Who Should I Draft?

German Marquez or Luis Castillo (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  German Marquez
SP - COL
German Marquez
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Expert
Recommendation
80%
Recommended by
45 of 56 experts
20%
Recommended by
11 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 32# 41
Best Rank# 11# 22
Worst Rank# 96# 78
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 82# 128
Best Rank# 73# 114
Worst Rank# 112# 846
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts200169
Wins1311
Saves00
ERA3.883.86
WHIP1.261.22
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 31# 38
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 22# 38
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 23# 56
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 32# 34
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 35# 66
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 19# 40
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 24# 46
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 33# 45
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 38# 44
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 27# 30
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 19# 42
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 32# 38
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 39# 60
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 14# 48
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 23# 45
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 32# 38
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 25# 35
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 21# 53
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 46# 54
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 28# 35
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 19# 33
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 27# 46
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 26# 42
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 17# 59
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 26# 54
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 33# 40
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 29# 39
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 22# 41
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 23# 44
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 48# 61
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 32# 33
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 30# 37
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 30# 67
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 11# 39
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 34# 44
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 40# 42
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 66# 78
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 25# 39
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 19# 25
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 38# 41
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 31# 37
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 42# 54
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 21# 28
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 22# 39
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 31# 39
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 36# 28
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 37# 30
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 41# 39
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 47# 22
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 48# 38
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 54# 44
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 55# 34
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 57# 56
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 77# 41
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 85# 35
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 96# 46
   
  German Marquez
SP - COL
German Marquez
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3331
   
Games Started3331
   
Innings Pitched196.1170.2
   
Wins1410
   
Losses1112
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed179158
   
Earned Runs8281
   
Home Runs Allowed2428
   
Strikeouts230165
   
Walks5749
   
ERA3.774.30
   
WHIP1.201.22
   
  German Marquez
SP - COL
German Marquez
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3230
   
Games Started3230
   
Innings Pitched185.7169.9
   
Wins1311
   
Losses1010
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed179156
   
Earned Runs8073
   
Home Runs Allowed2424
   
Strikeouts200169
   
Walks5552
   
ERA3.883.86
   
WHIP1.261.22
   
  German Marquez
SP - COL
German Marquez
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
News 
 German Marquez earned the win despite giving up seven earned runs on Saturday versus the Padres.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 16th
Luis Castillo allowed two runs on two hits over six innings in the Reds' 3-2 win over the Astros on Monday. He walked six and struck out seven while improving to 7-1.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 17th
 German Marquez received a no-decision on Monday versus the Cubs, striking out seven while allowing four runs over six innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 11th
Luis Castillo allowed one run on four hits over six innings in the Reds' 2-1 extra innings loss to the Indians on Tuesday. He walked two and struck out six in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Jun 12th
 German Marquez took the loss on Wednesday versus the Cubs, giving up eight runs on seven hits in 5 1/3 innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 5th
Luis Castillo allowed (three runs) two earned on six hits over 5 1/3 innings in the Reds' 8-5 loss to the Pirates on Sunday. He walked four and struck out four in the no decision.
Elliott Baas
Tue, May 28th
 German Marquez earned the win on Friday versus Toronto, throwing seven innings of two-run ball while striking out seven.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 1st
Luis Castillo allowed four runs on five hits over 2.2 innings in the Reds' 11-9 loss to the Brewers on Wednesday. He walked three and struck out two in the no decision.
Elliott Baas
Thu, May 23rd
 German Marquez received a no-decision on Sunday versus Baltimore, giving up four runs on seven hits over 6 1/3 innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, May 27th
Luis Castillo allowed two runs on two hits over 5.1 innings in the Reds' 4-2 win over the Cubs on Thursday. He walked one and struck out six while improving to 5-1.
Elliott Baas
Fri, May 17th
Notes 
 Marquez had a terrific strikeout-to-walk ratio last season, but still finished with an ERA of 3.77, which feels like a best-case scenario for a pitcher who calls Coors Field home. Marquez should provide plenty of innings and strikeouts and his fair share of wins, but he's not likely to be of much help when it comes to ERA and WHIP.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Castillo quickly became a darling of the analytics community last season but failed to meet the expectations of those who reached for him in fantasy. He is still plenty young and talented, however, so don't give up on him less the breakout comes a year later than everyone planned for.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Marquez discovered top-tier ace form during 14 second-half starts, during which he recorded a 2.61 ERA and 2.25 FIP with the fourth-best K-BB% (28.4) behind Justin Verlander, Max Scherzer, and Jacob deGrom. So why isn't he a consensus top-20 starter? Opponents tattooed his four-seam fastball (.315/.390/.508) last season, so his curveball and slider would have to remain other-worldly elite in elevated usage rates. Oh yeah, he pitches for the Rockies. He's an attractive upside selection if Coors Field tempers his price.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Castillo was a trendy breakout pick last season, but instead his strikeout rate fell and he was victimized by the home run ball. However, just as many fantasy managers' attention turned to football, Castillo dominated his way through September, delivering a 1.09 ERA and 0.85 WHIP over the season's final month. In other words, there is plenty of post-hype sleeper appeal here as long as his draft price remains reasonable.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
  One of last spring's top breakout candidates, Castillo posted an underwhelming 4.30 ERA. This year's version of Castillo is … still Castillo. While he started strong, the hard-throwing righty belatedly met the hype with a 2.44 ERA, 69 strikeouts, and 14 walks in 66.1 second-half frames. A 13.5% swinging-strike rate points to elite strikeout potential, so there's still an ace looming if he can curtail last year's home-run woes. While this could be a case of doubling down on the same mistake, Castillo is once a desirable high-upside SP3 target.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros