33 | # 50 |
| Best Rank | # 30 | # 44 |
| Worst Rank | # 42 | # 52 |
| Projections | ||
| Runs | 85 | 100 |
| Home Runs | 31 | 34 |
| RBI | 97 | 91 |
| Stolen Bases | 2 | 6 |
| Batting Average | .274 | .275 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | IL10 |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 32 | # 34 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 28 | # 40 |
| Steve Gardner USA Today | # 31 | # 35 |
| Grey Albright Razzball | # 34 | # 39 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 31 | # 32 |
| Muntradamus Beast Dome | # 9 | # 54 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 36 | # 41 |
| Dave McKay The Fantasy Sports Brain | # 29 | # 37 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 29 | # 38 |
| Tim McCullough Baseball Prospectus | # 30 | # 31 |
| Wayne Bretsky BretskyBall | # 20 | # 33 |
| Chris Meaney FTN | # 26 | # 48 |
| Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 19 | # 31 |
| Adam Ronis Fantasy Alarm | # 31 | # 40 |
| Mario Mergola Sporfolio | # 24 | # 58 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 36 | # 38 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 32 | # 34 |
| Michael Waterloo FantasyPros | # 26 | # 40 |
| Donkey Teeth Razzball | # 41 | # 42 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 29 | # 34 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 29 | # 52 |
| Andrew Seifter FantasyPros | # 32 | # 37 |
| Dennis Sosic Fantasy Six Pack | # 15 | # 35 |
| Mick Ciallela Fantrax | # 29 | # 32 |
| Todd D Clark The Fantasy Fix | # 29 | # 35 |
| Brendan Tuma FantasyPros | # 20 | # 40 |
| Jacob W. Dunne New Life Fantasy | # 17 | # 31 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 19 | # 34 |
| Brad Camara FantasyPros | # 14 | # 35 |
| Staff Rankings Roto Ranks | # 31 | # 32 |
| Corbin Young FantasyData | # 51 | # 57 |
| Chris Clegg Fantrax | # 33 | # 58 |
| Ryan Amore Pitcher List | # 53 | # 19 |
| KJ Fantasy Team Advice | # 39 | # 21 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 29 | # 25 |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | # 29 | # 26 |
| Carmen Maiorano FantasyPros | # 31 | # 28 |
| Lucas Spence Pitcher List | # 40 | # 29 |
| Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 41 | # 30 |
| Michael Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | # 45 | # 30 |
| Luke Gloeckner Mr. Cheatsheet | # 41 | # 30 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 41 | # 31 |
| Nicklaus Gaut RotoBaller | # 42 | # 32 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 33 | # 32 |
| Andy Singleton Expand The Boxscore | # 37 | # 32 |
| Rudy Gamble Razzball | # 60 | # 32 |
| Jordan Eisen Field of Vision Sports | # 37 | # 33 |
| Greg Smith The Fake Baseball | # 37 | # 33 |
| Max Freeze Freeze Stats | # 38 | # 34 |
| Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 47 | # 36 |
| Nolan Arenado 3B - STL | George Springer CF,RF - TOR | |
| 2020 Stats | ||
| At Bats | 182 | 189 |
| Runs | 23 | 37 |
| Hits | 46 | 49 |
| Singles | 29 | 27 |
| Doubles | 9 | 6 |
| Triples | 0 | 2 |
| Home Runs | 8 | 14 |
| RBI | 26 | 32 |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | 1 |
| Caught Stealing | 0 | 2 |
| Walks | 15 | 24 |
| Strikeouts | 20 | 38 |
| Batting Average | .253 | .259 |
| On Base Pct | .304 | .355 |
| Slugging Pct | .434 | .534 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .738 | .889 |
| Nolan Arenado 3B - STL | George Springer CF,RF - TOR | |
| 2021 Projections | ||
| At Bats | 571 | 534 |
| Runs | 85 | 100 |
| Hits | 155 | 145 |
| Singles | 93 | 85 |
| Doubles | 29 | 24 |
| Triples | 2 | 2 |
| Home Runs | 31 | 34 |
| RBI | 97 | 91 |
| Stolen Bases | 2 | 6 |
| Caught Stealing | 1 | 3 |
| Walks | 61 | 67 |
| Strikeouts | 95 | 122 |
| Batting Average | .274 | .275 |
| On Base Pct | .345 | .357 |
| Slugging Pct | .494 | .517 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .839 | .874 |
| Nolan Arenado 3B - STL | George Springer CF,RF - TOR | |
| News | ||
| Nolan Arenado went 1-for-4 with a walk, two runs scored, and two RBI while slugging his fourth home run of the season on Saturday. Lucas Spence Sat, Apr 17th | The Blue Jays are “hopeful” OF George Springer (quad) will make his season debut for the upcoming series (April 23-25) against the Rays. Brad Camara Sat, Apr 17th | |
| Nolan Arenado went 2-for-3 with a walk, a home run, two runs scored, and three RBI in a 14-3 win over the Nationals on Tuesday. Lucas Spence Wed, Apr 14th | Toronto Blue Jays outfielder George Springer, who's dealing with a quad strain, took batting practice recently but won't join the Blue Jays on their upcoming road trip. Jon Mathisen Tue, Apr 13th | |
| Nolan Arenado had a day to forget on Monday, going 0-for-4 with three strikeouts in a 5-2 loss to Washington. Lucas Spence Tue, Apr 13th | Blue Jays manager Charlie Montoyo says George Springer's oblique injury has healed but that his quad remains day-to-day. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Mon, Apr 12th | |
| With the score tied 1-1 in the bottom of the 8th inning, Nolan Arenado came to the plate and turned on a 97-mph inside fastball, crushing a two-run home run to left field and propelling the Cardinals to a 3-1 win over the Brewers on Thursday. It was Arenado's only hit in four at-bats. Lucas Spence Thu, Apr 8th | Blue Jays OF George Springer recently underwent an MRI that revealed a low-grade quad strain. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Thu, Apr 8th | |
| Nolan Arenado extended his season-opening hit streak to three games on Sunday, finishing 1-for-3 with a double. Lucas Spence Sun, Apr 4th | Blue Jays OF George Springer felt quad tightness while running the bases and has been sent for an MRI. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Wed, Apr 7th | |
| Notes | ||
| On the bright side, Arenado struck out just 10% of the time, a career-best. On the down side, there was everything else. Arenado batted just .253 and put up a 162-game pace of 27 home runs, 78 runs, 88 RBI, and zero steals. Those numbers won't kill your fantasy team, but considering Arenado's worst numbers over the previous five seasons were 37 home runs, 97 runs scored, and 110 RBI, they were a disaster. The good news, at least from the standpoint of projecting Arenado into the future, is that he was dealing with an injured AC joint in his shoulder for most of the season. In other words, fantasy managers can largely ignore Arenado's poor 2020 numbers, and focus instead on how he will perform now that he's been traded to the Cardinals. Although there's likely to be some dip in his numbers, we've seen hitters leave the Rockies and largely retain their value (or, in the case of DJ LeMahieu, increase their value), The best part is you won't have to pay that first-round price anymore, and if his ADP drops after the trade to St. Louis, it should be easy to turn a profit. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | Springer is dealing with a grade-2 oblique strain, and his status is in doubt for Opening Day, though the injury is not expected to keep him out for very long. When healthy, he's a dynamic player. Springer's batting average fell off a tad last year, but once he was past his wrist injury, he was explosive, batting .316 with a 1.033 OPS over the final month of the season. His expected statistics were excellent, as he ranked in the top eight percent of the league in xBA, xSLG, and xWOBA. Now with the Blue Jays and an extreme hitter's park (wherever the Blue Jay play this year), he should once again be in line for a stellar year. Home runs and runs scored should again be plentiful, making Springer a rock solid second outfielder in mixed leagues. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | |
| The concern around Arenado leaving Coors may seem a bit overstated, but it is a legitimate concern. He has always been a superior hitter playing in Colorado and his statcast data has been on a steady decline for several years now. He is not someone I have been targeting in drafts. Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy | ||
| Arenado suffered a shoulder injury in his fifth game of the year in 2020. He played through it, and it clearly affected his power stroke. Instead of crushing doubles and homers over the heads of opposing outfielders, Arenado was weakly flying out. He was later shut down with a week left in the year, and I think it's fair to attribute his poor production to playing through injury. However, there will always be analysts knocking down Arenado for his move away from Coors Field. Yet savvy fantasy managers know by now that playing half your games in Coors hurts your road numbers more than any other park, so we can't simply view Arenado's road numbers as "who he truly is." For example, Matt Holliday's road OPS while with the Rockies was .803. While with the Cardinals? .853. I'm aggressively targeting Arenado anytime he lasts until Round 3 of drafts this spring, and I'll be sure to get some shares late in the second as well. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | ||
